Hibernian v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock

Premiership · Tue, 15 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Easter Road

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hibernian · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock — Kilmarnock won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.14 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,055 of 1,406 times (75%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Kilmarnock won 1–0 at Easter Road in the Premiership on Tuesday 15 September. Hibernian are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Kilmarnock, every meeting checked.

The goals

Kilmarnock led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Kilmarnock: George Stanger (40’). Djenairo Daniels (90+2’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with George Stanger’s goal on 40 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Hibernian 1.31, Kilmarnock 1.95, from 23 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Lee showed three yellow cards and one red — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kilmarnock: Tyreece John-Jules (31’), Djenairo Daniels (78’) and Djenairo Daniels (90+2’).

What it changes

Hibernian stay eighth after this result (six league matches played). Hibernian have scored seven goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games). Hibernian have conceded 10 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock stay 12th after this result (six league matches played). Kilmarnock have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games). Kilmarnock have conceded 14 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Grant Hanley (Hibernian) 7.8, George Stanger (Kilmarnock) 6.7 and Jason Kerr (Hibernian) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hibernian or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Hibernian next travel to Aberdeen on 7 November 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock · Premiership
Venue: Easter Road · Edinburgh
Referee: R. Lee
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 3 · draws 3 · Kilmarnock 0 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Hibernian 2W 0D 3L · Kilmarnock 1W 2D 2L

Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1

Goals

against 1.13 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5 / 5

Corners

against 5 / 5.4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4.29 / 4

Shots on target

against 3.14 / 6.4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.57 / 2.4

Cards

against 1.43 / 2.4 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

2.76 yellows

Referee · R. Lee

22.59 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 17 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Hibernian for / against	Line	Kilmarnock for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 5.4 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	9.86 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.6 for · 17.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	4.29 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 6.4 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 8 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.2 for · 10.8 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	2.57 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.4 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: R. Lee — 2.76 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.59 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Sallinger	6	90540 min	203.3 /90	122 /90	00 /90

Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 8	90	3.9 8/5

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Kerr	6	90540 min	81.3 /90	61 /90	71.2 /90	488 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
F. Passlack	5	90449 min	122.4 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	214.2 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
J. Obita	5	78389 min	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	81.9 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90
W. O'Hora	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
G. Hanley	3	80241 min	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	83 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Kerr n 6	90	0.3 2/0	1 4/1	M. Schjønning-Larsen
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Mulligan n 8	73.9	2 7/6	0.5 2/1	G. Kiltie
N. Lowe n 6	72.5	1.4 5/2	1.4 5/2	—
F. Passlack n 8	89.9	0.5 3/1	0.8 4/2	G. Kiltie
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 6	90	1.3 3/3
J. Mulligan n 8	73.9	3.4 8/6
N. Lowe n 6	72.5	0.6 2/1
F. Passlack n 8	89.9	2.3 8/6
J. Obita n 8	80.9	1.1 5/3
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Lowe	6	73435 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	91.9 /90	40.8 /90	81.7 /90	51 /90
M. Boyle	5	69345 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
A. Šuto	4	34136 min	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	10.7 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90
T. Klidje	2	4386 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90
Owen Elding	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	33 /90	22 /90	22 /90	11 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 6	90	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mulligan n 8	73.9	1.2 5/2	0.5 2/1
N. Lowe n 6	72.5	1.9 4/2	0.8 3/1
F. Passlack n 8	89.9	0.6 3/2	0.3 2/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Kerr n 6	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mulligan n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
N. Lowe n 6	72.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
F. Passlack n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Stryjek	5	90450 min	193.8 /90	142.8 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.2 7/3

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Schjønning-Larsen	5	87434 min	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	153.1 /90	51 /90	00 /90
G. Stanger	5	86431 min	61.3 /90	61.3 /90	51 /90	214.4 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
J. Brandon	5	63316 min	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	144 /90	102.8 /90	10.3 /90
C. McCarthy	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	93 /90	20.7 /90	175.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
J. Yfeko	2	68135 min	42.7 /90	21.3 /90	42.7 /90	64 /90	32 /90	00 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	1.1 6/3	1.1 6/3	—
M. Stryjek n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
G. Kiltie n 8	87.1	0.9 5/2	3.4 8/7	F. Passlack
T. Lowery n 8	88.5	0.4 3/0	1 6/2	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	77.5	0.7 4/1	0.6 4/0	J. Kerr
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0
G. Kiltie n 8	87.1	1.3 7/3
T. Lowery n 8	88.5	1.9 7/5
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	77.5	0.7 3/1
G. Stanger n 8	84.1	1.1 7/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	5	90450 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
T. John-Jules	4	57228 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
D. Daniels	3	51152 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
C. Burke	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	1.8 6/5	1.4 6/4
M. Stryjek n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	87.1	1.2 6/2	0.5 3/1
T. Lowery n 8	88.5	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	77.5	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.6	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
M. Stryjek n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	87.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
T. Lowery n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hibernian		Kilmarnock
60%	Possession	40%
1.31	Expected goals (xG)	1.95
23	Shots	12
7	Shots on target	7
6	Shots off target	3
10	Blocked shots	2
18	Shots inside the box	9
15	Corners	7
5	Offsides	2
8	Fouls	10
0	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	1
6	Saves	7
494	Passes	329
83%	Pass accuracy	74%

Hibernian Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
R. Sallinger	90	0	0	0	0	9.3
F. Passlack	90	1	1	6	0	8.3
J. Mulligan	90	3	2	1	3	7.3
A. Mayor	90	0	0	1	2	7.2
J. Kerr	90	3	2	1	2	7.2
J. Iredale	90	1	0	2	1	6.9
J. Devaney	67	0	0	0	3	6.3
C. Wright	53	1	1	0	0	6.6
A. Šuto	53	0	0	2	0	6.9
T. Klidje	53	1	0	1	0	6.5
K. Megwa	8	0	0	0	0	6.9
G. Hanley sub	82	0	0	1	5	7.9
N. Lowe sub	37	1	0	0	0	6.5
Owen Elding sub	37	0	0	3	0	6.6
M. Boyle sub	37	1	0	1	0	6.3
M. Chaiwa sub	23	1	1	0	1	6.9

Kilmarnock Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Stryjek	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.6
G. Stanger	90	1	1	1	0	1	0	7.6
M. Schjønning-Larsen	90	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.7
C. McCarthy	90	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.3
T. Lowery	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
G. Kiltie	90	0	2	2	2	0	0	7.9
J. Hugill	90	0	3	2	1	0	0	6.5
E. Ring	89	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
T. John-Jules	73	0	2	0	0	1	Y	6.2
B. Rice	67	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.7
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara	67	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
Mark O'Hara sub	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Brandon sub	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
D. Daniels sub	19	0	0	0	1	1	RY	6.5
R. McKenzie sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

HibernianLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

KilmarnockWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hibernian 3 · 3 draws · Kilmarnock 0 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-04-04 Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock
2026-01-03 Kilmarnock 1–3 Hibernian
2025-08-10 Hibernian 2–2 Kilmarnock
2025-03-15 Kilmarnock 1–1 Hibernian
2024-12-29 Hibernian 1–0 Kilmarnock
2024-09-01 Kilmarnock 1–1 Hibernian

League standing · 2026/27

Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD

Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

Hibernian scored1

Kilmarnock scored1.08

Hibernian conceded1.55

Kilmarnock conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Kilmarnock?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Kilmarnock was Home or Draw (best price 1.14 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Kilmarnock?: In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 3, Kilmarnock won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Kilmarnock?: Recent form — Hibernian 2W 0D 3L; Kilmarnock 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 12:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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