CelticFalkirk

Celtic v Falkirk result

Full-time · Celtic 3–1 Falkirk

Premiership · · Celtic Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celtic · Falkirk · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Celtic 3–1 Falkirk — Celtic won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 545 of 849 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Celtic beat Falkirk 3–1 at Celtic Park in the Premiership on Saturday 25 April. Celtic are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Falkirk, every meeting checked.

The goals

Celtic led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Celtic: Daizen Maeda (30’; 83’, assisted by Sebastian Tounekti) and Kieran Tierney (44’, assisted by Daizen Maeda); Falkirk: Kyrell Wilson (70’, assisted by Leon McCann).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daizen Maeda’s goal on 30 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Celtic 1.20, Falkirk 0.81, from 14 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Lee showed five yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Celtic: Auston Trusty (64’) and Anthony Ralston (70’); Falkirk: Kyrell Wilson (71’), Dylan Tait (77’) and Leon McCann (89’).

What it changes

Celtic have scored 73 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Celtic have conceded 41 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Falkirk have scored 50 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 62 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

Celtic have won their last four matches in all competitions. Falkirk are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daizen Maeda (Celtic) 13.8, Kieran Tierney (Celtic) 6.0 and B. Nygren (Celtic) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Celtic next host Kilmarnock on 8 November 2026.

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celtic: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celtic 3–1 Falkirk · Premiership
  • Venue: Celtic Park · Glasgow
  • Referee: R. Lee
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celtic 6 · draws 0 · Falkirk 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celtic 4W 0D 1L · Falkirk 1W 2D 2L

Celtic 3–1 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.67 / 4.71
Corners
against 5 / 4.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.33 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 4.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.83 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 2.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
2.76 yellows
Referee · R. Lee
22.59 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCeltic for / againstLineFalkirk for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.67 for · 5 against n 6
9.5standard
4.71 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
14.17 for · 10.67 against n 6
19.5standard
10.57 for · 12 against n 7
Shots on target
5.33 for · 3.33 against n 6
8.5standard
4 for · 4.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
11 for · 9.83 against n 6
21.5standard
11.14 for · 13.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.83 for · 2 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 2.14 against n 7

Referee: R. Lee — 2.76 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.59 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Celtic

Celtic Goalkeeper

Celtic — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Schmeichel36903240 min952.6 /90451.3 /9000 /90
V. Sinisalo890720 min212.6 /9091.1 /9000 /90
Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Schmeichel n 890
3.45/4
V. Sinisalo n 890
2.64/3

Celtic Defensive

Celtic — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Scales41863546 min350.9 /90461.2 /90240.6 /902285.8 /90441.1 /90110.3 /90
K. Tierney40732909 min682.1 /90160.5 /90120.4 /901564.8 /90210.6 /9020.1 /90
A. Trusty29822374 min351.3 /90250.9 /90261 /901385.2 /90170.6 /9010 /90
A. Ralston20681359 min332.2 /90120.8 /90100.7 /90885.8 /90161.1 /9020.1 /90
Colby Donovan18631141 min362.8 /90120.9 /9020.2 /90796.2 /90151.2 /9030.2 /90
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Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McGregor n 883.8
0.54/0
0.32/0
B. Spencer
B. Nygren n 864.4
14/2
0.94/1
C. Miller
L. Scales n 890
0.95/2
0.43/0
—
D. Maeda n 873.1
1.46/3
0.94/1
—
K. Tierney n 877.5
0.62/1
0.63/1
—
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Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McGregor n 883.8
1.36/2
B. Nygren n 864.4
0.94/1
L. Scales n 890
15/3
D. Maeda n 873.1
1.55/3
K. Tierney n 877.5
2.26/4
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Celtic Attacking

Celtic — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Maeda41753089 min70.2 /9080.2 /90501.5 /90270.8 /90361 /90210.6 /90
S. Tounekti31621909 min20.1 /9010 /90271.3 /90100.5 /90391.8 /90562.6 /90
J. Kenny1553797 min40.5 /9020.2 /90333.7 /90131.5 /90101.1 /9050.6 /90
K. Ịheanachọ1249593 min40.6 /9000 /90192.9 /9091.4 /9060.9 /9081.2 /90
T. Čvančara1158636 min20.3 /9010.1 /90152.1 /9071 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
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Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McGregor n 883.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
B. Nygren n 864.4
1.96/3
15/1
L. Scales n 890
0.32/0
00/0
D. Maeda n 873.1
0.85/0
0.53/0
K. Tierney n 877.5
0.63/1
0.42/1
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Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McGregor n 883.8
00/0
00/0
B. Nygren n 864.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Scales n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Maeda n 873.1
00/0
00/0
K. Tierney n 877.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Scott Bain32902864 min993.1 /90471.5 /9010 /90
N. Hogarth253106 min43.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 890
2.88/3

