Fluminense v Vasco DA Gama result

Full-time · Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio do Maracanã

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fluminense · Vasco DA Gama · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama — Fluminense won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.10 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 648 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fluminense beat Vasco DA Gama 1–0 at Estádio do Maracanã in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 6 September. It is Fluminense’s first win over Vasco DA Gama since 14 December 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fluminense: L. Acosta (61’, assisted by Yeferson Soteldo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Acosta’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

D. Lacerda showed eight yellow cards — against 7.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Fluminense: J. Freytes (21’), Ignacio (45+5’), Hulk (45+6’) and Yeferson Soteldo (45+6’); Vasco DA Gama: Andrés Gómez (9’), Daniel Fuzato (21’), Paulo Henrique (40’) and F. Colidio (54’).

What it changes

Fluminense stay fourth after this result (26 league matches played). Fluminense are unbeaten in their last seven matches. Fluminense have scored in five consecutive matches.

Vasco DA Gama move down from 17th to 18th (25 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Léo Jardim (Vasco DA Gama) 5.0, Santiago Sosa (Vasco DA Gama) 5.0 and Martinelli (Fluminense) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Fluminense next host Palmeiras on 15 October 2026.

Vasco DA Gama next travel to Sao Paulo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fluminense: Fluminense v Palmeiras, Thursday 15 October — the preview. Next for Vasco DA Gama: Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio do Maracanã · Rio de Janeiro
  • Referee: D. Lacerda
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fluminense 1 · draws 1 · Vasco DA Gama 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fluminense 2W 3D 0L · Vasco DA Gama 4W 0D 1L

Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.25
Corners
against 5.25 / 3.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFluminense for / againstLineVasco DA Gama for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
16 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 16.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: D. Lacerda.

Fluminense
Fluminense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Castillo n 843.5
2.34/3
2.35/3
—
K. Serna n 843.1
2.15/3
14/0
—
PH Ganso n 852.4
1.96/3
1.75/2
Andrés Gómez
Samuel Xavier n 867
1.76/3
26/2
—
A. Canobbio n 860.8
1.74/3
1.97/3
Andrés Gómez
Fluminense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Cano n 820
5.66/3
2.34/0
Hulk n 852
3.55/4
1.54/2
John Kennedy n 868.5
2.37/3
0.85/0
K. Serna n 843.1
2.35/3
1.64/2
R. Castillo n 843.5
1.83/2
0.82/1
Fluminense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Serna n 843.1
0.83/0
0.31/0
Hulk n 852
0.63/0
0.42/0
G. Cano n 820
0.61/0
00/0
John Kennedy n 868.5
0.53/0
00/0
A. Canobbio n 860.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Fluminense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Guga n 890.8
3.77/5
Hercules n 862
2.97/5
A. Canobbio n 860.8
2.67/5
PH Ganso n 852.4
2.46/3
Rene n 882.4
2.27/5
Fluminense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabio n 891.9
3.36/5
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ramon Rique n 839.8
3.48/3
0.62/0
—
Andrés Gómez n 882.5
2.57/6
1.67/4
A. Canobbio
Claudio Spinelli n 840
2.35/3
1.74/1
—
Cuiabano n 873.6
2.16/4
1.45/4
—
Santiago Sosa n 878.3
1.95/5
00/0
—
Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Colidio n 855.8
3.66/5
1.24/1
Claudio Spinelli n 840
3.15/5
1.13/1
Puma Rodríguez n 851.4
2.46/3
0.93/1
Johan Rojas n 857.4
2.24/3
13/2
Andrés Gómez n 882.5
27/5
15/2
Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Puma Rodríguez n 851.4
0.42/0
0.41/1
David n 847.5
0.52/0
0.21/0
F. Colidio n 855.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
Brenner n 843.8
0.51/1
00/0
Andrés Gómez n 882.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cuiabano n 873.6
3.27/4
Alan Saldivia n 876.9
2.86/4
Adson n 856.1
2.67/3
Cauan Barros n 840.6
2.57/2
Andrés Gómez n 882.5
28/4
Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 890.6
2.95/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FluminenseVasco DA Gama
45%Possession55%
8Shots14
4Shots on target4
3Shots off target7
1Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box7
6Corners6
1Offsides1
11Fouls20
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves3
430Passes513

Fluminense player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Fabio9000000007.3
Ignacio90001001Y6.2
J. Millan9000000007
Rene9000000406.4
Nonato9000000206.7
Martinelli9000001407.2
A. Canobbio9000000306.8
Guga8500000106.6
Hulk85002203Y6.3
Yeferson Soteldo74010011Y7
PH Ganso5800001106.9
L. Acosta3210411008
K. Serna1600111006.6
Julio Fidelis500000006.5
Guilherme Arana500000006.5

Vasco DA Gama player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Léo Jardim9000000006.6
Robert Renan9000000106.9
Lucas Piton9000310307.2
Santiago Sosa9000111407.1
Thiago Mendes9000202007.2
F. Colidio90002021Y6.5
Andrés Gómez90001010Y5.7
Carlos Cuesta8400100006.6
Paulo Henrique74000011Y5.9
Tchê Tchê7400212106.6
Bruno Duarte6000001106.4
Adson2400000006.3
Puma Rodríguez1600001006.2
Claudio Spinelli1600110106.7
Marino Hinestroza600100106.8
Ramon Rique600001006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fluminense v Vasco DA Gama — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FluminenseDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Vasco DA GamaWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fluminense 1 · 1 draw · Vasco DA Gama 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-08-06 Fluminense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2026-08-01 Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Fluminense
  • 2026-03-19 Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Fluminense
  • 2025-12-14 Fluminense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-12-11 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Fluminense
  • 2025-10-20 Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Fluminense
League standing · 2026
Fluminense#4 pos51 pts30 pl+11 GD
Vasco DA Gama#14 pos35 pts29 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Fluminense scored1.6
Vasco DA Gama scored1.24
Fluminense conceded1.23
Vasco DA Gama conceded1.45

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Fluminense v Vasco DA Gama?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fluminense v Vasco DA Gama was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.10 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama?
In their last 6 meetings, Fluminense won 1, Vasco DA Gama won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama?
Recent form — Fluminense 2W 3D 0L; Vasco DA Gama 4W 0D 1L.

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