Casa PiaSC Braga

Casa Pia v SC Braga result

Full-time · Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Casa Pia · SC Braga · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga — SC Braga won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,040 of 2,725 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SC Braga won 1–0 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior in the Primeira Liga on Thursday 23 April. Casa Pia are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. SC Braga are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

SC Braga led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Braga: Pau Victor (37’, assisted by Demir Ege Tıknaz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pau Victor’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Casa Pia 0.48, SC Braga 0.47, from 7 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Verissimo showed five yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Casa Pia: David Sousa (18’) and Geraldes (45’); SC Braga: Pau Victor (45’), João Moutinho (47’) and Lukáš Horníček (62’).

What it changes

Casa Pia stay 16th after this result (30 league matches played).

SC Braga stay fourth after this result (30 league matches played).

SC Braga have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Demir Ege Tıknaz (SC Braga) 6.7, João Goulart (Casa Pia) 4.3 and Gustaf Lagerbielke (SC Braga) 3.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Casa Pia or SC Braga (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Casa Pia next host SC Braga on 30 November 2026.

SC Braga next host KuPS on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Casa Pia: Casa Pia v SC Braga, Monday 30 November — the preview. Next for SC Braga: SC Braga v KuPS, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior
  • Referee: F. Verissimo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Casa Pia 2 · draws 0 · SC Braga 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Casa Pia 0W 3D 2L · SC Braga 3W 2D 0L

Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.38
Corners
against 6.75 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 3.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · F. Verissimo
25.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCasa Pia for / againstLineSC Braga for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
9.38 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
7.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
18.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: F. Verissimo — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.6 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia Goalkeeper

Casa Pia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Sequeira24872081 min672.9 /90391.7 /9000 /90
Ricardo Batista479316 min92.6 /9051.4 /9000 /90
Casa Pia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Sequeira n 890
3.17/5

Casa Pia Defensive

Casa Pia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Geraldes22791746 min221.1 /90120.6 /90110.6 /90472.4 /90221.1 /9050.3 /90
David Sousa21861815 min341.7 /90331.6 /90100.5 /901075.3 /90331.6 /90110.5 /90
João Goulart18821467 min181.1 /90211.3 /90130.8 /90694.2 /90221.3 /9030.2 /90
José Fonte17851437 min80.5 /90120.8 /90171.1 /90644 /90140.9 /9030.2 /90
Kaly1081812 min131.4 /9091 /90111.2 /90475.2 /9091 /9050.6 /90
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Casa Pia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Livolant n 884.3
0.85/1
2.88/7
—
Gaizka Larrazabal n 888.3
1.16/3
0.32/0
Víctor Gómez
Cassiano n 874.1
2.77/5
27/4
—
P. Sequeira n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Geraldes n 890
0.96/1
00/0
G. Lagerbielke
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Casa Pia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Livolant n 884.3
1.26/3
Gaizka Larrazabal n 888.3
1.96/6
Cassiano n 874.1
1.75/4
Geraldes n 890
14/3
David Sousa n 887.6
1.35/2
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Casa Pia Attacking

Casa Pia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Livolant29852479 min30.1 /9080.3 /90311.1 /90150.5 /90381.4 /90250.9 /90
Cassiano27631690 min50.3 /9000 /90221.2 /90100.5 /9080.4 /9050.3 /90
D. Livramento1643685 min00 /9000 /90131.7 /9050.7 /9091.2 /9081.1 /90
Tiago Morais1543642 min00 /9000 /9060.8 /9040.6 /9050.7 /9071 /90
K. Osundina1444614 min20.3 /9000 /9040.6 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9081.2 /90
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Casa Pia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Livolant n 884.3
1.25/4
0.32/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 888.3
1.15/2
0.83/2
Cassiano n 874.1
1.86/4
0.93/3
P. Sequeira n 890
00/0
00/0
Geraldes n 890
00/0
00/0
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Casa Pia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Livolant n 884.3
00/0
0.32/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 888.3
00/0
0.11/0
Cassiano n 874.1
0.52/1
00/0
P. Sequeira n 890
00/0
00/0
Geraldes n 890
00/0
00/0
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SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Horníček41903690 min982.4 /90391 /9030.1 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.14/3

