KilmarnockDundee

Kilmarnock v Dundee result

Full-time · Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kilmarnock · Dundee · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee — Kilmarnock won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,974 of 2,640 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kilmarnock beat Dundee 3–1 in the Premiership on Tuesday 12 May. It is Kilmarnock’s first win over Dundee since 10 May 2025, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Kilmarnock: Thomas Lowery (62’, assisted by Michael Schjønning-Larsen), an own goal by Thomas Lowery (77’) and Joseph Hugill (85’ pen, 90’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Kilmarnock 3.38, Dundee 0.43, from 19 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Scott showed seven yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kilmarnock: B. Anderson (35’), Robbie Deas (38’), Lewis Mayo (89’) and Joseph Hugill (90+4’); Dundee: Finlay Robertson (18’), Joseph Bevan (83’) and K. O'Hara (84’).

What it changes

Kilmarnock have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joseph Hugill (Kilmarnock) 8.7, Thomas Lowery (Kilmarnock) 6.8 and Aaron Tshibola (Kilmarnock) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Dundee are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Kilmarnock.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Kilmarnock or Dundee (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Dundee next host Heart Of Midlothian on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Dundee: Dundee v Heart of Midlothian, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee · Premiership
  • Referee: C. Scott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kilmarnock 1 · draws 3 · Dundee 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L · Dundee 2W 1D 2L

Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · C. Scott
21.36 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKilmarnock for / againstLineDundee for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.38 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
7.63 for · 15 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: C. Scott — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 21.36 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Oluwayemi12901080 min443.7 /90181.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Roos1190990 min444 /90262.4 /9020.2 /90
M. Stryjek1090900 min333.3 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Oluwayemi n 890
4.38/7
K. Roos n 890
3.56/6
M. Stryjek n 890
3.16/5

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Deas34872941 min421.3 /90371.1 /90331 /901775.4 /90371.1 /90110.3 /90
D. Thompson32762441 min401.5 /90381.4 /90110.4 /90953.5 /90160.6 /9050.2 /90
L. Mayo22821807 min291.4 /90271.3 /90150.7 /90834.1 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
G. Stanger18861540 min140.8 /90150.9 /90110.6 /90684 /90171 /9060.4 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen16711128 min151.2 /90100.8 /9030.2 /90443.5 /90121 /9010.1 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Deas n 890
1.36/3
0.64/1
R. Astley
D. Thompson n 847.3
0.73/0
0.21/0
R. Astley
D. Watson n 856
0.82/1
14/1
—
G. Kiltie n 881.1
1.87/5
2.97/6
—
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.73/1
1.34/2
—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
1.35/3
D. Thompson n 847.3
1.25/0
D. Watson n 856
2.26/4
G. Kiltie n 881.1
1.76/3
B. Lyons n 861.6
1.35/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Anderson28631773 min40.2 /9020.1 /90301.5 /90130.7 /9090.5 /9010.1 /90
T. John-Jules17671143 min80.6 /9020.2 /90322.5 /90201.6 /90141.1 /90141.1 /90
M. Dackers17641085 min20.2 /9000 /90201.7 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90131.1 /90
J. Hugill1275900 min40.4 /9020.2 /90131.3 /9070.7 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90
S. Tiffoney1055552 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9071.1 /9061 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Thompson n 847.3
00/0
00/0
D. Watson n 856
0.63/0
0.42/0
G. Kiltie n 881.1
15/2
0.74/1
B. Lyons n 861.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Deas n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Thompson n 847.3
00/0
00/0
D. Watson n 856
00/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 881.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
B. Lyons n 861.6
00/0
00/0
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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jon McCracken35893126 min1303.7 /90561.6 /9000 /90
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jon McCracken n 887
4.47/6