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Henderson31892769 min331.1 /90401.3 /90130.4 /902036.6 /90270.9 /9040.1 /90
F. Lissah25852124 min733.1 /90351.5 /90150.6 /902018.5 /90451.9 /9060.3 /90
L. McCann22871924 min482.2 /90211 /9040.2 /901034.8 /90100.5 /9050.2 /90
K. Adams21891859 min542.6 /90271.3 /9080.4 /901055.1 /90150.7 /9040.2 /90
C. Allan18851532 min342 /90261.5 /90110.6 /90754.4 /90150.9 /9030.2 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
—
B. Spencer n 884
1.78/3
1.77/3
C. McGregor
C. Miller n 881.9
1.25/4
1.26/2
B. Nygren
D. Tait n 882
1.26/2
1.97/3
—
L. Henderson n 887.4
1.36/3
1.36/3
—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Spencer n 884
3.38/7
C. Miller n 881.9
1.15/3
D. Tait n 882
2.26/6
L. Henderson n 887.4
1.56/4
F. Lissah n 890
2.47/5
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ethan Williams20521036 min10.1 /9030.3 /90171.5 /9060.5 /90201.7 /90111 /90
E. Ross1837666 min10.1 /9010.1 /9081.1 /9040.5 /9050.7 /9070.9 /90
Brian Graham1742719 min30.4 /9000 /90121.5 /90101.3 /9081 /9050.6 /90
A. Agyeman1632505 min00 /9000 /90112 /9040.7 /9091.6 /9050.9 /90
B. Stewart14831158 min80.6 /9020.2 /90272.1 /90151.2 /90131 /9020.2 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Spencer n 884
0.85/1
00/0
C. Miller n 881.9
1.25/3
0.73/1
D. Tait n 882
1.15/2
0.53/1
L. Henderson n 887.4
00/0
00/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Spencer n 884
00/0
00/0
C. Miller n 881.9
0.32/0
0.43/0
D. Tait n 882
0.31/1
0.11/0
L. Henderson n 887.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CelticFalkirk
55%Possession45%
1.20Expected goals (xG)0.81
14Shots11
7Shots on target3
2Shots off target7
5Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box7
9Corners7
3Offsides3
16Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
446Passes364
78%Pass accuracy76%

Celtic Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Sinisalo9000000006
A. Trusty90000000Y7
L. Scales9000110207.2
A. Engels9000100506.9
B. Nygren9000113307.6
D. Maeda9021431309.2
C. McGregor7800001106.9
A. Ralston72001101Y6.5
K. Tierney7210110007.9
Yang Hyun-Jun7200001106.2
J. Forrest6200000206.9
S. Tounekti sub2801001007.2
A. Johnston sub1800000107
M. Saracchi sub1800000006.9
K. Ịheanachọ sub1800000006.7
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain sub1200000006.6

Falkirk Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Hogarth9000001006
K. Adams9000000205
L. Neilson9000000005.9
C. Allan9000100106.7
L. McCann90010011Y6.2
B. Spencer9000212206.9
C. Miller9000102006.6
D. Tait89003001Y5.9
B. Stewart8000100005.9
B. Broggio6200000005.9
F. Yeats6200002006.7
Kyrell Wilson sub28102200Y7.9
E. Ross sub2800000006.7
Ben Parkinson sub1000000006.7
H. Cartwright sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celtic v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CelticWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FalkirkDLWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celtic 6 · 0 draws · Falkirk 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-01 Celtic 2–0 Falkirk
  • 2026-01-14 Falkirk 0–1 Celtic
  • 2025-10-29 Celtic 4–0 Falkirk
  • 2025-08-15 Celtic 4–1 Falkirk
  • 2024-09-22 Celtic 5–2 Falkirk
  • 2021-04-03 Celtic 3–0 Falkirk
League standing · 2025/26
Celtic#1 pos82 pts38 pl+32 GD
Falkirk#6 pos49 pts38 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Celtic scored1.92
Falkirk scored1.32
Celtic conceded1.08
Falkirk conceded1.63

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celtic v Falkirk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celtic v Falkirk was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Falkirk?
In their last 6 meetings, Celtic won 6, Falkirk won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celtic and Falkirk?
Recent form — Celtic 4W 0D 1L; Falkirk 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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