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke36853051 min371.1 /90270.8 /90100.3 /901975.8 /90581.7 /90100.3 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi34832837 min511.6 /90200.6 /90170.5 /90892.8 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
S. Niakaté18831487 min191.1 /90100.6 /9070.4 /90965.8 /90171 /9040.2 /90
Vitor Carvalho16711130 min141.1 /9070.6 /9070.6 /90584.6 /90191.5 /9050.4 /90
Paulo Oliveira1447654 min71 /90131.8 /9050.7 /90223 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
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SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
0.63/1
1.98/5
Gaizka Larrazabal
Ricardo Horta n 883.1
0.43/0
0.54/0
—
Pau Victor n 876.4
1.26/2
0.94/1
—
G. Lagerbielke n 890
1.67/5
0.64/1
Geraldes
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SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
0.65/0
Ricardo Horta n 883.1
1.14/2
Pau Victor n 876.4
1.25/3
G. Lagerbielke n 890
0.64/1
João Moutinho n 870.4
2.16/4
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SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ricardo Horta37802965 min180.5 /9080.2 /90571.7 /90381.2 /90692.1 /90100.3 /90
Pau Victor37672491 min90.3 /9050.2 /90371.3 /90230.8 /90230.8 /90371.3 /90
R. Zalazar32732351 min170.7 /9050.2 /90602.3 /90331.3 /90461.8 /90612.3 /90
Fran Navarro27481290 min80.6 /9010.1 /90201.4 /90141 /9040.3 /9060.4 /90
A. El Ouazzani1368884 min20.2 /9000 /90202 /9080.8 /90101 /9030.3 /90
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SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
Ricardo Horta n 883.1
1.57/3
1.26/2
Pau Victor n 876.4
0.64/0
0.32/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
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SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
Ricardo Horta n 883.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
Pau Victor n 876.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Casa PiaSC Braga
31%Possession69%
0.48Expected goals (xG)0.47
7Shots8
1Shots on target2
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots2
2Shots inside the box2
4Corners5
3Offsides2
9Fouls9
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves1
312Passes730
71%Pass accuracy88%

Casa Pia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Sequeira9000000006.7
João Goulart9000001306.9
Geraldes90000000Y6.5
David Sousa90001004Y6.2
Gaizka Larrazabal9000111107.2
Pedro Rosas9000100006.5
J. Livolant9000001206.3
I. Mohamed7100100006.2
L. Ofori7100000006.6
D. Livramento6000000106.2
Claudio4500100006.2
Cassiano sub4500001006.2
K. Osundina sub3000000006.5
S. Pérez sub1900000106.3
Rafael Brito sub1900001106.6

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Horníček90000000Y6.9
G. Lagerbielke9000000007.6
Paulo Oliveira9000000007
Gabriel Moscardo9000001207.3
Víctor Gómez9000100106.6
Jean-Baptiste Gorby9000002106.9
Demir Ege Tıknaz9001111207.2
Ricardo Horta9000202106.9
João Moutinho71000013Y7.2
Gabri Martínez6300101106.3
Pau Victor62101100Y7
R. Zalazar sub2800000007
Leonardo Lelo sub2700000006.5
Fran Navarro sub1900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Casa Pia v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Casa PiaDLDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SC BragaWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Casa Pia 2 · 0 draws · SC Braga 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-26 SC Braga 4–0 Casa Pia
  • 2025-05-10 Casa Pia 2–1 SC Braga
  • 2024-12-29 SC Braga 1–2 Casa Pia
  • 2024-05-05 SC Braga 4–3 Casa Pia
  • 2023-12-30 Casa Pia 1–3 SC Braga
  • 2023-04-21 Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga
League standing · 2025/26
Casa Pia#16 pos30 pts34 pl-26 GD
SC Braga#4 pos59 pts34 pl+28 GD
Goals per game
Casa Pia scored0.91
SC Braga scored1.88
Casa Pia conceded1.68
SC Braga conceded1.06

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Casa Pia v SC Braga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Casa Pia v SC Braga was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and SC Braga?
In their last 6 meetings, Casa Pia won 2, SC Braga won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Casa Pia and SC Braga?
Recent form — Casa Pia 0W 3D 2L; SC Braga 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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