This Matchweek

Sporting CPArouca

Sporting CP v Arouca result

Full-time · Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca

Primeira Liga · · Estádio José Alvalade

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.19 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sporting CP and Arouca drew 2–2 at Estádio José Alvalade in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 19 September. Sporting CP have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sporting CP led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sporting CP: Gonçalo Inácio (3’, assisted by M. Araújo) and L. Suárez (17’, assisted by Iván Fresneda); Arouca: José Fontán (81’ pen) and D. Nandín (87’). Zeno Debast (54’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Nandín’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Arouca out-shot Sporting CP 15 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.08 xG to 1.28 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal showed nine yellow cards and one red — against 6.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sporting CP: L. Suárez (61’), Eduardo Quaresma (80’), M. Araújo (90+4’) and Gonçalo Inácio (90+8’); Arouca: Espen van Ee (36’), Javi Sánchez (44’), José Fontán (51’), Pedro Santos (61’) and B. Mansilla (90+2’).

What it changes

Sporting CP stay third after this result (seven league matches played). Sporting CP have scored 17 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Sporting CP have conceded eight goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Arouca stay fifth after this result (seven league matches played). Arouca have scored 10 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Arouca are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gonçalo Inácio (Sporting CP) 6.3, José Fontán (Arouca) 6.2 and M. Araújo (Sporting CP) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Arouca, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sporting CP to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sporting CP next host Moreirense on 7 November 2026.

Arouca next host Rio Ave on 28 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sporting CP: Sporting CP v Moreirense, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Arouca: Arouca v Rio Ave, Saturday 28 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon
  • Referee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sporting CP 5 · draws 1 · Arouca 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sporting CP 4W 1D 0L · Arouca 2W 1D 2L

Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.57 / 3.13
Corners
against 2.86 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.14 / 4
Shots on target
against 2.43 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.43 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
6.75 yellows
Referee · David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
27.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSporting CP for / againstLineArouca for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.5our book
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 2.86 against n 7
9.5standard
3.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
13.14 for · 7.86 against n 7
19.5standard
11.38 for · 15 against n 8
Shots on target
6.14 for · 2.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.43 for · 12.86 against n 7
21.5standard
10.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.43 against n 7
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal — 6.75 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 27.5 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Sporting CP

Sporting CP Goalkeeper

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rui Silva790630 min121.7 /9071 /9000 /90
Sporting CP — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rui Silva n 890
1.65/1

Sporting CP Defensive

Sporting CP — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gonçalo Inácio690540 min81.3 /9061 /9010.2 /90223.7 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
M. Araújo688528 min40.7 /9040.7 /9000 /90223.8 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
Iván Fresneda490360 min92.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90153.8 /9082 /9010.3 /90
Z. Debast486345 min10.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90123.1 /9041 /9000 /90
Eduardo Quaresma470279 min82.6 /9031 /9031 /90247.7 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Sporting CP — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rui Silva n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Sergi Altimira n 789.6
1.66/3
0.95/1
T. Fukui
Issa Doumbia n 780.9
1.34/2
0.21/0
T. Fukui
Geny Catamo n 872.8
1.26/2
1.56/3
N. Djouahra
R. Zalazar n 772.6
0.21/0
0.93/2
N. Djouahra
See more players · Pro
Sporting CP — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sergi Altimira n 789.6
47/7
Issa Doumbia n 780.9
2.26/4
Geny Catamo n 872.8
0.63/1
R. Zalazar n 772.6
1.24/2
L. Suárez n 866.9
0.52/1
See more players · Pro

Sporting CP Attacking

Sporting CP — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Suárez764445 min61.2 /9010.2 /90132.6 /9091.8 /9010.2 /9071.4 /90
Luis Guilherme641248 min00 /9000 /9051.8 /9031.1 /9041.5 /9031.1 /90
F. Ioannidis638226 min20.8 /9020.8 /90124.8 /9052 /9052 /9041.6 /90
N. Irankunda32060 min00 /9000 /9023 /9000 /9057.5 /9000 /90
J. Derry11515 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9016 /90
See more players · Pro
Sporting CP — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rui Silva n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergi Altimira n 789.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
Issa Doumbia n 780.9
13/1
00/0
Geny Catamo n 872.8
1.26/2
0.95/1
R. Zalazar n 772.6
1.65/3
0.73/1
See more players · Pro
Sporting CP — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rui Silva n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergi Altimira n 789.6
0.11/0
00/0
Issa Doumbia n 780.9
00/0
0.21/0
Geny Catamo n 872.8
0.32/0
0.53/0
R. Zalazar n 772.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Arouca

