AroucaSanta Clara

Arouca v Santa Clara result

Full-time · Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara — Santa Clara won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Santa Clara won 2–1 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 13 September. Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Santa Clara led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Santa Clara: Gonçalo Paciência (22’, assisted by José Luís Rocha Tavares) and José Luís Rocha Tavares (36’, assisted by Pedro Pacheco); Arouca: Barbero (46’, assisted by Näis Djouahra). Sorriso (85’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gonçalo Paciência’s goal on 22 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Arouca 0.72, Santa Clara 1.16, from 10 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Arouca: Näis Djouahra (54’), Espen van Ee (65’) and Gabriel Rukavina (87’); Santa Clara: Emanuel Fernandes (33’), Tiago Ribeiro (65’), Pedro Ferreira (72’), Sorriso (84’) and Sorriso (85’).

What it changes

Arouca stay fifth after this result (six league matches played). Arouca have scored eight goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Arouca have conceded five goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Santa Clara move up from third to second (six league matches played). Santa Clara have scored 11 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Santa Clara have conceded four goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Santa Clara have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, José Luís Rocha Tavares (Santa Clara) 8.4, Pedro Pacheco (Santa Clara) 6.1 and Barbero (Arouca) 4.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Santa Clara are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Arouca.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Arouca next host Rio Ave on 28 November 2026.

Santa Clara next travel to Moreirense on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arouca: Arouca v Rio Ave, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Santa Clara: Moreirense v Santa Clara, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca
  • Referee: V. Ferreira
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 3 · draws 2 · Santa Clara 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arouca 3W 1D 1L · Santa Clara 3W 2D 0L

Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.25
Corners
against 6.13 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArouca for / againstLineSanta Clara for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.25our book
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 9.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: V. Ferreira.

Arouca

Arouca Goalkeeper

Arouca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. de Arruabarrena590450 min234.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
3.65/5

Arouca Defensive

Arouca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Fontán590450 min81.6 /9051 /90112.2 /90204 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Tiago Esgaio590448 min71.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90193.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
O. Lebedenko577385 min81.9 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90194.4 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
Javi Sánchez486343 min41 /9071.8 /9030.8 /9092.4 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90
B. Popović19090 min11 /9011 /9011 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
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Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José Fontán n 890
17/1
0.83/2
Pedro Pacheco
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
00/0
0.84/2
—
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
15/3
0.65/0
Guilherme Romão
N. Djouahra n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
T. Fukui n 886.6
0.42/1
1.46/4
Pedro Ferreira
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Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
José Fontán n 890
1.16/2
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
1.67/3
N. Djouahra n 884.4
0.95/1
T. Fukui n 886.6
2.17/6
A. Trezza n 880.6
1.36/2
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Arouca Attacking

Arouca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Barbero566331 min30.8 /9000 /9082.2 /9051.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
D. Nandín524119 min10.8 /9000 /9043 /9021.5 /9000 /9032.3 /90
B. Mansilla31956 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9023.2 /9000 /90
N. Djouahra589447 min00 /9030.6 /9091.8 /9020.4 /9051 /9061.2 /90
T. Fukui588439 min00 /9000 /9061.2 /9030.6 /9071.4 /9030.6 /90
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Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
José Fontán n 890
0.31/1
0.31/1
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
0.64/1
0.11/0
N. Djouahra n 884.4
1.36/2
0.32/0
T. Fukui n 886.6
1.36/3
0.85/1
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Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
José Fontán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
N. Djouahra n 884.4
00/0
0.42/1
T. Fukui n 886.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Santa Clara

Santa Clara Goalkeeper

Santa Clara — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas França590450 min91.8 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Santa Clara — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas França n 590
1.83/2

