AlvercaArouca

Alverca v Arouca result

Full-time · Alverca 2–1 Arouca

Primeira Liga · · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Alverca · Arouca

The model’s pre-match pick

Alverca 2–1 Arouca — Alverca won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Alverca beat Arouca 2–1 at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca in the Primeira Liga on Friday 24 April.

The goals

Alverca led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Alverca: Kaiky Naves (9’, assisted by Zoubdi) and Marko Milovanović (71’, assisted by Chiquinho); Arouca: Espen van Ee (49’, assisted by Bas Kuipers).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marko Milovanović’s goal on 71 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Alverca 1.06, Arouca 0.88, from 7 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Rosa showed six yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arouca: Tiago Esgaio (35’), José Fontán (61’), M. Rocha (67’), Espen van Ee (70’), A. Trezza (89’) and Pedro Santos (90+6’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bas Kuipers (Arouca) 7.0, Espen van Ee (Arouca) 6.5 and Kaiky Naves (Alverca) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Alverca or Arouca (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Alverca next travel to Academico Viseu on 28 November 2026.

Arouca next host Rio Ave on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Alverca: Academico Viseu v Alverca, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Arouca: Arouca v Rio Ave, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Alverca 2–1 Arouca · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo
  • Referee: D. Rosa
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Alverca 0 · draws 0 · Arouca 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Alverca 2W 1D 2L · Arouca 3W 0D 2L

Alverca 2–1 Arouca (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 3.38
Corners
against 3.63 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 3.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · D. Rosa
27.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAlverca for / againstLineArouca for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
3.38 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: D. Rosa — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 27.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Alverca

Alverca Goalkeeper

Alverca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
André Gomes25902250 min712.8 /90411.6 /9010 /90
Matheus Mendes590450 min214.2 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Alverca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Gomes n 890
2.97/4
Matheus Mendes n 590
4.24/4

Alverca Defensive

Alverca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kaiky Naves28882476 min742.7 /90441.6 /90321.2 /901264.6 /90240.9 /9070.3 /90
B. Meupiyou27872351 min431.6 /90291.1 /90110.4 /901084.1 /90261 /9050.2 /90
Sergi Gómez26862236 min271.1 /90200.8 /9090.4 /90532.1 /90130.5 /9010 /90
J. Martínez1066657 min141.9 /9040.5 /9060.8 /90324.4 /9091.2 /9010.1 /90
S. Baseya664381 min20.5 /9000 /9040.9 /90143.3 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
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Alverca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Milovanović n 832.4
0.72/0
1.43/1
—
Kaiky Naves n 890
0.95/1
0.11/0
José Fontán
Zoubdi n 890
0.43/0
17/1
T. Fukui
B. Meupiyou n 887.1
0.63/2
0.32/0
José Fontán
Sergi Gómez n 888.8
0.84/2
00/0
José Fontán
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Alverca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Milovanović n 832.4
00/0
Kaiky Naves n 890
2.47/7
Zoubdi n 890
0.83/2
B. Meupiyou n 887.1
15/3
Sergi Gómez n 888.8
1.56/2
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Alverca Attacking

Alverca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Milovanović29521501 min80.5 /9020.1 /90301.8 /90201.2 /9070.4 /9070.4 /90
Sandro Lima24461100 min50.4 /9020.2 /90181.5 /90131.1 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
Figueiredo21731526 min50.3 /9020.1 /90251.5 /90140.8 /90241.4 /90261.5 /90
Chiquinho17731236 min20.1 /9030.2 /90141 /9050.4 /90191.4 /90272 /90
C. Nuozzi1749829 min10.1 /9000 /9091 /9050.5 /9060.7 /90131.4 /90
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Alverca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Milovanović n 832.4
2.84/4
2.14/2
Kaiky Naves n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
Zoubdi n 890
1.48/2
0.84/1
B. Meupiyou n 887.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
Sergi Gómez n 888.8
00/0
00/0
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Alverca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Milovanović n 832.4
0.72/0
0.31/0
Kaiky Naves n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Zoubdi n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Meupiyou n 887.1
00/0
00/0
Sergi Gómez n 888.8
00/0
00/0
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Arouca

