Manchester City v Bournemouth result

Full-time · Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth

Premier League · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 14:00 BST · Etihad Stadium

Updated 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester City · Bournemouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.52 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester City: 2.47 to 0.71 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City beat Bournemouth 2–1 at Etihad Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 23 August. Bournemouth have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Manchester City came from behind: Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (26’, assisted by Evanilson); Manchester City: M. Guéhi (84’, assisted by R. Cherki) and Joško Gvardiol (90’, assisted by R. Cherki).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joško Gvardiol’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

J. Gillett showed three yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Manchester City: Philip Foden (78’); Bournemouth: Evanilson (45+1’) and António Silva (85’).

What it changes

Manchester City are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Manchester City have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joško Gvardiol (Manchester City) 8.7, M. Guéhi (Manchester City) 7.9 and R. Cherki (Manchester City) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Bournemouth.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth · Premier League
Venue: Etihad Stadium · Manchester
Referee: J. Gillett
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 4 · draws 1 · Bournemouth 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester City 2W 1D 2L · Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L

Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.25 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

7.63 / 5.13

Corners

against 3.88 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.25 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.5 yellows

Referee · J. Gillett

19.63 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 16 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Manchester City for / against	Line	Bournemouth for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.63 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.25 for · 8.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: J. Gillett — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.63 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	1	9090 min	22 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	2 6/2

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Khusanov	1	9090 min	55 /90	22 /90	11 /90	99 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Gvardiol	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	11 /90	33 /90	22 /90	11 /90
Rúben Dias	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	66 /90	11 /90	00 /90
N. O'Reilly	1	5353 min	11.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	23.4 /90	23.4 /90	00 /90
M. Guéhi	1	3737 min	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Gvardiol n 8	65.9	1.4 4/3	0.5 3/0	—
A. Semenyo n 8	76.6	1.2 5/2	0.3 1/1	—
A. Khusanov n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
Rúben Dias n 8	78.8	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Khusanov n 8	90	1.5 6/2
J. Gvardiol n 8	65.9	1.4 4/3
Rúben Dias n 8	78.8	1.1 5/2
A. Semenyo n 8	76.6	0.6 3/1
M. Kovačić n 8	45.5	1 4/0
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	1	5353 min	00 /90	00 /90	23.4 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Omar Marmoush	1	3737 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
A. Semenyo	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	22 /90	11 /90
M. Kovačić	1	7979 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Anderson	1	6060 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 8	76.6	1.8 8/3	0.7 5/0
J. Gvardiol n 8	65.9	1.5 6/2	0.5 3/0
A. Khusanov n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.1 1/0
Rúben Dias n 8	78.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 8	76.6	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
J. Gvardiol n 8	65.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Khusanov n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rúben Dias n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester City		Bournemouth
66%	Possession	34%
2.25	Expected goals (xG)	0.65
13	Shots	5
6	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	1
3	Blocked shots	0
11	Shots inside the box	4
8	Corners	3
2	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	11
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	4
658	Passes	344
89%	Pass accuracy	78%

Manchester City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Donnarumma	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
A. Khusanov	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
Rúben Dias	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.5
J. Gvardiol	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.7
M. Guéhi	90	1	0	2	1	1	3	0	8.2
A. Semenyo	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
E. Haaland	90	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	6.9
P. Foden	82	0	0	0	0	2	3	Y	6.6
E. Anderson	63	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
N. O'Reilly	63	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
R. Lewis	57	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6
Matheus Nunes sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Kovačić sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
R. Cherki sub	27	0	2	0	0	4	0	0	7.3
J. Grealish sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

Bournemouth Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Đ. Petrović	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
A. Smith	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Hill	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
António Silva	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Adrien Truffert	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Alex Scott	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7
M. Tavernier	90	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	7.3
Rayan	89	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.2
L. Cook	75	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Kluivert	75	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.3
Evanilson	75	0	1	0	0	1	1	Y	6.7
A. Tóth sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
T. Adams sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
D. Jebbison sub	15	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
B. Doak sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester CityWWDLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

BournemouthDWWDD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Manchester City 4 · 1 draw · Bournemouth 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-05-19 Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City
2025-11-02 Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth
2025-05-20 Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth
2025-03-30 Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City
2024-11-02 Bournemouth 2–1 Manchester City
2024-02-24 Bournemouth 0–1 Manchester City

League standing · 2026/27

Manchester City#2 pos21 pts9 pl+10 GD

Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Manchester City scored2.22

Bournemouth scored1.56

Manchester City conceded1.11

Bournemouth conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester City 2.47 xG from 13 shots, Bournemouth 0.71 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Manchester City (attacking right)Bournemouth (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Manchester City	13	2	2.47
Bournemouth	5	1	0.71

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Manchester City 0.75, Bournemouth 0.63. At full time, Manchester City led on xG, 2.47 to 0.71. The widest gap was 1.76 xG to Manchester City, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Manchester City 2.47 xGBournemouth 0.71 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City v Bournemouth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Bournemouth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.52 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Bournemouth?: In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 4, Bournemouth won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Bournemouth?: Recent form — Manchester City 2W 1D 2L; Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.