Casa PiaTorreense

Casa Pia v Torreense result

Full-time · Casa Pia 2–0 Torreense

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Casa Pia 2–0 Torreense — Casa Pia won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Casa Pia beat Torreense 2–0 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior in the Primeira Liga on Thursday 28 May.

Torreense have scored no goals, the fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 2 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Casa Pia led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Casa Pia: Gaizka Larrazabal (38’, assisted by K. Prieto) and Lawrence Ofori (77’, assisted by K. Osundina).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gaizka Larrazabal’s goal on 38 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Casa Pia 0.00, Torreense 0.00, from 13 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Verissimo showed six yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Casa Pia: J. Livolant (16’), João Goulart (53’) and P. Sequeira (64’); Torreense: Leo Silva (15’), M. Drammeh (45+1’) and Guilherme Liberato (84’).

What it changes

Casa Pia have scored five goals, the fourth-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Casa Pia have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Torreense have conceded two goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 2 games, ranked per game).

Casa Pia are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Prieto (Casa Pia) 8.7, Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia) 7.7 and Lawrence Ofori (Casa Pia) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55.7% of the time in the last 90 days (78 of 140).

Next up

Casa Pia next host SC Braga on 30 November 2026.

Torreense next host Celtic on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Casa Pia: Casa Pia v SC Braga, Monday 30 November — the preview. Next for Torreense: Torreense v Celtic, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Casa Pia 2–0 Torreense · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior
  • Referee: F. Verissimo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Casa Pia 0 · draws 1 · Torreense 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Casa Pia 1W 2D 2L · Torreense 3W 2D 0L

Casa Pia 2–0 Torreense (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Casa PiaTorreense
38%Possession62%
13Shots19
8Shots on target2
3Shots off target11
2Blocked shots6
10Shots inside the box11
6Corners9
1Offsides1
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves6
249Passes401
69%Pass accuracy82%

Casa Pia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Sequeira90000000Y6.9
João Goulart90000000Y6.7
Kaly9000110507.3
David Sousa9000111207.2
L. Ofori9010111307.7
Gaizka Larrazabal9010113007.9
Geraldes8900001307.9
K. Prieto7501102407.6
J. Livolant75000021Y6.6
S. Pérez6800000307.2
D. Livramento6800420006.3
I. Mohamed sub2200000106.7
Cassiano sub2200110206.9
João Marques sub1500000106.9
K. Osundina sub1501111007.7
Abdu Conté sub800000006.7

Torreense Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Paes9000000006.6
D. Mohamed9000000006.6
Stopira9000100006.5
Javi Vázquez9000213206.2
D. Jean9000303106.7
M. Drammeh90001100Y6.2
Guilherme Liberato89001021Y7.3
Leo Silva75000011Y6.3
David Bruno6800000006.3
L. Quintero6800101106.5
Costinha4500000106.7
Alejandro Alfaro sub4500400006.3
Danilo sub2200002206.3
K. Zohi sub2200000006.2
Ismaïl Seydi sub1500000006.3
Andre Simões sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Casa Pia v Torreense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Casa PiaLLWDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
TorreenseWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Casa Pia 0 · 1 draw · Torreense 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-20 Torreense 0–0 Casa Pia
  • 2025-12-17 Casa Pia 1–2 Torreense
League standing · 2025/26
Casa Pia#16 pos30 pts34 pl-26 GD
TorreenseNot in this league table
Goals per game
Casa Pia scored0.91
Torreense scored1.6
Casa Pia conceded1.68
Torreense conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Casa Pia v Torreense?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Casa Pia v Torreense was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and Torreense?
In their last 2 meetings, Casa Pia won 0, Torreense won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Casa Pia and Torreense?
Recent form — Casa Pia 1W 2D 2L; Torreense 3W 2D 0L.

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