AS RomaLazio

AS Roma v Lazio result

Full-time · AS Roma 2–0 Lazio

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

AS Roma 2–0 Lazio — AS Roma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 561 of 877 times (64%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AS Roma: 1.32 to 0.77 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 65th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AS Roma beat Lazio 2–0 in Serie A on Sunday 17 May. AS Roma have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

AS Roma led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — AS Roma: Gianluca Mancini (40’, assisted by Niccolò Pisilli; 66’, assisted by Paulo Dybala). Wesley (70’) and Nicolò Rovella (70’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gianluca Mancini’s goal on 40 minutes.

Discipline

F. Maresca showed five yellow cards and two reds — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AS Roma: Hermoso (42’) and Stephan El Shaarawy (85’); Lazio: Kenneth Taylor (21’), Matteo Cancellieri (42’) and Nuno Tavares (64’).

What it changes

AS Roma move up from fourth to third (37 league matches played).

Lazio move down from eighth to ninth (37 league matches played).

AS Roma are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Lazio have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Lazio have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gianluca Mancini (AS Roma) 10.8, Paulo Dybala (AS Roma) 8.9 and Niccolò Pisilli (AS Roma) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

AS Roma are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lazio.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

AS Roma next travel to Parma on 22 November 2026.

Lazio next travel to Napoli on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AS Roma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Lazio: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AS Roma 2–0 Lazio · Serie A
  • Referee: F. Maresca
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AS Roma 3 · draws 2 · Lazio 1 · 1.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: AS Roma 4W 1D 0L · Lazio 1W 2D 2L

AS Roma 2–0 Lazio (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.57 / 3.71
Corners
against 4.71 / 4.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 3.57 / 3.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2.43
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.56 yellows
Referee · F. Maresca
27.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAS Roma for / againstLineLazio for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.57 for · 4.71 against n 7
9.5standard
3.71 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
12.29 for · 9.57 against n 7
19.5standard
10.29 for · 11.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.71 for · 3.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.43 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.71 for · 12.57 against n 7
21.5standard
11.43 for · 11.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: F. Maresca — 5.56 yellow cards a game, 0.78 red cards, 27.67 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Svilar45904050 min1222.7 /90400.9 /9000 /90
P. Gollini19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /90
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.65/3

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Mancini41833393 min541.4 /90521.4 /90160.4 /902085.5 /90852.3 /90110.3 /90
E. Ndicka40833323 min320.9 /90641.7 /90130.4 /901754.7 /90431.2 /9070.2 /90
Hermoso31742300 min431.7 /90311.2 /9080.3 /901254.9 /90441.7 /9090.4 /90
D. Ghilardi25591485 min472.8 /90241.5 /9090.5 /901126.8 /90311.9 /9030.2 /90
J. Ziółkowski1255658 min233.1 /90131.8 /9071 /90608.2 /90131.8 /9020.3 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
—
B. Cristante n 886.1
1.87/4
0.32/0
—
G. Mancini n 872
26/5
1.46/2
Mario Gila
Z. Çelik n 875.4
1.25/2
0.75/0
—
E. Ndicka n 890
0.83/2
0.63/2
Mario Gila
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Cristante n 886.1
2.16/4
G. Mancini n 872
0.94/1
Z. Çelik n 875.4
2.47/4
E. Ndicka n 890
0.96/1
M. Soulé n 865
0.52/1
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Soulé39692687 min70.2 /9070.2 /90531.8 /90240.8 /90571.9 /90421.4 /90
L. Pellegrini32591888 min60.3 /9030.1 /90311.5 /90170.8 /90472.2 /9070.3 /90
P. Dybala24581402 min30.2 /9040.3 /90281.8 /90181.2 /90593.8 /90171.1 /90
S. El Shaarawy2242917 min10.1 /9020.2 /90202 /9080.8 /90171.7 /90151.5 /90
E. Ferguson20531061 min50.4 /9020.2 /90292.5 /90181.5 /90161.4 /90121 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 886.1
0.31/1
00/0
G. Mancini n 872
0.53/0
0.32/0
Z. Çelik n 875.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Ndicka n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 886.1
00/0
00/0
G. Mancini n 872
0.32/0
00/0
Z. Çelik n 875.4
00/0
00/0
E. Ndicka n 890
00/0
00/0
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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Provedel28902520 min913.3 /90291 /9010 /90
E. Motta1090900 min242.4 /90121.2 /9010.1 /90
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Provedel n 890
2.67/3
E. Motta n 890
2.35/4

