Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense result

Full-time · Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Atletico Paranaense

Serie A – Brazil · Mon, 12 Oct 2026 23:30 BST · Arena Condá

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 20:33 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chapecoense-sc · Atletico Paranaense · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Atletico Paranaense — Atletico Paranaense won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Bet365

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Atletico Paranaense won 4–1 at Arena Condá in Serie A – Brazil on Monday 12 October.

Atletico Paranaense have scored in nine consecutive matches.

The goals

Atletico Paranaense led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Paranaense: Leozinho (6’, assisted by Gilberto), Luiz Gustavo (29’) and K. Viveros (31’, assisted by Gilberto; 78’, assisted by Dudu Kogitzki); Chapecoense-sc: Maurício Garcez (72’, assisted by Yannick Bolasie).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Leozinho’s goal on 6 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Chapecoense-sc out-shot Atletico Paranaense 21 to 11 and created the better chances, 1.75 xG to 1.39 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Chapecoense-sc: Marcinho (40’) and João Paulo (45’); Atletico Paranaense: Gilberto (70’).

What it changes

Chapecoense-sc stay 20th after this result (29 league matches played). Chapecoense-sc are winless in their last four matches.

Atletico Paranaense stay third after this result (30 league matches played). Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Atletico Paranaense recorded the only away win among the 10 finished matches of round 30.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Viveros (Atletico Paranaense) 9.0, Maurício Garcez 6.4 and Yannick Bolasie 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chapecoense-sc or Atletico Paranaense (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Chapecoense-sc next host Fluminense on 24 October 2026.

Atletico Paranaense next travel to Vitoria on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chapecoense-sc: Chapecoense-sc v Fluminense, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Atletico Paranaense: Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Atletico Paranaense · Serie A – Brazil
Venue: Arena Condá · Chapecó, Santa Catarina
Referee: Wilton Sampaio
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chapecoense-sc 1 · draws 4 · Atletico Paranaense 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Chapecoense-sc 1W 1D 3L · Atletico Paranaense 1W 3D 1L

Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Atletico Paranaense (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.13

Goals

against 2 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 5.13

Corners

against 4.75 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 6.63

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Chapecoense-sc for / against	Line	Atletico Paranaense for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.63 for · 18.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.63 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.25 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Wilton Sampaio.

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Fernando n 8	37.4	6 6/4	2.4 4/4	—
Yannick Bolasie n 8	27	5 8/4	0.8 2/0	—
Túlio n 8	69	2.4 7/5	0.7 2/1	—
F. Rossi n 8	26.3	2.1 4/1	3.4 6/2	—
Camilo n 8	90.9	2 8/6	0.2 2/0	—

Chapecoense-sc — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Rossi n 8	26.3	3.9 3/2	2.6 2/2
Maurício Garcez n 8	84.8	2.3 7/4	0.5 4/0
Túlio n 8	69	2.1 6/3	1 4/1
K. Ramírez n 8	38.5	2 3/2	1.5 3/2
Giovanni Augusto n 8	73.3	1.8 7/2	0.3 2/0

Chapecoense-sc — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Marcinho n 8	86	0.5 2/2	0.3 2/0
Yannick Bolasie n 8	27	0 0/0	0.8 2/0
Dudu n 8	59.6	0 0/0	0.6 3/0
K. Ramírez n 8	38.5	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Maurício Garcez n 8	84.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Chapecoense-sc — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bruno Pacheco n 8	84.4	2.7 8/6
Dudu n 8	59.6	2.5 6/4
David Antunes n 8	22.1	2.5 2/2
Bruno Matias n 8	19	2.4 4/0
Max n 8	52.3	2.2 6/2

Chapecoense-sc — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Anderson n 8	91.8	4.2 6/6

Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 6	14.8	6.1 3/2	2 1/1	—
Renan Peixoto n 8	32.9	5.5 6/4	0.7 2/0	—
K. Viveros n 8	71.5	2.7 7/5	3.3 7/6	—
Diogo Riquelme n 6	31.3	2.4 4/1	0 0/0	—
F. Aguirre n 8	85.4	2 7/5	0.4 2/1	—

Atletico Paranaense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 6	14.8	4 4/0	2 2/0
Renan Peixoto n 8	32.9	3.1 3/2	2.7 3/2
K. Viveros n 8	71.5	2.7 7/5	1.9 6/4
Leozinho n 8	52.6	2.4 6/3	0.9 3/1
João Cruz n 8	64.9	2.1 6/5	1 4/2

Atletico Paranaense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. A. Calderon Vargas n 8	47.1	0.5 2/0	0.7 2/1
K. Viveros n 8	71.5	0.8 4/1	0.2 1/0
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 6	14.8	1 1/0	0 0/0
João Cruz n 8	64.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Dudu Kogitzki n 8	24.8	0.5 1/0	0 0/0

Atletico Paranaense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Zapelli n 8	18.8	3.6 4/2
L. Esquivel n 8	79	2.6 7/5
Jadson n 8	80.6	2.2 7/5
Felipinho n 8	66.6	2.2 5/2
Claudinho n 7	67.3	2.1 6/4

Atletico Paranaense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Santos n 8	91.8	3.3 7/6
Mycael n 8	90.8	3.3 8/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chapecoense-sc		Atletico Paranaense
46%	Possession	54%
1.75	Expected goals (xG)	1.39
21	Shots	11
7	Shots on target	8
12	Shots off target	1
2	Blocked shots	2
14	Shots inside the box	8
6	Corners	7
1	Offsides	0
17	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	6
370	Passes	436

Atletico Paranaense player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Aguirre	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
Jadson	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
João Cruz	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
Stiven Mendoza	90	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	7.7
K. Viveros	90	2	0	3	2	0	0	0	8.9
Mycael	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.8
Luiz Gustavo	89	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	8.1
Gilberto	84	0	1	0	0	2	1	Y	6.9
Arthur Dias	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
L. Esquivel	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.8
Leozinho	45	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	7.8
Claudinho	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
Dudu Kogitzki	45	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	7
Leo	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Felipinho	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Portilla	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Chapecoense-scLWLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Atletico ParanaenseDLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chapecoense-sc 1 · 4 draws · Atletico Paranaense 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-04-12 Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense-sc
2021-10-13 Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Atletico Paranaense
2021-06-27 Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Chapecoense-sc
2019-09-29 Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Chapecoense-SC
2019-05-05 Chapecoense-SC 1–1 Atletico Paranaense
2018-09-13 Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Atletico Paranaense

League standing · 2026

Chapecoense-sc#20 pos18 pts29 pl-31 GD

Atletico Paranaense#3 pos53 pts30 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

Chapecoense-sc scored1.03

Atletico Paranaense scored1.63

Chapecoense-sc conceded2.1

Atletico Paranaense conceded1.17

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Chapecoense-sc and Atletico Paranaense?: In their last 6 meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 1, Atletico Paranaense won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chapecoense-sc and Atletico Paranaense?: Recent form — Chapecoense-sc 1W 1D 3L; Atletico Paranaense 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 20:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.