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luke Graham35893126 min521.5 /90481.4 /90361 /902697.7 /90320.9 /9030.1 /90
R. Astley34862907 min521.6 /90371.1 /90260.8 /901915.9 /90240.7 /9020.1 /90
D. Wright33882906 min441.4 /90260.8 /9060.2 /901243.8 /90140.4 /9020.1 /90
I. Samuels27701900 min311.5 /90351.7 /9030.1 /90823.9 /90100.5 /9010 /90
C. Robertson14861210 min80.6 /9080.6 /90100.7 /90372.8 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luke Graham n 890
16/2
27/5
—
Jon McCracken n 887
00/0
0.42/1
—
R. Astley n 889.3
14/3
0.83/1
D. Thompson
D. Wright n 889.6
0.43/0
1.36/2
—
E. Hamilton n 890
1.14/2
27/3
—
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luke Graham n 890
1.96/4
R. Astley n 889.3
28/5
D. Wright n 889.6
1.46/4
E. Hamilton n 890
3.17/5
C. Congreve n 878.5
0.95/1
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Murray29661922 min70.3 /9000 /90281.3 /90130.6 /90120.6 /90100.5 /90
Ashley Hay20581159 min30.2 /9010.1 /90151.2 /9070.5 /90100.8 /9060.5 /90
C. Reilly729201 min10.4 /9010.4 /9041.8 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9041.8 /90
E. Acquah637222 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9052 /90
S. Wright633197 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Luke Graham n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
Jon McCracken n 887
00/0
00/0
R. Astley n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
D. Wright n 889.6
00/0
00/0
E. Hamilton n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luke Graham n 890
00/0
00/0
Jon McCracken n 887
00/0
00/0
R. Astley n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
D. Wright n 889.6
00/0
0.11/0
E. Hamilton n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KilmarnockDundee
52%Possession48%
3.38Expected goals (xG)0.43
19Shots7
8Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box6
6Corners2
1Offsides0
13Fouls18
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves5
442Passes420
81%Pass accuracy77%

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Stryjek9000000006.3
G. Stanger9000000006.2
R. Deas90000000Y6.9
D. Thompson9000102206.9
T. Lowery9010221107.6
A. Tshibola9000003008
Findlay Curtis9000313007.9
J. Hugill90203300Y6.6
G. Kiltie8900103006.9
M. Schjønning-Larsen8701202107.9
B. Anderson58001100Y6.2
M. Watkins sub2900001106.3
L. Mayo sub9000000Y6.7
D. Watson sub900000106.6
R. McKenzie sub10011000–

Dundee Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. O'Hara90000000Y7.3
R. Astley9000110106.9
Billy Dawson Koumetio9000000006.2
C. Jones9000000406.6
Finlay Robertson90000022Y6.2
I. Samuels9000000006.2
J. Cotterill8600000206.6
B. Halliday7800000006.5
Ashley Hay6800111006.7
S. Wright6800000006.9
C. Robertson6700100007.2
J. Bevan sub23000011Y6.2
C. Reilly sub2200200006.6
J. Westley sub2200000006.3
Charley Oosenbrugh sub1200000005.9
Tony Yogane sub1000001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kilmarnock v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KilmarnockLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
DundeeLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kilmarnock 1 · 3 draws · Dundee 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee
  • 2026-01-17 Kilmarnock 1–2 Dundee
  • 2025-12-30 Dundee 2–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-08-23 Kilmarnock 0–0 Dundee
  • 2025-05-10 Kilmarnock 3–2 Dundee
  • 2024-11-30 Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee
League standing · 2025/26
Kilmarnock#4 pos40 pts38 pl-18 GD
Dundee#2 pos42 pts38 pl-19 GD
Goals per game
Kilmarnock scored1.32
Dundee scored1.11
Kilmarnock conceded1.79
Dundee conceded1.61

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Kilmarnock v Dundee?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kilmarnock v Dundee was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Dundee?
In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, Dundee won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kilmarnock and Dundee?
Recent form — Kilmarnock 2W 1D 2L; Dundee 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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