SunderlandBrighton

Sunderland v Brighton result

Full-time · Sunderland 0–2 Brighton

Premier League · · Stadium of Light

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sunderland · Brighton

The model’s pre-match pick

Sunderland 0–2 Brighton — Brighton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brighton: 1.64 to 0.87 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Brighton won 2–0 at Stadium of Light in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October. Brighton have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: Maxim De Cuyper (53’, assisted by Pascal Groß) and Jaouen Hadjam (90’, assisted by Georginio Rutter). Pascal Struijk (57’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Maxim De Cuyper’s goal on 53 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Brighton: Olivier Boscagli (36’).

What it changes

Sunderland move down from 14th to 16th (six league matches played). Sunderland have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Brighton stay third after this result (six league matches played). Brighton have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Brighton have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Gómez (Brighton) 6.9, Pascal Groß (Brighton) 6.7 and N. Mukiele (Sunderland) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Sunderland next host Chelsea on 8 November 2026.

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sunderland 0–2 Brighton · Premier League
  • Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
  • Referee: Thomas Bramall, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Sunderland 0 · draws 1 · Brighton 1 · 0.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sunderland 2W 1D 2L · Brighton 3W 1D 1L

Sunderland 0–2 Brighton (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.88
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6
Corners
against 4.75 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSunderland for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
2.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
19.88 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 8.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Thomas Bramall, England.

Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs690540 min81.3 /90101.7 /9000 /90
M. Ellborg19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
1.64/2
M. Ellborg n 590
2.23/3

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Meunier764447 min40.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90112.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Dan Ballard681488 min101.8 /9040.7 /9040.7 /90478.7 /90101.8 /9020.4 /90
N. Mukiele590450 min142.8 /9091.8 /9061.2 /90316.2 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90
Reinildo590450 min91.8 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90306 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90
K. Danso489354 min30.8 /9010.3 /9041 /90123.1 /9041 /9000 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Meunier n 763.9
0.63/0
0.42/0
D. Gómez
W. Isidor n 836.5
2.55/3
1.83/2
C. Kostoulas
G. Xhaka n 890
0.95/1
1.66/3
P. Groß
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
E. Le Fée n 888.5
0.63/1
2.28/5
D. Gómez
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Meunier n 763.9
0.82/2
W. Isidor n 836.5
1.24/0
G. Xhaka n 890
1.56/4
E. Le Fée n 888.5
1.97/4
N. Sadiki n 883.6
1.23/3
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Isidor738263 min10.3 /9000 /9093.1 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9031 /90
B. Brobbey671424 min30.6 /9000 /9081.7 /9051.1 /9051.1 /9030.6 /90
M. Fofana448192 min00 /9000 /9041.9 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9031.4 /90
G. Xhaka690540 min00 /9000 /9030.5 /9000 /90152.5 /9040.7 /90
E. Le Fée688529 min20.3 /9010.2 /90142.4 /9050.9 /90122 /90101.7 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Meunier n 763.9
0.84/0
0.84/0
W. Isidor n 836.5
3.15/3
0.62/0
G. Xhaka n 890
0.42/1
00/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Le Fée n 888.5
2.36/6
16/2
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Meunier n 763.9
00/0
0.42/0
W. Isidor n 836.5
0.31/0
00/0
G. Xhaka n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Le Fée n 888.5
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen790630 min131.9 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Jason Steele19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.34/3
Jason Steele n 890
3.66/4