Arouca Goalkeeper

Arouca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. de Arruabarrena12901080 min322.7 /90151.3 /9000 /90
João Valido990810 min252.8 /90242.7 /9010.1 /90
Nico Mantl890720 min263.3 /90182.3 /9000 /90
J. Vinarčík19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
36/5
João Valido n 890
38/5
Nico Mantl n 890
3.26/6

Arouca Defensive

Arouca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Fontán27842275 min311.2 /90311.2 /9090.4 /901054.2 /90331.3 /9090.4 /90
Tiago Esgaio25842106 min241 /90251.1 /90150.6 /901154.9 /90341.5 /9090.4 /90
B. Popović16721147 min90.7 /90110.9 /90131 /90393.1 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
A. Danté1459819 min202.2 /9050.5 /9080.9 /90394.3 /90111.2 /9000 /90
B. Kuipers13781018 min50.4 /9070.6 /9040.4 /90252.2 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
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Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Djouahra n 883
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Fukui n 888
0.64/1
1.36/3
Zoubdi
A. Trezza n 868
1.36/1
15/1
—
José Fontán n 890
1.37/3
0.54/0
Sergi Gómez
Lee Hyun-Ju n 881.9
2.28/4
3.87/6
—
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Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 883
1.44/2
T. Fukui n 888
15/2
A. Trezza n 868
0.52/1
José Fontán n 890
0.95/2
Lee Hyun-Ju n 881.9
0.32/0
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Arouca Attacking

Arouca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Barbero24661576 min70.4 /9020.1 /90341.9 /90171 /90130.7 /9020.1 /90
D. Nandín1653851 min10.1 /9000 /90121.3 /9060.6 /9091 /9030.3 /90
Miguel Puche1640646 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9050.7 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90
B. Mansilla1126285 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9061.9 /90
N. Djouahra30812425 min60.2 /9030.1 /90331.2 /90190.7 /90271 /90301.1 /90
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Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 883
0.96/1
0.43/0
T. Fukui n 888
0.64/1
0.31/1
A. Trezza n 868
1.24/2
0.83/2
José Fontán n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 881.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
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Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 883
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Fukui n 888
00/0
00/0
A. Trezza n 868
0.32/0
00/0
José Fontán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 881.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AlvercaArouca
36%Possession64%
1.06Expected goals (xG)0.88
7Shots14
3Shots on target3
2Shots off target6
2Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box6
6Corners3
4Offsides2
8Fouls12
0Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
1Saves1
319Passes589
76%Pass accuracy85%

Alverca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matheus Mendes9000000006.5
Kaiky Naves9010110007.2
B. Meupiyou9000000206.6
Zoubdi9001002007.5
Lincoln9000000106
I. James9000002107.2
Rhaldney8900001306.9
Chiquinho8901001007.7
Figueiredo8200310007.3
Sergi Gómez6800000007.2
Sandro Lima6800000006.5
S. Baseya sub2200000006.9
M. Milovanović sub2210110007.5
D. Gui sub800000006.7
Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques sub10000000–
Vasco Moreira sub10000000–

Arouca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. de Arruabarrena9000001006.6
Tiago Esgaio90000004Y6
José Fontán90000000Y7
B. Kuipers9001101206.6
N. Djouahra9000002006.5
Barbero9000202106
M. Rocha83000002Y6.6
T. Fukui8300211206.9
E. van Ee75102112Y7.2
Lee Hyun-Ju7500000006.5
Pablo Gozálbez6000111006.3
A. Trezza sub30001000Y6.5
Pedro Santos sub15000001Y6.9
Mateo Flores sub1500000006.5
F. Mayulu sub1300000006.3
B. Mansilla sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Alverca v Arouca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlvercaDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
AroucaLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Alverca 0 · 0 draws · Arouca 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Arouca 1–0 Alverca
League standing · 2025/26
Alverca#11 pos39 pts34 pl-17 GD
Arouca#8 pos42 pts34 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Alverca scored1.03
Arouca scored1.38
Alverca conceded1.53
Arouca conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Alverca v Arouca?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Alverca v Arouca was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Alverca and Arouca?
In their last 1 meetings, Alverca won 0, Arouca won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alverca and Arouca?
Recent form — Alverca 2W 1D 2L; Arouca 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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