Arouca Goalkeeper

Arouca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. de Arruabarrena690540 min264.3 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
3.96/6

Arouca Defensive

Arouca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Fontán690540 min101.7 /9050.8 /90122 /90244 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Tiago Esgaio690538 min91.5 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90244 /9050.8 /9000 /90
O. Lebedenko678466 min91.7 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90214.1 /9081.5 /9010.2 /90
Javi Sánchez587433 min51 /9081.7 /9051 /90153.1 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90
B. Popović19090 min11 /9011 /9011 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José Fontán n 890
0.96/1
0.83/2
—
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
00/0
0.84/2
—
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
0.95/2
0.65/0
—
T. Fukui n 887.3
0.63/2
1.87/5
Issa Doumbia
N. Djouahra n 883.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Zalazar
See more players · Pro
Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
José Fontán n 890
1.47/3
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
1.87/4
T. Fukui n 887.3
2.17/6
N. Djouahra n 883.4
0.95/1
A. Trezza n 879.5
1.36/2
See more players · Pro

Arouca Attacking

Arouca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Barbero670421 min40.9 /9000 /90102.1 /9071.5 /9010.2 /9000 /90
D. Nandín524119 min10.8 /9000 /9043 /9021.5 /9000 /9032.3 /90
B. Mansilla31956 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9023.2 /9000 /90
G. Rukavina12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Fukui688529 min00 /9000 /9071.2 /9030.5 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
José Fontán n 890
0.31/1
0.31/1
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
0.43/0
00/0
T. Fukui n 887.3
1.36/3
0.64/1
N. Djouahra n 883.4
1.67/3
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arouca before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
José Fontán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
00/0
0.11/0
T. Fukui n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
N. Djouahra n 883.4
00/0
0.53/1
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sporting CPArouca
54%Possession46%
1.28Expected goals (xG)2.08
10Shots15
3Shots on target5
2Shots off target9
5Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box8
4Corners2
2Offsides0
9Fouls17
4Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
4Saves1
479Passes391
88%Pass accuracy88%

Sporting CP Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sergi Altimira9000000206.9
M. Araújo90011022Y7.1
Geny Catamo9000200106.3
Iván Fresneda9001002107.2
Gonçalo Inácio90102111Y8.1
Rui Silva9000000006.8
Issa Doumbia8600101006.5
L. Suárez86101110Y7.8
R. Zalazar6600002106.9
N. Irankunda5700100006.2
Z. Debast54001100R5.8
Eduardo Quaresma33000000Y5.9
S. Andersen2400001006.5
F. Ioannidis400000006.7
Pedro Lima400100106.3

Arouca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Djouahra9000101006.2
José Fontán90101111Y6.7
T. Fukui9000104107.2
O. Lebedenko9000000706.6
Tiago Esgaio9000100206.5
I. de Arruabarrena9000000006.3
Barbero8600520106.4
Javi Sánchez86003101Y6.2
A. Trezza6900202106
E. van Ee59000002Y6.4
Mateo Flores4500001006.1
G. Rukavina4500000006.8
Pedro Santos31000020Y6.9
B. Mansilla21000010Y6.6
F. Mayulu400000006.5
D. Nandín410110008.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sporting CP v Arouca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sporting CPWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
AroucaWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sporting CP 5 · 1 draw · Arouca 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Arouca 1–2 Sporting CP
  • 2025-08-17 Sporting CP 6–0 Arouca
  • 2025-02-15 Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca
  • 2024-09-13 Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP
  • 2024-03-10 Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP
  • 2023-10-08 Sporting CP 2–1 Arouca
League standing · 2026/27
Sporting CP#3 pos21 pts10 pl+12 GD
Arouca#5 pos20 pts11 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Sporting CP scored2.3
Arouca scored1.18
Sporting CP conceded1.1
Arouca conceded0.73

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sporting CP v Arouca?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sporting CP v Arouca was Home win (best price 1.19 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting CP and Arouca?
In their last 6 meetings, Sporting CP won 5, Arouca won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sporting CP and Arouca?
Recent form — Sporting CP 4W 1D 0L; Arouca 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+