This Matchweek

AroucaMoreirense

Arouca v Moreirense result

Full-time · Arouca 4–0 Moreirense

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Arouca 4–0 Moreirense — Arouca won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 2.04 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.6% of 285 landed (95% range 74.6–83.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 192 of 281 times (68.3%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Arouca beat Moreirense 4–0 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 16 August. Arouca have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Arouca led 3–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Moreirense: an own goal by Maracás (23’); Arouca: José Fontán (30’, assisted by Lee Hyun-Ju), Barbero (45’, assisted by Näis Djouahra) and D. Nandín (90’, assisted by Näis Djouahra).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Arouca 2.24, Moreirense 0.50, from 15 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Narciso showed seven yellow cards — against 6.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arouca: Javi Sánchez (16’), Barbero (41’) and D. Nandín (75’); Moreirense: Maracás (13’), Kiko (44’), Nile John (55’) and Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos (65’).

What it changes

Arouca stay first after this result (two league matches played).

Moreirense move down from fifth to 15th (two league matches played).

Arouca are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Moreirense are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Näis Djouahra (Arouca) 9.6, José Fontán (Arouca) 7.5 and Lee Hyun-Ju (Arouca) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Arouca to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Arouca next host Rio Ave on 28 November 2026.

Moreirense next host Santa Clara on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arouca: Arouca v Rio Ave, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Moreirense: Moreirense v Santa Clara, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arouca 4–0 Moreirense · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca
  • Referee: A. Narciso
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 2 · draws 0 · Moreirense 4 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arouca 3W 1D 1L · Moreirense 1W 2D 2L

Arouca 4–0 Moreirense (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.13 yellows
Referee · A. Narciso
30.38 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArouca for / againstLineMoreirense for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.25our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.63 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Narciso — 6.13 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 30.38 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Arouca

Arouca Goalkeeper

Arouca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. de Arruabarrena19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
24/3

Arouca Defensive

Arouca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Fontán19090 min11 /9011 /9044 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
Tiago Esgaio19090 min22 /9011 /9011 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
Javi Sánchez17373 min22.5 /9000 /9022.5 /9033.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Mateo Flores16565 min11.4 /9000 /9000 /9022.8 /9000 /9000 /90
O. Lebedenko12525 min13.6 /9013.6 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9013.6 /90
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Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Trezza n 865
2.15/2
0.94/1
Landerson
José Fontán n 890
1.17/2
0.64/1
Gilberto Batista
Tiago Esgaio n 889.9
1.15/4
1.17/1
Kiko
T. Fukui n 885.6
0.31/1
1.27/2
—
N. Djouahra n 882.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
Landerson
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Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tiago Esgaio n 889.9
1.86/4
T. Fukui n 885.6
1.76/4
A. Trezza n 865
1.24/2
José Fontán n 890
0.85/1
N. Djouahra n 882.8
0.54/0
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Arouca Attacking

Arouca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Barbero16565 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Nandín12525 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.6 /90
N. Djouahra19090 min00 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9022 /90
T. Fukui19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Tiago Esgaio19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Trezza n 865
1.43/2
0.52/1
Tiago Esgaio n 889.9
16/2
0.32/0
T. Fukui n 885.6
0.95/2
0.54/0
N. Djouahra n 882.8
0.54/0
0.32/0
José Fontán n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tiago Esgaio n 889.9
0.32/0
0.43/0
T. Fukui n 885.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
N. Djouahra n 882.8
00/0
0.32/0
A. Trezza n 865
0.21/0
00/0
José Fontán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Moreirense

Moreirense Goalkeeper

Moreirense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
André Ferreira19898 min21.8 /9021.8 /9000 /90
Moreirense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Ferreira n 891
3.86/5