Santa Clara Defensive

Santa Clara — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Guilherme Romão590450 min71.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90193.8 /9051 /9010.2 /90
Pedro Pacheco590450 min40.8 /90102 /9010.2 /9091.8 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Emanuel Fernandes490360 min20.5 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9082 /9041 /9010.3 /90
Diogo Calila489355 min102.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90225.6 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Lucas Soares19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
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Santa Clara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pedro Ferreira n 885
1.36/3
0.83/1
T. Fukui
Pedro Pacheco n 880.6
1.37/2
0.11/0
José Fontán
Guilherme Romão n 881.5
0.84/1
1.26/3
Tiago Esgaio
Lucas França n 590
00/0
00/0
—
José Luís Rocha Tavares n 883.9
1.36/3
1.97/5
—
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Santa Clara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Ferreira n 885
48/8
Guilherme Romão n 881.5
1.15/2
Pedro Pacheco n 880.6
0.85/1
José Luís Rocha Tavares n 883.9
2.17/5
Gonçalo Paciência n 869.1
1.15/2
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Santa Clara Attacking

Santa Clara — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gonçalo Paciência575374 min41 /9010.2 /90153.6 /9092.2 /9030.7 /9051.2 /90
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos340121 min21.5 /9000 /9075.2 /9032.2 /9021.5 /9032.2 /90
Welinton Torrão32369 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira32162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /9022.9 /90
A. Duarte12727 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /90
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Santa Clara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro Pacheco n 880.6
0.43/0
00/0
Pedro Ferreira n 885
0.11/0
00/0
Lucas França n 590
00/0
00/0
Guilherme Romão n 881.5
00/0
00/0
José Luís Rocha Tavares n 883.9
0.73/1
0.31/1
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Santa Clara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas França n 590
00/0
00/0
Pedro Ferreira n 885
00/0
00/0
Guilherme Romão n 881.5
00/0
00/0
Pedro Pacheco n 880.6
00/0
00/0
José Luís Rocha Tavares n 883.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AroucaSanta Clara
64%Possession36%
0.72Expected goals (xG)1.16
10Shots12
4Shots on target5
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box7
5Corners2
2Offsides2
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
3Saves3
517Passes302
88%Pass accuracy73%

Arouca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Barbero9010220007.2
I. de Arruabarrena9000000006.3
José Fontán9000001207
T. Fukui9000101106.9
Javi Sánchez9000000107
Tiago Esgaio9000003207.2
O. Lebedenko8100110106
A. Trezza8100000206.7
E. van Ee68000001Y6.7
N. Djouahra68012021Y6.5
Pablo Gozálbez2300000006.5
Mateo Flores sub6700000006.3
G. Rukavina sub22001100Y6.5
Pedro Santos sub2200000006.6
F. Mayulu sub900000106.2
B. Mansilla sub900000006.5

Santa Clara Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pedro Pacheco9001001407.6
Lucas Soares9000111006.9
Guilherme Romão9000000206.5
Pedro Ferreira90000003Y6.6
Emanuel Fernandes90000020Y6.5
Lucas França9000000007.2
Vinícius Lopes8200223106.9
Tiago Ribeiro73000000Y6.6
Gonçalo Paciência7310312007.3
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos7300100306.7
José Luís Rocha Tavares6211211208
Daniel Borges sub2800000106.6
Henrique Silva sub1700000006.9
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira sub1700001106.2
Welinton Torrão sub1700000206.6
Sorriso sub3000000RY4.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arouca v Santa Clara — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AroucaWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Santa ClaraDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arouca 3 · 2 draws · Santa Clara 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara
  • 2025-12-21 Santa Clara 0–0 Arouca
  • 2025-04-26 Santa Clara 2–0 Arouca
  • 2024-12-15 Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara
  • 2023-02-11 Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara
  • 2022-08-20 Santa Clara 1–2 Arouca
League standing · 2026/27
Arouca#5 pos20 pts11 pl+5 GD
Santa Clara#4 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Arouca scored1.18
Santa Clara scored1.5
Arouca conceded0.73
Santa Clara conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arouca v Santa Clara?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Santa Clara was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Santa Clara?
In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 3, Santa Clara won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arouca and Santa Clara?
Recent form — Arouca 3W 1D 1L; Santa Clara 3W 2D 0L.

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