AroucaTondela

Arouca v Tondela result

Full-time · Arouca 3–1 Tondela

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arouca · Tondela

The model’s pre-match pick

Arouca 3–1 Tondela — Arouca won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Arouca beat Tondela 3–1 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 16 May. Arouca have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Arouca led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Arouca: Taichi Fukui (20’), A. Trezza (77’, assisted by Tiago Esgaio) and Lee Hyun-Ju (85’, assisted by D. Nandín); Tondela: Rony Lopes (65’, assisted by M. Aïko).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Trezza’s goal on 77 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Arouca 1.60, Tondela 0.57, from 16 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Nobre showed four yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arouca: Omar Fayed (39’), Bas Kuipers (41’) and Lee Hyun-Ju (81’); Tondela: Cícero (41’).

What it changes

Arouca have scored nine goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Arouca have conceded six goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

Tondela have scored six goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Tondela have conceded seven goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Arouca are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Taichi Fukui (Arouca) 8.9, A. Trezza (Arouca) 7.4 and Tiago Esgaio (Arouca) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Arouca or Tondela (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Arouca next host Rio Ave on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arouca: Arouca v Rio Ave, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arouca 3–1 Tondela · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca
  • Referee: A. Nobre
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Arouca 1 · draws 1 · Tondela 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arouca 2W 1D 2L · Tondela 2W 1D 2L

Arouca 3–1 Tondela (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4
Corners
against 6 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.38 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.9 yellows
Referee · A. Nobre
26.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArouca for / againstLineTondela for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 14.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 3.25 against n 8

Referee: A. Nobre — 4.9 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 26.5 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Arouca

Arouca Goalkeeper

Arouca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. de Arruabarrena15901350 min382.5 /90201.3 /9000 /90
João Valido990810 min252.8 /90242.7 /9010.1 /90
Nico Mantl890720 min263.3 /90182.3 /9000 /90
J. Vinarčík19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
2.55/4
João Valido n 890
38/5
Nico Mantl n 890
3.26/6

Arouca Defensive

Arouca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Fontán30852545 min321.1 /90341.2 /90110.4 /901124 /90371.3 /90110.4 /90
Tiago Esgaio28852376 min301.1 /90281.1 /90160.6 /901325 /90401.5 /90100.4 /90
B. Kuipers16791262 min90.6 /90100.7 /9050.4 /90342.4 /9070.5 /9020.1 /90
B. Popović16721147 min90.7 /90110.9 /90131 /90393.1 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
A. Danté1556845 min232.4 /9050.5 /9080.9 /90424.5 /90111.2 /9000 /90
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Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Djouahra n 884.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
Pedro Maranhão
T. Fukui n 886.5
0.42/1
0.85/1
—
A. Trezza n 862.5
2.36/2
0.94/1
Pedro Maranhão
José Fontán n 890
1.38/2
0.85/1
—
Lee Hyun-Ju n 877.9
1.98/3
37/5
—
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Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 884.3
0.95/1
T. Fukui n 886.5
1.36/3
A. Trezza n 862.5
1.13/2
José Fontán n 890
0.64/1
Lee Hyun-Ju n 877.9
0.32/0
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Arouca Attacking

Arouca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Barbero27681823 min80.4 /9020.1 /90402 /90201 /90180.9 /9030.1 /90
D. Nandín1653851 min10.1 /9000 /90121.3 /9060.6 /9091 /9030.3 /90
Miguel Puche1640646 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9050.7 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90
B. Mansilla1126285 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9061.9 /90
N. Djouahra33812680 min60.2 /9030.1 /90341.1 /90190.6 /90291 /90321.1 /90
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Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 884.3
0.75/0
0.11/0
T. Fukui n 886.5
0.95/2
0.74/1
A. Trezza n 862.5
1.14/1
0.42/0
José Fontán n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 877.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Djouahra n 884.3
00/0
0.11/0
T. Fukui n 886.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Trezza n 862.5
00/0
00/0
José Fontán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 877.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Tondela

Tondela Goalkeeper

Tondela — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Bernardo Fontes33902975 min1143.4 /90521.6 /9010 /90
Tondela — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
3.47/5

