Vitória SC v Arouca result
Team pages: Vitória SC · Arouca · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca — Arouca won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Arouca won 1–0 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 8 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Vitória SC out-shot Arouca 24 to 4 and created the better chances, 2.22 xG to 0.49 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Arouca: Barbero (53’, assisted by Näis Djouahra). Diogo Monteiro (90’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Barbero’s goal on 53 minutes.
Discipline
Miguel Nogueira, Portugal showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition).
What it changes
Vitória SC are 17th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Arouca are first (shared) after this result (one league match played). Arouca have scored 12 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Arouca recorded the only away win among the nine finished matches of round 1. Vitória SC have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Arouca are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Arouca have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Vitória SC have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Beni (Vitória SC) 6.6, Näis Djouahra (Arouca) 6.6 and Gustavo (Vitória SC) 6.2 led the match.
Head-to-head
Arouca are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitória SC, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Vitória SC or Arouca (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).
Next up
Vitória SC next travel to GIL Vicente on 2 November 2026.
Arouca next host Nacional on 1 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Vitória SC: GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Monday 2 November — the preview. Next for Arouca: Arouca v Nacional, Sunday 1 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães
- Referee: Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Vitória SC 3 · draws 2 · Arouca 1 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Vitória SC 2W 0D 3L · Arouca 3W 1D 1L
Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Vitória SC for / against | Line | Arouca for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.13 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.25 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.5 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Miguel Nogueira, Portugal — 4.88 yellow cards a game, 0.63 red cards, 26.13 fouls over 8 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Match Statistics & Details
| Vitória SC | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Possession | 42% |
| 2.22 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.49 |
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 14 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 16 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 497 | Passes | 379 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Vitória SC Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Zych | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Óscar Rivas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Thiago Balieiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| João Mendes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Beni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Samu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Gustavo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Ndoye | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Camara | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| Miguel Maga | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Strata sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Telmo Arcanjo sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Miguel Nogueira sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Mitrović sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| L. Doucet sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Arouca Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| Tiago Esgaio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| José Fontán | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| T. Fukui | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Trezza | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| N. Djouahra | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Javi Sánchez | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| E. van Ee | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Lee Hyun-Ju | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| Mateo Flores | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Barbero | 65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Lebedenko sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| D. Nandín sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Pedro Santos sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Pablo Gozálbez sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Diogo Monteiro sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | RY | 5.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Vitória SC v Arouca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-07 Arouca 3–2 Guimaraes
- 2025-08-30 Guimaraes 1–1 Arouca
- 2025-01-18 Guimaraes 2–2 Arouca
- 2024-08-12 Arouca 0–1 Guimaraes
- 2024-05-18 Arouca 1–3 Guimaraes
- 2024-01-15 Guimaraes 2–1 Arouca
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Vitória SC v Arouca?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitória SC v Arouca was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and Arouca?
- In their last 6 meetings, Vitória SC won 3, Arouca won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Vitória SC and Arouca?
- Recent form — Vitória SC 2W 0D 3L; Arouca 3W 1D 1L.
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