Guimaraes v Estrela result
Team pages: Guimaraes · Estrela · Head-to-head
Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela — Guimaraes won this Primeira Liga match.
The result
Guimaraes beat Estrela 2–1 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 14 February. Guimaraes are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Estrela, every meeting checked.
The goals
Guimaraes came from behind: Estrela led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Estrela: Paulo Moreira (10’, assisted by A. Marcus); Guimaraes: Thiago Balieiro (64’) and Diogo Sousa (68’, assisted by João Mendes).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Guimaraes 1.49, Estrela 1.02, from 20 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
C. Macedo showed five yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Guimaraes: R. Abascal (-5’), Samu (24’) and Charles (89’); Estrela: Otávio (34’) and Bernardo Schappo (90+1’).
What it changes
Guimaraes have scored 39 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Guimaraes have conceded 51 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs.
Estrela have scored 38 goals, the 10th-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Estrela have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 19 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, João Mendes (Guimaraes) 9.7, Paulo Moreira (Estrela) 8.8 and Thiago Balieiro (Guimaraes) 8.4 led the match.
Next up
Guimaraes next host Estrela on 28 November 2026.
Estrela next host Benfica on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Guimaraes: Vitória SC v Estrela, Saturday 28 November — the preview. Next for Estrela: Estrela v Benfica, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães
- Referee: C. Macedo
- Head-to-head (last 5): Guimaraes 4 · draws 1 · Estrela 0 · 2.4 goals/game
- Recent form: Guimaraes 2W 0D 3L · Estrela 1W 2D 2L
Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 February 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Guimaraes for / against | Line | Estrela for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.38 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.63 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 7.75 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 17 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.75 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: C. Macedo — 3.08 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 25 fouls over 12 matches.
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Guimaraes
Guimaraes Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Castillo | 15 | 901350 min | 442.9 /90 | 191.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Charles | 6 | 90540 min | 223.7 /90 | 111.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Castillo n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| Charles n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Guimaraes Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abascal | 20 | 901800 min | 251.3 /90 | 251.3 /90 | 170.9 /90 | 663.3 /90 | 231.2 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| João Mendes | 18 | 841510 min | 301.8 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 633.8 /90 | 241.4 /90 | 60.4 /90 |
| Miguel Maga | 17 | 771313 min | 251.7 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 513.5 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| Óscar Rivas | 11 | 90990 min | 60.5 /90 | 161.5 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 333 /90 | 121.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Miguel Nóbrega | 10 | 84835 min | 40.4 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 293.1 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.3 | Bernardo Schappo |
| João Mendes n 8 | 87.1 | 1.8 | 1 | Luan Patrick |
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 71.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 57.5 | 0.8 | 2.2 | — |
| O. Camara n 8 | 61.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 0.9 |
| João Mendes n 8 | 87.1 | 1.5 |
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 71.1 | 1.4 |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 57.5 | 0.6 |
| O. Camara n 8 | 61.4 | 0.7 |
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Guimaraes Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nélson Oliveira | 17 | 59996 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 181.6 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| A. Ndoye | 16 | 43694 min | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 222.9 /90 | 81 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| Gustavo | 10 | 65647 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 172.4 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 111.5 /90 | 60.8 /90 |
| Fabio Blanco | 9 | 39348 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 71.8 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 41 /90 | 92.3 /90 |
| Vando Félix | 6 | 53319 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| João Mendes n 8 | 87.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 71.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 57.5 | 2 | 1 |
| O. Camara n 8 | 61.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abascal n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| João Mendes n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel Maga n 8 | 71.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nélson Oliveira n 8 | 57.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| O. Camara n 8 | 61.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
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Estrela
Estrela Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 21 | 901890 min | 643 /90 | 371.8 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Estrela Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Patrick | 21 | 881854 min | 261.3 /90 | 201 /90 | 201 /90 | 613 /90 | 160.8 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 19 | 831586 min | 362 /90 | 181 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 1226.9 /90 | 211.2 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Jefferson Encada | 15 | 691038 min | 181.6 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 423.6 /90 | 151.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| A. Chernev | 12 | 83990 min | 181.6 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 474.3 /90 | 121.1 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| Otávio | 12 | 67800 min | 242.7 /90 | 273 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 596.6 /90 | 222.5 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Luan Patrick n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.5 | João Mendes |
| Paulo Moreira n 8 | 88.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| Bernardo Schappo n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | R. Abascal |
| I. Stoica n 8 | 54.5 | 1.7 | 2.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Luan Patrick n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| Paulo Moreira n 8 | 88.3 | 1.9 |
| Bernardo Schappo n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
| I. Stoica n 8 | 54.5 | 1.2 |
| A. Marcus n 8 | 78.4 | 1.3 |
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Estrela Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Stoica | 19 | 46866 min | 20.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 121.2 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
| Kikas | 17 | 711213 min | 60.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 251.9 /90 | 161.2 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Jovane Cabral | 14 | 67934 min | 40.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 222.1 /90 | 121.2 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 222.1 /90 |
| Jorge Meireles | 11 | 57624 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 71 /90 | 81.2 /90 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 11 | 31343 min | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 102.6 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 41 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Luan Patrick n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Paulo Moreira n 8 | 88.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Bernardo Schappo n 8 | 84.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| I. Stoica n 8 | 54.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Luan Patrick n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Paulo Moreira n 8 | 88.3 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Bernardo Schappo n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Stoica n 8 | 54.5 | 0 | 0.4 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Guimaraes | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 1.49 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.02 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 429 | Passes | 383 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Guimaraes Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| Thiago Balieiro | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8.2 |
| João Mendes | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Beni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Diogo Sousa | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Samu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| N. Saviolo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Strata | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Gustavo | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Camara | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Abascal | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| Miguel Nóbrega sub | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Telmo Arcanjo sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Nélson Oliveira sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Miguel Maga sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| O. Lebedenko sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Estrela Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jefferson Encada | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| A. Marcus | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Jovane Cabral | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Eddy Doue | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Otávio | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| S. Leković | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Scholze sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Robinho sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Antonetti sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Brahimi sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| I. Stoica sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Guimaraes v Estrela — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-14 Estrela 0–2 Guimaraes
- 2025-03-16 Guimaraes 2–0 Estrela
- 2024-10-27 Estrela 2–2 Guimaraes
- 2024-01-21 Guimaraes 3–0 Estrela
- 2023-08-13 Estrela 0–1 Guimaraes
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Guimaraes and Estrela?
- In their last 5 meetings, Guimaraes won 4, Estrela won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Guimaraes and Estrela?
- Recent form — Guimaraes 2W 0D 3L; Estrela 1W 2D 2L.
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