HibernianCeltic

Hibernian v Celtic result

Full-time · Hibernian 1–2 Celtic

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hibernian · Celtic · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 1–2 Celtic — Celtic won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,911 of 2,557 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Celtic won 2–1 at Hibernian in the Premiership on Sunday 3 May. Celtic have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Celtic: Daizen Maeda (41’, assisted by Alistair Johnston) and K. Ịheanachọ (72’); Hibernian: Joseph Newell (45’). Jamie McGrath (21’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Ịheanachọ’s goal on 72 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Hibernian 0.38, Celtic 2.78, from 4 shots to 27 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Dickinson showed six yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hibernian: Jordan Obita (48’), Josh Campbell (54’) and Ante Šuto (90+3’); Celtic: Liam Scales (54’), Arne Engels (90+2’) and Luke McCowan (90+4’).

What it changes

Hibernian have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Celtic have scored 73 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Celtic have conceded 41 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Hibernian have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Celtic have won their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joseph Newell (Hibernian) 5.5, Daizen Maeda (Celtic) 4.9 and Kanayochukwu Megwa (Hibernian) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hibernian or Celtic (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Hibernian next travel to Aberdeen on 7 November 2026.

Celtic next host Kilmarnock on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Celtic: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hibernian 1–2 Celtic · Premiership
  • Referee: D. Dickinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 2 · draws 1 · Celtic 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hibernian 1W 2D 2L · Celtic 4W 0D 1L

Hibernian 1–2 Celtic (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5
Corners
against 6.25 / 5.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.38 / 5.33
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 3.33 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.75 / 2
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.17 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.14 yellows
Referee · D. Dickinson
22.95 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 21 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHibernian for / againstLineCeltic for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5.17 against n 6
Shots
9.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.67 for · 10.5 against n 6
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.33 for · 3.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
11.83 for · 10.17 against n 6
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.17 against n 6

Referee: D. Dickinson — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.95 fouls over 21 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger29902610 min802.8 /90301 /9000 /90
J. Smith688525 min152.6 /90111.9 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
26/2

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Iredale32762437 min511.9 /90190.7 /90200.7 /901174.3 /90220.8 /9050.2 /90
W. O'Hora25882192 min291.2 /90291.2 /90170.7 /901355.5 /90110.5 /9020.1 /90
R. Bushiri25862162 min200.8 /90241 /90130.5 /901104.6 /90200.8 /9070.3 /90
G. Hanley21811709 min150.8 /90201.1 /90271.4 /901015.3 /90160.8 /9020.1 /90
M. Garananga285169 min31.6 /9010.5 /9052.7 /90158 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Iredale n 875.4
0.94/2
0.63/1
K. Tierney
J. McGrath n 884.6
1.16/2
1.56/3
B. Nygren
M. Boyle n 851
0.41/1
1.34/1
D. Maeda
D. Barlaser n 880.8
0.63/1
0.63/1
—
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Iredale n 875.4
1.96/4
J. McGrath n 884.6
1.57/2
M. Boyle n 851
0.94/0
D. Barlaser n 880.8
1.16/2
W. O'Hora n 890
1.16/2
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. McGrath32742357 min80.3 /9040.2 /90361.4 /90200.8 /90511.9 /90471.8 /90
M. Boyle31601845 min70.3 /9010 /90351.7 /90201 /90201 /90160.8 /90
Kieron Bowie23741699 min80.4 /9030.2 /90422.2 /90221.2 /90201.1 /90120.6 /90
T. Klidje1645727 min30.4 /9010.1 /90162 /90111.4 /9070.9 /9050.6 /90
J. Hoilett1138416 min30.6 /9010.2 /90173.7 /90102.2 /9051.1 /9061.3 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Iredale n 875.4
00/0
00/0
J. McGrath n 884.6
1.25/3
0.53/1
M. Boyle n 851
25/3
0.94/0
D. Barlaser n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Iredale n 875.4
00/0
00/0
J. McGrath n 884.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Boyle n 851
0.42/0
0.21/0
D. Barlaser n 880.8
00/0
0.11/0
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
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Celtic

Celtic Goalkeeper

Celtic — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Schmeichel36903240 min952.6 /90451.3 /9000 /90
V. Sinisalo990810 min232.6 /90101.1 /9000 /90
Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Schmeichel n 890
3.45/4
V. Sinisalo n 890
2.85/3

