This Matchweek

Manchester UnitedManchester City

Manchester United v Manchester City result

Full-time · Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City

Premier League · · Old Trafford

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester United · Manchester City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.27 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Manchester United 0.94, Manchester City 1.14 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City won 1–0 at Old Trafford in the Premier League on Sunday 13 September. Manchester City have won their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Erling Haaland (60’). Philip Foden (23’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 60 minutes.

Discipline

Michael Oliver, England showed three yellow cards and one red — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Manchester United: H. Maguire (81’); Manchester City: Joško Gvardiol (79’) and Enzo Fernández (80’).

What it changes

Manchester United move down from 11th to 13th (four league matches played). Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester United have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City move down from first to second (four league matches played). Manchester City have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 6.0, Kobbie Mainoo (Manchester United) 5.0 and Patrick Dorgu (Manchester United) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Manchester United or Manchester City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City · Premier League
  • Venue: Old Trafford · Manchester
  • Referee: Michael Oliver, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester United 3 · draws 2 · Manchester City 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester United 3W 1D 1L · Manchester City 4W 0D 1L

Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.75
Corners
against 3.13 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 2.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.8 yellows
Referee · Michael Oliver, England
21.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameManchester United for / againstLineManchester City for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
19.75 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 8.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Michael Oliver, England — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Lammens490360 min92.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
2.57/4

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Maguire390270 min10.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90165.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
Lisandro Martínez390270 min20.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90103.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
L. Shaw384252 min62.1 /9041.4 /9031.1 /90113.9 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
N. Mazraoui362187 min21 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9073.4 /9031.4 /9000 /90
P. Dorgu346137 min53.3 /9010.7 /9021.3 /90149.2 /9063.9 /9021.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.95/2
0.53/1
A. Semenyo
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
B. Mbeumo n 873.3
0.63/1
0.32/0
A. Semenyo
Matheus Cunha n 882.3
1.56/4
1.46/3
E. Haaland
Y. Tielemans n 473
0.31/0
1.82/2
—
See more players · Pro
Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.84/2
B. Mbeumo n 873.3
0.62/1
Matheus Cunha n 882.3
15/2
Y. Tielemans n 473
0.61/1
K. Mainoo n 876.4
1.55/4
See more players · Pro

Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Matheus Cunha480320 min10.3 /9010.3 /9092.5 /9051.4 /9051.4 /9000 /90
Benjamin Šeško336107 min21.7 /9000 /9043.4 /9021.7 /9000 /9010.8 /90
J. Zirkzee12626 min00 /9000 /90310.4 /9026.9 /9000 /90310.4 /90
S. Lacey11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /9000 /90
Bruno Fernandes490360 min41 /9010.3 /90102.5 /9061.5 /90123 /9030.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
2.18/5
1.16/2
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Mbeumo n 873.3
2.27/4
1.16/1
Matheus Cunha n 882.3
1.98/4
1.27/1
Y. Tielemans n 473
0.92/1
0.92/1
See more players · Pro
Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.63/1
0.43/0
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Mbeumo n 873.3
0.64/0
0.21/0
Matheus Cunha n 882.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
Y. Tielemans n 473
00/0
0.31/0
See more players · Pro

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma590450 min91.8 /9051 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
1.96/2

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rúben Dias590450 min30.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90224.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
A. Khusanov580401 min143.1 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90265.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
M. Guéhi579397 min40.9 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90245.4 /9040.9 /9000 /90
J. Gvardiol579393 min102.3 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90286.4 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
Matheus Nunes262123 min00 /9000 /9000 /9032.2 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.95/2
0.32/0
—
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Semenyo n 878.3
1.77/3
0.93/3
B. Mbeumo
E. Haaland n 885.4
0.94/1
0.54/0
Matheus Cunha
A. Khusanov n 883.9
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.54/0
A. Semenyo n 878.3
0.94/1
E. Haaland n 885.4
0.11/0
A. Khusanov n 883.9
2.17/4
M. Guéhi n 883.4
0.95/1
See more players · Pro

Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland583413 min51.1 /9000 /90214.6 /90132.8 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90
I. Ndiaye258115 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9021.6 /9021.6 /90
Omar Marmoush13737 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
A. Semenyo584422 min00 /9020.4 /9061.3 /9040.9 /9091.9 /9051.1 /90
P. Foden566331 min00 /9020.5 /9061.6 /9030.8 /9082.2 /9030.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Semenyo n 878.3
1.68/2
17/0
E. Haaland n 885.4
3.78/6
2.58/5
A. Khusanov n 883.9
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
00/0
00/0
A. Semenyo n 878.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
E. Haaland n 885.4
0.95/2
0.32/0
A. Khusanov n 883.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester UnitedManchester City
55%Possession45%
1.00Expected goals (xG)1.10
16Shots6
3Shots on target2
9Shots off target1
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box2
6Corners7
4Offsides1
17Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
1Saves3
487Passes403
87%Pass accuracy82%

Manchester United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Lammens9000000006.6
Matheus Cunha9000201106.6
Bruno Fernandes9000111207.3
B. Mbeumo9000312105.9
K. Mainoo9000103007.3
P. Dorgu9000001606.7
Lisandro Martínez9000110307
H. Maguire90002001Y6.3
Diogo Dalot9000101106.7
M. Rashford8300101106.6
Y. Tielemans6700001207.2
Benjamin Šeško sub2300000006.7
J. Zirkzee sub1300000006.3

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Gvardiol90000004Y7.9
E. Haaland9010210008
A. Semenyo9000001106.3
E. Anderson9000000307.2
M. Guéhi9000000007
Rúben Dias9000000006.9
Matheus Nunes9000000207.9
G. Donnarumma9000000007.3
E. Fernández82001112Y6.6
R. Cherki4500000006.7
P. Foden23000010R4.2
I. Ndiaye sub4500000107
N. O'Reilly sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester United v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester UnitedWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Manchester CityLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester United 3 · 2 draws · Manchester City 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City
  • 2025-09-14 Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United
  • 2025-04-06 Manchester United 0–0 Manchester City
  • 2024-12-15 Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United
  • 2024-08-10 Manchester City 1–1 Manchester United
  • 2024-05-25 Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester United#17 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD
Manchester City#2 pos21 pts9 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Manchester United scored1.11
Manchester City scored2.22
Manchester United conceded1.67
Manchester City conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester United 0.94 xG from 16 shots, Manchester City 1.14 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Bryan Mbeumo 94' · 0.38 xGErling Haaland 75' · 0.38 xGEnzo Fernández 68' · 0.10 xGMarcus Rashford 51' · 0.10 xGMarcus Rashford 20' · 0.07 xGMarcus Rashford 44' · 0.05 xGMatheus Cunha 55' · 0.05 xGEnzo Fernández 2' · 0.04 xGBryan Mbeumo 72' · 0.04 xGBenjamin Sesko 70' · 0.04 xGHarry Maguire 85' · 0.04 xGMatheus Cunha 10' · 0.03 xGMatheus Cunha 85' · 0.03 xGLisandro Martínez 6' · 0.02 xGBryan Mbeumo 54' · 0.02 xGKobbie Mainoo 50' · 0.02 xGDiogo Dalot 46' · 0.02 xGBruno Fernandes 69' · 0.02 xGMathis Cherki 26' · 0.02 xGJosko Gvardiol 82' · 0.02 xGHarry Maguire 41' · 0.01 xGErling Haaland 59' · 0.58 xG · goal
Manchester United (attacking right)Manchester City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Manchester United1600.94
Manchester City611.14

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Manchester United 0.19, Manchester City 0.06. At full time, xG was level: Manchester United 0.94, Manchester City 1.14. The widest gap was 0.65 xG to Manchester City, in the 82nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester City 59 min
Manchester United 0.94 xGManchester City 1.14 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester United v Manchester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v Manchester City was Home or Away (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Manchester City?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester United won 3, Manchester City won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester United and Manchester City?
Recent form — Manchester United 3W 1D 1L; Manchester City 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+