AS Roma v Atalanta result

Full-time · AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta

Serie A · Sat, 18 Apr 2026 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AS Roma · Atalanta · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AS Roma: 1.71 to 0.66 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

AS Roma and Atalanta drew 1–1 in Serie A on Saturday 18 April. AS Roma have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Atalanta: Nikola Krstović (12’, assisted by Marten de Roon); AS Roma: Hermoso (45’, assisted by Devyne Rensch).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hermoso’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

M. Marcenaro showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AS Roma: Niccolò Pisilli (75’); Atalanta: Éderson (65’) and B. Djimsiti (90+1’).

What it changes

AS Roma stay sixth after this result (33 league matches played). AS Roma have scored 59 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). AS Roma have conceded 31 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Atalanta stay seventh after this result (33 league matches played). Atalanta have scored 51 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Atalanta have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marten de Roon (Atalanta) 7.2, Hermoso (AS Roma) 6.7 and B. Djimsiti (Atalanta) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Atalanta are unbeaten in the last six meetings with AS Roma, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

AS Roma next host Sassuolo on 7 November 2026.

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AS Roma: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta · Serie A
Referee: M. Marcenaro
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): AS Roma 0 · draws 1 · Atalanta 5 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: AS Roma 2W 0D 3L · Atalanta 2W 1D 2L

AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.38

Goals

against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.14 / 5.25

Corners

against 4.29 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.43 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 5.43 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.29 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.83 yellows

Referee · M. Marcenaro

23 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	AS Roma for / against	Line	Atalanta for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.71 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14.25 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.43 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.57 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Marcenaro — 3.83 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23 fouls over 6 matches.

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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Svilar	41	903690 min	1172.9 /90	370.9 /90	00 /90
P. Gollini	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90

AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 8	90	3 7/5

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Mancini	37	833081 min	501.5 /90	511.5 /90	140.4 /90	1895.5 /90	812.4 /90	110.3 /90
E. Ndicka	36	822963 min	290.9 /90	501.5 /90	100.3 /90	1665 /90	391.2 /90	70.2 /90
Hermoso	27	752013 min	361.6 /90	301.3 /90	80.4 /90	1104.9 /90	381.7 /90	70.3 /90
D. Ghilardi	21	651371 min	442.9 /90	201.3 /90	80.5 /90	1067 /90	281.8 /90	30.2 /90
J. Ziółkowski	12	55658 min	233.1 /90	131.8 /90	71 /90	608.2 /90	131.8 /90	20.3 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Svilar n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
B. Cristante n 8	82.4	2.2 8/4	0.3 2/0	M. de Roon
G. Mancini n 8	78	2 8/4	0.9 4/2	B. Djimsiti
Z. Çelik n 8	81.5	1.4 5/4	0.4 3/0	D. Zappacosta
E. Ndicka n 8	90	0.6 3/2	1.5 7/5	B. Djimsiti
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Cristante n 8	82.4	2.2 5/3
G. Mancini n 8	78	0.7 5/0
Z. Çelik n 8	81.5	1.8 7/3
E. Ndicka n 8	90	0.6 5/0
M. Soulé n 8	68.8	0.5 3/0
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Soulé	35	692425 min	70.3 /90	70.3 /90	511.9 /90	230.9 /90	501.9 /90	401.5 /90
L. Pellegrini	32	591888 min	60.3 /90	30.1 /90	311.5 /90	170.8 /90	472.2 /90	70.3 /90
P. Dybala	22	591294 min	30.2 /90	30.2 /90	271.9 /90	171.2 /90	533.7 /90	161.1 /90
E. Ferguson	20	531061 min	50.4 /90	20.2 /90	292.5 /90	181.5 /90	161.4 /90	121 /90
S. El Shaarawy	20	42831 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	192.1 /90	70.8 /90	141.5 /90	131.4 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Svilar n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Cristante n 8	82.4	0.8 3/2	0.1 1/0
G. Mancini n 8	78	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Z. Çelik n 8	81.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Ndicka n 8	90	1.1 6/1	0.5 3/1
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Svilar n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Cristante n 8	82.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
G. Mancini n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Z. Çelik n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Ndicka n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Carnesecchi	44	903960 min	1292.9 /90	481.1 /90	30.1 /90
M. Sportiello	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90

Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	2 4/3

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Djimsiti	39	773012 min	481.4 /90	401.2 /90	240.7 /90	1604.8 /90	180.5 /90	50.1 /90
I. Hien	35	752628 min	572 /90	381.3 /90	230.8 /90	1354.6 /90	431.5 /90	50.2 /90
O. Kossounou	25	701740 min	291.5 /90	201 /90	130.7 /90	572.9 /90	231.2 /90	30.2 /90
H. Ahanor	23	641480 min	392.4 /90	201.2 /90	110.7 /90	1136.9 /90	231.4 /90	20.1 /90
G. Scalvini	22	771687 min	432.3 /90	351.9 /90	120.6 /90	1015.4 /90	291.5 /90	20.1 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. de Roon n 8	66.4	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	B. Cristante
D. Zappacosta n 8	71.4	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0	Z. Çelik
N. Krstović n 8	63.5	2.1 6/3	1.2 3/2	—
B. Djimsiti n 8	65.8	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0	E. Ndicka
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. de Roon n 8	66.4	2.5 7/4
D. Zappacosta n 8	71.4	0.5 3/0
N. Krstović n 8	63.5	0.7 3/1
B. Djimsiti n 8	65.8	2.2 6/4
Éderson n 8	76	2.4 6/4
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Krstović	40	512047 min	100.4 /90	50.2 /90	803.5 /90	371.6 /90	251.1 /90	200.9 /90
N. Zalewski	34	622100 min	20.1 /90	60.3 /90	241 /90	80.3 /90	381.6 /90	281.2 /90
C. De Ketelaere	33	762518 min	50.2 /90	70.3 /90	361.3 /90	200.7 /90	802.9 /90	582.1 /90
Gianluca Scamacca	32	571820 min	120.6 /90	20.1 /90	623.1 /90	281.4 /90	211 /90	120.6 /90
K. Sulemana	25	461146 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	221.7 /90	110.9 /90	100.8 /90	262 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. de Roon n 8	66.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
D. Zappacosta n 8	71.4	1.4 4/3	0.3 2/0
N. Krstović n 8	63.5	3.7 7/5	1.4 5/3
B. Djimsiti n 8	65.8	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. de Roon n 8	66.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Zappacosta n 8	71.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
N. Krstović n 8	63.5	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
B. Djimsiti n 8	65.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AS Roma		Atalanta
53%	Possession	47%
1.07	Expected goals (xG)	0.68
19	Shots	8
9	Shots on target	2
4	Shots off target	3
6	Blocked shots	3
15	Shots inside the box	2
7	Corners	6
1	Offsides	3
4	Fouls	14
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	8
538	Passes	488
86%	Pass accuracy	81%

AS Roma Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Svilar	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
E. Ndicka	90	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
Hermoso	90	1	0	4	2	0	2	0	8.2
Z. Çelik	90	0	0	1	1	4	3	0	7.2
B. Cristante	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
D. Malen	90	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	6.5
D. Rensch	78	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	6.9
M. Soulé	71	0	0	1	1	4	1	0	7.2
G. Mancini	60	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
N. El Aynaoui	60	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.2
S. El Shaarawy	60	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.3
D. Ghilardi sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
N. Pisilli sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
L. Venturino sub	30	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
R. Vaz sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Tsimikas sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9

Atalanta Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Carnesecchi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
B. Djimsiti	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	7
M. de Roon	90	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	7.6
D. Zappacosta	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
G. Raspadori	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7
N. Krstović	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
Éderson	80	0	0	1	1	1	2	Y	7.3
R. Bellanova	54	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
G. Scalvini	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
S. Kolašinac	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
C. De Ketelaere	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
O. Kossounou sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
H. Ahanor sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Zalewski sub	45	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	7
L. Bernasconi sub	36	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
M. Pašalić sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AS Roma v Atalanta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AS RomaLLWLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

AtalantaDLWWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

AS Roma 0 · 1 draw · Atalanta 5 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-01-03 Atalanta 1–0 AS Roma
2025-05-12 Atalanta 2–1 AS Roma
2024-12-02 AS Roma 0–2 Atalanta
2024-05-12 Atalanta 2–1 AS Roma
2024-01-07 AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta
2023-04-24 Atalanta 3–1 AS Roma

League standing · 2025/26

AS Roma#3 pos73 pts38 pl+28 GD

Atalanta#7 pos59 pts38 pl+15 GD

Goals per game

AS Roma scored1.55

Atalanta scored1.34

AS Roma conceded0.82

Atalanta conceded0.95

Shot Map and Expected Goals

AS Roma 1.71 xG from 19 shots, Atalanta 0.66 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

AS Roma (attacking right)Atalanta (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
AS Roma	19	1	1.71
Atalanta	8	1	0.66

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AS Roma led on xG, 1.25 to 0.53. At full time, AS Roma led on xG, 1.71 to 0.66. The widest gap was 1.05 xG to AS Roma, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

AS Roma 1.71 xGAtalanta 0.66 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AS Roma v Atalanta?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Atalanta was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Atalanta?: In their last 6 meetings, AS Roma won 0, Atalanta won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AS Roma and Atalanta?: Recent form — AS Roma 2W 0D 3L; Atalanta 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.