ST Johnstone v Kilmarnock result
Team pages: ST Johnstone · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock — ST Johnstone won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
ST Johnstone beat Kilmarnock 4–3 at McDiarmid Park in the Premiership on Sunday 2 August.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — ST Johnstone: J. Fowler (16’, assisted by James Gullan), Cheick Diabate (47’, assisted by James Gullan), an own goal by Jason Holt (53’) and Kai Fotheringham (80’, assisted by J. Fowler); Kilmarnock: Greg Kiltie (37’, assisted by Thomas Lowery), Joseph Hugill (49’) and an own goal by Michael Schjønning-Larsen (69’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kai Fotheringham’s goal on 80 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: ST Johnstone 2.03, Kilmarnock 0.92, from 15 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
John Beaton, Scotland showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — ST Johnstone: Liam Smith (45+4’) and Cheick Diabate (52’); Kilmarnock: Tyreece John-Jules (21’) and Jamie Brandon (82’).
What it changes
ST Johnstone are second after this result (one league match played).
Kilmarnock are 10th after this result (one league match played).
With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across six matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Gullan (ST Johnstone) 8.2, J. Fowler (ST Johnstone) 8.1 and Matthew Foulds (ST Johnstone) 5.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).
Next up
ST Johnstone next host Dundee on 7 November 2026.
Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for ST Johnstone: ST Johnstone v Dundee, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock · Premiership
- Venue: McDiarmid Park · Perth
- Referee: John Beaton, Scotland
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): ST Johnstone 2 · draws 0 · Kilmarnock 4 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: ST Johnstone 3W 1D 1L · Kilmarnock 3W 2D 0L
ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
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The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| ST Johnstone | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Possession | 45% |
| 2.03 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.92 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 534 | Passes | 428 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
ST Johnstone Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Steward | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.3 |
| Z. Mitchell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Diabate | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.6 |
| M. Foulds | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Stanton | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Gullan | 85 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| J. Fowler | 84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| R. McAlear | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Holt | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Paton | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Chalmers sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Fotheringham sub | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| L. Lloyd sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Tait sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Baird sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Kilmarnock Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stryjek | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Brown | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| G. Stanger | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 |
| T. Lowery | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Hugill | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| G. Kiltie | 85 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| E. Ring | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| A. Tshibola | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| N. Cleșcenco | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. John-Jules | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| J. Brandon sub | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| B. Rice sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Roshaun Mathurin sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Mark O'Hara sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| I. Owen sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind ST Johnstone v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-03 ST Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock
- 2025-02-15 Kilmarnock 3–1 ST Johnstone
- 2024-11-23 ST Johnstone 1–0 Kilmarnock
- 2024-08-11 Kilmarnock 0–3 ST Johnstone
- 2024-04-13 ST Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock
- 2023-12-23 Kilmarnock 2–1 ST Johnstone
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for ST Johnstone v Kilmarnock?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Johnstone v Kilmarnock was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.95 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between ST Johnstone and Kilmarnock?
- In their last 6 meetings, ST Johnstone won 2, Kilmarnock won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of ST Johnstone and Kilmarnock?
- Recent form — ST Johnstone 3W 1D 1L; Kilmarnock 3W 2D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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