Celtic Defensive

Celtic — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Scales42873636 min370.9 /90461.1 /90240.6 /902345.8 /90461.1 /90110.3 /90
K. Tierney41732981 min682.1 /90170.5 /90130.4 /901594.8 /90210.6 /9020.1 /90
A. Trusty30822464 min351.3 /90260.9 /90260.9 /901465.3 /90190.7 /9020.1 /90
A. Ralston21681431 min342.1 /90130.8 /90100.6 /90935.8 /90201.3 /9030.2 /90
Colby Donovan18631141 min362.8 /90120.9 /9020.2 /90796.2 /90151.2 /9030.2 /90
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Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McGregor n 882.3
0.75/0
0.32/0
—
B. Nygren n 864.4
0.73/1
1.45/2
J. McGrath
L. Scales n 890
1.16/3
0.43/0
—
D. Maeda n 880.6
1.47/3
15/1
M. Boyle
K. Tierney n 876.8
0.62/1
0.74/1
J. Iredale
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Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McGregor n 882.3
1.57/2
B. Nygren n 864.4
1.45/2
L. Scales n 890
1.36/4
D. Maeda n 880.6
1.75/4
K. Tierney n 876.8
2.26/4
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Celtic Attacking

Celtic — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Maeda42763179 min90.3 /9090.3 /90541.5 /90300.8 /90371 /90220.6 /90
S. Tounekti32611937 min20.1 /9020.1 /90271.3 /90100.5 /90401.9 /90582.7 /90
J. Kenny1553797 min40.5 /9020.2 /90333.7 /90131.5 /90101.1 /9050.6 /90
K. Ịheanachọ1347611 min40.6 /9000 /90192.8 /9091.3 /9060.9 /9081.2 /90
T. Čvančara1158636 min20.3 /9010.1 /90152.1 /9071 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
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Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McGregor n 882.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
B. Nygren n 864.4
1.46/2
0.95/0
L. Scales n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Maeda n 880.6
1.36/1
0.84/1
K. Tierney n 876.8
0.74/1
0.63/1
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Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McGregor n 882.3
00/0
00/0
B. Nygren n 864.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
L. Scales n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Maeda n 880.6
0.31/1
0.11/0
K. Tierney n 876.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HibernianCeltic
19%Possession81%
0.38Expected goals (xG)2.78
4Shots27
1Shots on target6
3Shots off target7
0Blocked shots14
2Shots inside the box13
0Corners13
1Offsides2
7Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
4Saves0
162Passes725
51%Pass accuracy89%

Hibernian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000007.2
W. O'Hora9000000107.9
R. Bushiri9000000006.9
K. Megwa9000000206.3
M. Chaiwa9000000106.5
J. Iredale8100000106.9
Owen Elding8100000006.9
J. Newell7310110107.9
N. Cadden4500100106.6
M. Boyle4500000006.5
J. McGrath21000000R3.6
J. Obita sub45000000Y6.3
J. Campbell sub45000001Y6.3
D. Barlaser sub1700000006.9
D. Scarlett sub900100006.3
A. Šuto sub9001011Y6.6

Celtic Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Sinisalo9000000006.2
A. Trusty9000111007.3
L. Scales90001000Y6.6
K. Tierney9000210006.7
C. McGregor9000213107
A. Engels90000012Y6.6
D. Maeda9010310006.3
B. Nygren7700112006.9
Yang Hyun-Jun7000104006.3
A. Johnston6401103007.3
S. Tounekti6300003006.6
J. Forrest sub2700001006.9
L. McCowan sub26000001Y6.9
K. Ịheanachọ sub2010110107
A. Ralston sub1300000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Celtic — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HibernianDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CelticLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hibernian 2 · 1 draw · Celtic 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-22 Celtic 1–2 Hibernian
  • 2025-11-30 Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
  • 2025-09-27 Celtic 0–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-05-10 Celtic 3–1 Hibernian
  • 2025-03-09 Celtic 2–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-02-22 Hibernian 2–1 Celtic
League standing · 2025/26
Hibernian#5 pos57 pts38 pl+14 GD
Celtic#1 pos82 pts38 pl+32 GD
Goals per game
Hibernian scored1.53
Celtic scored1.92
Hibernian conceded1.16
Celtic conceded1.08

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Celtic?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Celtic was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Celtic?
In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 2, Celtic won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Celtic?
Recent form — Hibernian 1W 2D 2L; Celtic 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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