AberdeenKilmarnock

Aberdeen v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock

Premiership · · Pittodrie Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aberdeen · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock — Aberdeen won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,957 of 2,621 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aberdeen beat Kilmarnock 1–0 at Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 25 April.

The goals

Aberdeen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Aberdeen: A. Aremu (1’, assisted by Stuart Armstrong).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Aremu’s goal on 1 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Aberdeen 0.47, Kilmarnock 0.54, from 10 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

N. Walsh showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aberdeen: Liam Morrison (90’); Kilmarnock: George Stanger (64’), Thomas Lowery (66’), Robbie Deas (78’) and K. Magennis (90+1’).

What it changes

Kilmarnock are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Aremu (Aberdeen) 5.8, Stuart Armstrong (Aberdeen) 5.4 and A. Jensen (Aberdeen) 4.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aberdeen or Kilmarnock (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aberdeen: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock · Premiership
  • Venue: Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen
  • Referee: N. Walsh
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aberdeen 4 · draws 0 · Kilmarnock 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aberdeen 1W 1D 3L · Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L

Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.23 yellows
Referee · N. Walsh
23.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAberdeen for / againstLineKilmarnock for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
9 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: N. Walsh — 4.23 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.64 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Mitov35903150 min1103.1 /90551.6 /9010 /90
P. Kristian Bråtveit490360 min153.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Mitov n 890
3.57/4

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Milne36873122 min371.1 /90371.1 /90411.2 /901133.3 /90280.8 /9040.1 /90
N. Devlin31802479 min391.4 /90250.9 /90140.5 /901264.6 /90361.3 /9080.3 /90
M. Knoester29852473 min441.6 /90311.1 /90250.9 /901706.2 /90381.4 /9080.3 /90
G. Molloy1178860 min131.4 /90121.3 /9060.6 /90515.3 /90131.4 /9000 /90
L. Morrison977697 min50.6 /9081 /9070.9 /90324.1 /9091.2 /9030.4 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Milne n 883.5
0.94/2
0.74/1
R. Deas
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
N. Devlin n 876.5
14/2
1.96/5
—
G. Shinnie n 846.9
1.74/2
1.44/2
—
T. Keskinen n 850.1
1.65/1
1.64/2
—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Milne n 883.5
1.56/4
N. Devlin n 876.5
2.28/5
G. Shinnie n 846.9
5.58/5
T. Keskinen n 850.1
1.34/1
M. Lazetić n 832.4
1.43/1
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Lazetić31461419 min40.3 /9010.1 /90211.3 /90100.6 /9090.6 /90181.1 /90
K. Nisbet30651939 min100.5 /9010 /90391.8 /90211 /90211 /9060.3 /90
J. Karlsson24751793 min60.3 /9000 /90351.8 /90180.9 /90361.8 /90311.6 /90
N. Milanovic1244531 min00 /9000 /90101.7 /9030.5 /9081.4 /90122 /90
T. Olusanya1060603 min00 /9000 /9081.2 /9010.1 /9071 /9050.7 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Milne n 883.5
0.83/2
0.11/0
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Devlin n 876.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
G. Shinnie n 846.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
T. Keskinen n 850.1
1.13/2
1.13/2
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Milne n 883.5
00/0
00/0
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Devlin n 876.5
00/0
00/0
G. Shinnie n 846.9
00/0
00/0
T. Keskinen n 850.1
0.41/1
0.42/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Oluwayemi12901080 min443.7 /90181.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Roos1190990 min444 /90262.4 /9020.2 /90
M. Stryjek790630 min233.3 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Oluwayemi n 890
4.38/7
K. Roos n 890
3.56/6

