Flamengo v Mirassol result

Full-time · Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol

Serie A – Brazil · Wed, 02 Sep 2026 23:30 BST · Estádio do Maracanã

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 17:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Flamengo · Mirassol

The model’s pre-match pick

Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol — Flamengo won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.23 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 199 landed (95% range 71.6–83.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Flamengo beat Mirassol 2–0 at Estádio do Maracanã in Serie A – Brazil on Wednesday 2 September. Mirassol are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Flamengo led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Flamengo: Jorge Carrascal (14’, assisted by Pedro) and Lucas Paquetá (43’, assisted by Jorge Carrascal).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jorge Carrascal’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Flamengo 1.75, Mirassol 0.49, from 14 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Anderson Daronco, Brazil showed two yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mirassol: Joao Victor (66’) and Denilson (81’).

What it changes

Flamengo have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jorge Carrascal (Flamengo) 9.1, Willian Machado (Mirassol) 7.1 and Lucas Paquetá (Flamengo) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Flamengo to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Flamengo next travel to Bahia on 18 October 2026.

Mirassol next host Sao Paulo on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Flamengo: Bahia v Flamengo, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Mirassol: Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol · Serie A – Brazil
Venue: Estádio do Maracanã · Rio de Janeiro
Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Flamengo 2 · draws 1 · Mirassol 0 · 5 goals/game
Recent form: Flamengo 3W 1D 1L · Mirassol 0W 4D 1L

Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 0.75

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.25 / 3.75

Corners

against 2.88 / 4.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1 / 2.63

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5 yellows

Referee · Anderson Daronco, Brazil

2.43 home / 2.57 away

over 21 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Flamengo for / against	Line	Mirassol for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil — 5 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 28 fouls over 21 matches (2.43 to the home side, 2.57 to the away side).

Home 2.43Away 2.57

Flamengo

Flamengo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lorran n 8	23.5	2.9 2/2	1.4 3/0	—
Bruno Henrique n 8	48	2.3 6/3	1.9 5/2	—
N. de la Cruz n 8	27.1	1.7 3/1	3.7 6/2	—
Emerson Royal n 8	82	1.5 6/4	1 5/2	—
Luiz Araujo n 8	54.3	1.5 4/3	0.8 2/1	—

Flamengo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. de la Cruz n 8	27.1	2.9 5/1	1.7 3/1
Samuel Lino n 8	76.1	2.5 7/6	1.2 5/3
G. de Arrascaeta n 8	58.9	2.5 6/3	1 4/1
Jorge Carrascal n 8	53.8	2.5 8/3	1.7 6/1
Lorran n 8	23.5	2.4 3/2	1.9 2/2

Flamengo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jorge Carrascal n 8	53.8	0.4 2/0	1 4/1
Pedro n 8	76.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
Samuel Lino n 8	76.1	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
Bruno Henrique n 8	48	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/0
G. de Arrascaeta n 8	58.9	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0

Flamengo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Plata n 8	59.8	3.8 7/4
Lucas Paquetá n 8	46.5	3.1 6/4
E. Pulgar n 8	79.1	3 7/4
Lorran n 8	23.5	2.9 3/2
Luiz Araujo n 8	54.3	2.5 5/4

Flamengo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Rossi n 8	90.9	2.2 5/4

Mirassol

Mirassol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Wallisson n 8	32.4	3.5 5/4	2.4 4/2	—
Denilson n 8	66.6	2.7 7/4	1 4/1	—
Igor Formiga n 8	82.1	1.8 6/5	0.4 2/1	—
Shaylon n 8	38.5	1.5 4/1	1.2 4/0	—
Willian Machado n 8	88.3	1.4 4/4	0.4 3/0	—

Mirassol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Shaylon n 8	38.5	1.8 4/2	0.3 1/0
Edson Carioca n 8	59.8	1.7 4/4	0.8 3/1
Japa n 8	46.8	1.7 4/2	0.7 2/1
Eduardo n 8	61.6	1.6 6/2	0.7 4/0
Bruno Santos n 8	74.4	1.5 5/3	0.8 3/2

Mirassol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Eduardo n 8	61.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Edson Carioca n 8	59.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Gustavo Cazonatti n 8	54.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Reinaldo n 8	92.1	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0
Igor Formiga n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Mirassol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gustavo Cazonatti n 8	54.5	2.7 7/4
Gustavo Silva n 8	37.9	2.7 3/3
Igor Formiga n 8	82.1	2.6 8/5
Wallisson n 8	32.4	2.4 3/1
Neto Moura n 8	55.9	2.2 7/3

Mirassol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Walter n 8	86.5	2.9 7/4
Alex Muralha n 8	88.1	2.8 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Flamengo		Mirassol
56%	Possession	44%
1.75	Expected goals (xG)	0.49
14	Shots	8
4	Shots on target	2
6	Shots off target	4
4	Blocked shots	2
12	Shots inside the box	5
9	Corners	7
0	Offsides	3
8	Fouls	11
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
634	Passes	483
88%	Pass accuracy	88%

Flamengo player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Ayrton Lucas	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
A. Rossi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
G. Varela	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	7.5
Lucas Paquetá	90	1	0	2	1	1	3	7.5
Leo Pereira	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	7.3
Leo Ortiz	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	7.3
Jorginho	90	0	0	2	0	0	0	6.9
Samuel Lino	82	0	0	0	0	5	3	8.3
Pedro	73	0	1	1	0	4	0	6.9
Jorge Carrascal	73	1	1	1	1	1	3	8.3
E. Pulgar	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
G. de Arrascaeta sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.3
S. Niguez sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
Bruno Henrique sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Evertton Araujo sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
Everton sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Mirassol player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Willian Machado	90	0	0	0	4	0	8
Reinaldo	90	0	0	2	1	0	7.3
Joao Victor	90	0	0	0	2	Y	5.9
Gabriel	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Fernandinho	90	1	0	1	3	0	6.3
Denilson	90	1	0	1	0	Y	7
Andre Luis	79	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
Gustavo Cazonatti	79	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Igor Formiga	66	2	1	0	1	0	6.3
Carlos Eduardo	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Walter	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Alex Muralha sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	7
Shaylon sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
Elias sub	24	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Chico Kim sub	11	0	0	0	2	0	7
Bruno Santos sub	11	1	1	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Flamengo v Mirassol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FlamengoDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

MirassolDLDDD

Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Flamengo 2 · 1 draw · Mirassol 0 · 5 goals/game

2026-08-16 Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo
2025-12-06 Mirassol 3–3 Flamengo
2025-08-09 Flamengo 2–1 Mirassol

League standing · 2026

Flamengo#2 pos64 pts30 pl+33 GD

Mirassol#14 pos36 pts31 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Flamengo scored1.93

Mirassol scored1.16

Flamengo conceded0.83

Mirassol conceded1.42

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Flamengo v Mirassol?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Flamengo v Mirassol was Home win (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Mirassol?: In their last 3 meetings, Flamengo won 2, Mirassol won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Flamengo and Mirassol?: Recent form — Flamengo 3W 1D 1L; Mirassol 0W 4D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 17:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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