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Vušković889708 min111.4 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90536.7 /90101.3 /9010.1 /90
O. Boscagli886691 min70.9 /9091.2 /9010.1 /90263.4 /90121.6 /9010.1 /90
F. Kadıoğlu673437 min30.6 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9091.9 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
L. Dunk581405 min30.7 /9020.4 /9051.1 /90214.7 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
M. Wieffer473293 min92.8 /90103.1 /9041.2 /90247.4 /9030.9 /9000 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Groß n 890
1.16/3
00/0
G. Xhaka
L. Vušković n 888.5
1.37/1
1.46/4
—
O. Boscagli n 886.4
1.66/3
16/2
—
D. Gómez n 874.3
1.56/4
0.21/0
E. Le Fée
C. Kostoulas n 868.8
1.86/3
1.35/2
W. Isidor
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
0.94/2
L. Vušković n 888.5
1.47/4
O. Boscagli n 886.4
0.95/2
D. Gómez n 874.3
2.67/5
C. Kostoulas n 868.8
0.85/0
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Kostoulas869550 min40.7 /9020.3 /90254.1 /9081.3 /9071.1 /9071.1 /90
I. Osman339117 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9043.1 /9032.3 /90
G. Rutter284168 min00 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9031.6 /90
Z. Yohanna12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /90
P. Groß890720 min40.5 /9030.4 /90141.8 /9060.8 /90283.5 /9010.1 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
1.87/4
0.86/0
L. Vušković n 888.5
1.37/3
0.43/0
O. Boscagli n 886.4
0.85/1
0.43/0
D. Gómez n 874.3
26/3
0.84/1
C. Kostoulas n 868.8
4.18/6
1.36/2
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
0.54/0
0.42/1
L. Vušković n 888.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
O. Boscagli n 886.4
0.11/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 874.3
00/0
0.32/0
C. Kostoulas n 868.8
0.74/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SunderlandBrighton
62%Possession38%
0.72Expected goals (xG)1.41
12Shots13
3Shots on target4
2Shots off target7
7Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box6
7Corners5
5Offsides0
8Fouls12
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
2Saves3
501Passes309
77%Pass accuracy67%

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Roefs9000000005.9
T. Hume9000000306.5
N. Mukiele9000110307.5
K. Danso9000002105.9
G. Xhaka9000310207.5
N. Sadiki9000004207.3
W. Isidor9000000006.2
E. Le Fée8100003006.6
Reinildo7300002207.2
N. Angulo7300000206
T. Meunier3400000006.6
M. Fofana sub5600110106.6
D. Methalie sub1700000006.2
Jocelin Ta Bi sub1700000006.7
Juan Angulo sub900000006.2

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000007.5
F. Kadıoğlu9000000107.9
L. Vušković9000200107.7
José María Andrés Baixauli9000000106.6
P. Groß9001103507.2
D. Gómez8800321507
Y. Ayari8800200006.5
O. Boscagli68000010Y7
M. De Cuyper6810110107.3
C. Kostoulas6000001206.3
P. Struijk57001001R6.3
L. Dunk sub3000001007.2
M. Yalcouyé sub2200000106.9
Costinha sub2200000006.6
J. Hadjam sub1010110107.6
G. Rutter sub1001001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SunderlandDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BrightonLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Sunderland 0 · 1 draw · Brighton 1 · 0.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Sunderland 0–1 Brighton
  • 2025-12-20 Brighton 0–0 Sunderland
League standing · 2026/27
Sunderland#20 pos5 pts9 pl-10 GD
Brighton#3 pos19 pts9 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Sunderland scored0.78
Brighton scored2.67
Sunderland conceded1.89
Brighton conceded0.78

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sunderland 0.87 xG from 12 shots, Brighton 1.64 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Luka Vuskovic 9' · 0.38 xGThomas Meunier 28' · 0.36 xGDiego Gómez 7' · 0.28 xGKevin Danso 6' · 0.15 xGPascal Struijk 47' · 0.12 xGWilson Isidor 21' · 0.12 xGLuka Vuskovic 75' · 0.07 xGYasin Ayari 10' · 0.05 xGGranit Xhaka 58' · 0.05 xGYasin Ayari 70' · 0.04 xGEnzo Le Fée 79' · 0.04 xGWilson Isidor 74' · 0.03 xGNordi Mukiele 77' · 0.03 xGDiego Gómez 11' · 0.03 xGMalick Fofana 66' · 0.02 xGNordi Mukiele 73' · 0.02 xGGranit Xhaka 71' · 0.02 xGGranit Xhaka 64' · 0.01 xGDiego Gómez 45' · 0.01 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 19' · 0.01 xGPascal Groß 77' · 0.01 xGDiego Gómez 61' · 0.01 xGNordi Mukiele 38' · 0.01 xGJaouen Hadjam 92' · 0.35 xG · goalMaxim De Cuyper 52' · 0.28 xG · goal
Sunderland (attacking right)Brighton (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sunderland1200.87
Brighton1321.64

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Sunderland 0.64, Brighton 0.76. At full time, Brighton led on xG, 1.64 to 0.87. The widest gap was 0.77 xG to Brighton, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brighton 52 minGoal - Brighton 92 min
Sunderland 0.87 xGBrighton 1.64 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Brighton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Brighton?
In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Brighton won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Brighton?
Recent form — Sunderland 2W 1D 2L; Brighton 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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