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Deas31862671 min411.4 /90341.1 /90301 /901625.5 /90341.1 /90100.3 /90
D. Thompson29772221 min371.5 /90291.2 /90110.4 /90883.6 /90150.6 /9050.2 /90
L. Mayo20881755 min261.3 /90251.3 /90150.8 /90784 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
E. Brown15891331 min191.3 /90151 /90140.9 /90694.7 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
G. Stanger15851270 min120.9 /90130.9 /9090.6 /90513.6 /90130.9 /9050.4 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Deas n 890
15/2
0.43/0
J. Milne
D. Watson n 860.4
0.93/1
0.94/1
—
D. Thompson n 853.5
0.84/0
0.84/0
—
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.73/1
1.34/2
—
G. Kiltie n 884.8
1.25/3
2.37/4
—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
1.14/3
D. Watson n 860.4
2.26/5
D. Thompson n 853.5
1.54/1
B. Lyons n 861.6
1.35/1
G. Kiltie n 884.8
1.76/3
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Anderson27631710 min40.2 /9020.1 /90301.6 /90130.7 /9080.4 /9010.1 /90
T. John-Jules17671143 min80.6 /9020.2 /90322.5 /90201.6 /90141.1 /90141.1 /90
M. Dackers17641085 min20.2 /9000 /90201.7 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90131.1 /90
S. Tiffoney1055552 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9071.1 /9061 /90
J. Hugill971641 min30.4 /9020.3 /90101.4 /9060.8 /9081.1 /9030.4 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Watson n 860.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
D. Thompson n 853.5
0.21/0
00/0
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
G. Kiltie n 884.8
0.85/1
0.74/1
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Watson n 860.4
00/0
00/0
D. Thompson n 853.5
00/0
00/0
B. Lyons n 861.6
00/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 884.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AberdeenKilmarnock
41%Possession59%
0.47Expected goals (xG)0.54
10Shots11
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box7
6Corners5
1Offsides0
16Fouls16
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves3
302Passes428
68%Pass accuracy75%

Aberdeen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Mitov9000000006.7
L. Morrison90000000Y7.2
G. Molloy9000000207.6
A. Jensen9000002407.2
K. Nisbet9000101106.5
T. Olusanya8700210006.2
J. Milne8100210107.7
A. Aremu7210110107.5
S. Armstrong7201002107.2
L. Cameron5900100106.5
M. Frame5800001207.2
G. Shinnie sub3200110006.3
D. Geiger sub3100100107
M. Knoester sub1800000006.9
A. Palaversa sub1800001106.7
E. Bwomono sub900000006.6
T. Keskinen sub800000006.5

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Stryjek9000000008.2
G. Stanger90001001Y6.6
R. Deas90000000Y6.9
A. Tshibola9000210207.2
J. Hugill9000000106.2
Findlay Curtis8400100206.9
T. Lowery84002001Y6.6
G. Kiltie7700112206.9
N. Cleșcenco7700112106.9
M. Schjønning-Larsen6800000006.3
J. Brandon50000000–
D. Thompson sub8500003107.2
R. McKenzie sub2200000106.5
K. Magennis sub13000000Y6.5
B. Anderson sub1300000006.7
B. Lyons sub1100000006.7
D. Watson sub1100000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aberdeen v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AberdeenLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
KilmarnockLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aberdeen 4 · 0 draws · Kilmarnock 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 Kilmarnock 3–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-12-14 Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-10-29 Kilmarnock 0–1 Aberdeen
  • 2025-02-22 Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
  • 2024-12-26 Kilmarnock 4–0 Aberdeen
  • 2024-08-25 Aberdeen 2–0 Kilmarnock
League standing · 2025/26
Aberdeen#3 pos40 pts38 pl-15 GD
Kilmarnock#4 pos40 pts38 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Aberdeen scored1.05
Kilmarnock scored1.32
Aberdeen conceded1.45
Kilmarnock conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aberdeen v Kilmarnock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aberdeen v Kilmarnock was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock?
In their last 6 meetings, Aberdeen won 4, Kilmarnock won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aberdeen and Kilmarnock?
Recent form — Aberdeen 1W 1D 3L; Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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