Moreirense Defensive

Moreirense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gilberto Batista19898 min43.7 /9032.8 /9000 /9065.5 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
Kevyn Monteiro19898 min00 /9010.9 /9000 /9043.7 /9021.8 /9010.9 /90
Kiko19898 min10.9 /9043.7 /9000 /9032.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos19898 min32.8 /9000 /9000 /9065.5 /9010.9 /9000 /90
Guilherme Liberato17575 min22.4 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9067.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
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Moreirense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Landerson n 857.1
1.24/1
2.67/4
N. Djouahra
Kevyn Monteiro n 855.5
1.24/2
1.43/2
—
Gilberto Batista n 888.3
1.16/2
0.54/0
José Fontán
Kiko n 864.4
14/1
15/1
Tiago Esgaio
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 561
0.93/0
0.92/1
—
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Moreirense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 561
2.75/3
Kiko n 864.4
2.48/5
Gilberto Batista n 888.3
2.38/4
Landerson n 857.1
1.66/2
Kevyn Monteiro n 855.5
1.65/2
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Moreirense Attacking

Moreirense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Duville-Parsemain19898 min00 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.8 /9000 /90
Landerson19898 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /90
Guilherme Liberato17575 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /90
N. John17575 min11.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /90
João Veloso13131 min12.9 /9000 /9025.8 /9012.9 /9000 /9025.8 /90
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Moreirense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kiko n 864.4
0.94/1
0.32/0
Landerson n 857.1
0.83/1
0.21/0
Gilberto Batista n 888.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Kevyn Monteiro n 855.5
0.21/0
00/0
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
00/0
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Moreirense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
0.11/0
Gilberto Batista n 888.3
00/0
00/0
Kiko n 864.4
00/0
00/0
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 561
00/0
00/0
Landerson n 857.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AroucaMoreirense
51%Possession49%
2.24Expected goals (xG)0.50
15Shots5
6Shots on target1
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box3
5Corners3
1Offsides0
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves2
492Passes483
85%Pass accuracy84%

Arouca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. de Arruabarrena9000000007
Tiago Esgaio9000002007.3
Javi Sánchez90000000Y7.2
José Fontán9010220208.3
O. Lebedenko9000000107.2
N. Djouahra9002104008.5
E. van Ee8000000107
T. Fukui7900323007.2
A. Trezza7200202006.9
Lee Hyun-Ju7201101206.6
Barbero59102101Y6.9
D. Nandín sub31101100Y6.7
Pablo Gozálbez sub1800001007.2
B. Mansilla sub1800000006.5
Pedro Santos sub1100000306.9
Mateo Flores sub1000000106.7

Moreirense Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
André Ferreira9000000005.9
Gilberto Batista9000000007
Maracás90000000Y4.9
Kiko90000011Y5.5
N. John90001001Y6.3
A. Duville-Parsemain9000210006
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos85000010Y6.2
Rodri Alonso7200001106.3
Landerson6300000006.2
Guilherme Liberato4500000106.3
Afonso Vieira4500000006
Dinis Pinto sub4500002106.5
João Veloso sub4500100006.7
Kiko Bondoso sub2700000006.6
M. Stjepanović sub1800000106.3
Michael Dacosta sub800000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arouca v Moreirense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AroucaLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MoreirenseLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arouca 2 · 0 draws · Moreirense 4 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Moreirense 0–1 Arouca
  • 2025-11-02 Arouca 0–2 Moreirense
  • 2025-01-24 Arouca 1–0 Moreirense
  • 2024-08-18 Moreirense 3–1 Arouca
  • 2024-03-17 Moreirense 1–0 Arouca
  • 2023-10-27 Arouca 0–1 Moreirense
League standing · 2026/27
Arouca#5 pos20 pts11 pl+5 GD
Moreirense#9 pos14 pts11 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Arouca scored1.18
Moreirense scored1.18
Arouca conceded0.73
Moreirense conceded1.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arouca v Moreirense?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Moreirense was Home win (best price 2.04 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Moreirense?
In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 2, Moreirense won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arouca and Moreirense?
Recent form — Arouca 3W 1D 1L; Moreirense 1W 2D 2L.

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