Tondela Defensive

Tondela — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Christian Marques30882631 min341.2 /90341.2 /90220.8 /90832.8 /90291 /9060.2 /90
B. Medina25882204 min622.5 /90230.9 /90170.7 /901405.7 /90281.1 /90100.4 /90
Bebeto24791905 min693.3 /90301.4 /90130.6 /901225.8 /90311.5 /9040.2 /90
Tiago Manso22641416 min382.4 /90151 /9060.4 /90805.1 /90261.7 /9060.4 /90
E. Maviram18801445 min171.1 /90261.6 /9030.2 /90503.1 /90161 /9040.2 /90
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Tondela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
00/0
0.64/1
—
Pedro Maranhão n 876.9
1.35/3
27/4
A. Trezza
Christian Marques n 888.8
1.66/4
0.64/1
—
J. Rodríguez n 887.1
1.35/4
0.64/1
—
B. Medina n 888.1
1.46/3
0.54/0
—
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Tondela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Maranhão n 876.9
0.64/0
Christian Marques n 888.8
1.85/4
J. Rodríguez n 887.1
1.86/5
B. Medina n 888.1
2.78/5
S. Sithole n 830.5
2.63/2
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Tondela Attacking

Tondela — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Siebatcheu19651230 min10.1 /9000 /90201.5 /9080.6 /9080.6 /9020.1 /90
M. Aïko1758990 min10.1 /9010.1 /90161.5 /9080.7 /90131.2 /90242.2 /90
Rony Lopes1468947 min30.3 /9020.2 /90222.1 /9090.9 /90131.2 /90101 /90
Yarlen948435 min00 /9000 /9040.8 /9030.6 /9051 /9091.9 /90
Y. Rodriguez940362 min10.2 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90
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Tondela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Maranhão n 876.9
1.56/3
0.32/0
Christian Marques n 888.8
00/0
00/0
J. Rodríguez n 887.1
0.32/0
00/0
B. Medina n 888.1
0.54/0
0.32/0
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Tondela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 11 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Maranhão n 876.9
00/0
0.11/0
Christian Marques n 888.8
00/0
00/0
J. Rodríguez n 887.1
00/0
00/0
B. Medina n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AroucaTondela
53%Possession47%
1.60Expected goals (xG)0.57
16Shots11
4Shots on target2
8Shots off target3
4Blocked shots6
11Shots inside the box4
5Corners6
3Offsides1
12Fouls12
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves1
456Passes402
81%Pass accuracy81%

Arouca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. de Arruabarrena9000000006.5
Tiago Esgaio9001101408.2
Javi Sánchez9000000006.6
B. Kuipers90000001Y6.6
E. van Ee9000000406.6
A. Trezza9010422108.2
T. Fukui7910213208.7
Pablo Gozálbez7900205307
N. Djouahra6300002007
Barbero6300201106.5
Omar Fayed59000002Y7.2
Diogo Monteiro sub3100000206.6
Lee Hyun-Ju sub27101100Y7.2
D. Nandín sub2701001007.2
Mateo Flores sub1100000006.7
Pedro Santos sub1100000106.9

Tondela Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bernardo Fontes9000000006.5
João Silva9000000407.3
Christian Marques9000000106.9
J. Rodríguez9000000006.3
Tiago Manso9000100306.5
Rony Lopes9010210107.7
Pedro Maranhão8200102206.9
Rodrigo Conceição8100002006.3
Hugo Félix7300112006.5
M. Aïko7301001107
Cícero61000011Y5.9
Hélder Tavares sub2900000006.3
J. Hodge sub1700000206.5
B. Mbunga Kimpioka sub1700000006.3
A. van der Heide sub900000106.6
João Afonso sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arouca v Tondela — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AroucaLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
TondelaLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Arouca 1 · 1 draw · Tondela 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-03 Tondela 3–1 Arouca
  • 2022-03-19 Tondela 2–2 Arouca
  • 2021-10-29 Arouca 2–0 Tondela
League standing · 2025/26
Arouca#8 pos42 pts34 pl-17 GD
Tondela#17 pos28 pts34 pl-28 GD
Goals per game
Arouca scored1.38
Tondela scored0.79
Arouca conceded1.88
Tondela conceded1.62

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arouca v Tondela?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Tondela was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Tondela?
In their last 3 meetings, Arouca won 1, Tondela won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arouca and Tondela?
Recent form — Arouca 2W 1D 2L; Tondela 2W 1D 2L.

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