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marušić34842866 min381.2 /90321 /90120.4 /90963 /90200.6 /9010 /90
A. Romagnoli33862834 min280.9 /90321 /90190.6 /901093.5 /90170.5 /9050.2 /90
Mario Gila32822617 min491.7 /90240.8 /90170.6 /901424.9 /90180.6 /9040.1 /90
L. Pellegrini24611465 min301.8 /90171 /9090.6 /90583.6 /90251.5 /9080.5 /90
Nuno Tavares23691579 min321.8 /90191.1 /9030.2 /90915.2 /90171 /9040.2 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Marušić n 882
0.43/0
0.84/2
—
A. Romagnoli n 886.1
0.54/0
0.74/1
—
Mario Gila n 868.5
0.32/0
1.15/2
E. Ndicka
M. Zaccagni n 869.6
1.16/1
2.98/6
—
G. Isaksen n 851.9
1.14/1
3.37/6
—
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marušić n 882
0.32/0
A. Romagnoli n 886.1
0.43/0
Mario Gila n 868.5
1.36/2
M. Zaccagni n 869.6
2.17/5
G. Isaksen n 851.9
0.73/0
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Zaccagni29812345 min40.2 /9000 /90281.1 /90150.6 /90401.5 /90251 /90
G. Isaksen29611764 min50.3 /9010.1 /90341.7 /90191 /90201 /90281.4 /90
M. Cancellieri28581625 min40.2 /9010.1 /90311.7 /90130.7 /90160.9 /90140.8 /90
B. Dia22521145 min00 /9010.1 /9090.7 /9080.6 /90100.8 /9050.4 /90
T. Noslin22481065 min30.3 /9010.1 /90272.3 /90100.8 /90131.1 /90171.4 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marušić n 882
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Romagnoli n 886.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
Mario Gila n 868.5
00/0
00/0
M. Zaccagni n 869.6
14/2
0.63/1
G. Isaksen n 851.9
1.75/2
1.35/1
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marušić n 882
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Romagnoli n 886.1
00/0
00/0
Mario Gila n 868.5
00/0
00/0
M. Zaccagni n 869.6
00/0
00/0
G. Isaksen n 851.9
0.42/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AS RomaLazio
49%Possession51%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.69
16Shots6
7Shots on target2
8Shots off target3
1Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
8Corners3
1Offsides2
15Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
2Saves6
420Passes440
86%Pass accuracy86%

AS Roma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Svilar9000000006.9
Hermoso90002001Y6.7
Z. Çelik9000101306.3
B. Cristante9000101307.2
N. El Aynaoui9000002307.7
P. Dybala8801112208
G. Mancini8320220109.5
D. Malen8300110106.2
Wesley70001100R5.9
N. Pisilli4501002206.9
E. Ndicka3700000006.9
D. Rensch sub5300000106.6
S. El Shaarawy sub45002000Y6.2
J. Ziółkowski sub1300100006.7
M. Soulé sub1300112007.3
A. Dovbyk sub800210006.2

Lazio Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Furlanetto9000000007.3
Mario Gila9000100206.7
O. Provstgaard9000000306.5
Nuno Tavares90001002Y6.3
T. Bašić9000002107.2
A. Marušić7900000005.9
T. Noslin7900101106.2
M. Cancellieri71002203Y6.3
N. Rovella70000000R6.5
Kenneth Taylor62000000Y6.2
B. Dia6200002106.6
F. Dele-Bashiru sub2800000006.5
D. Maldini sub2800000006.9
G. Isaksen sub1900000006.2
M. Lazzari sub1100000106.9
Pedro sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AS Roma v Lazio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AS RomaWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
LazioDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AS Roma 3 · 2 draws · Lazio 1 · 1.17 goals/game
  • 2025-09-21 Lazio 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2025-04-13 Lazio 1–1 AS Roma
  • 2025-01-05 AS Roma 2–0 Lazio
  • 2024-04-06 AS Roma 1–0 Lazio
  • 2024-01-10 Lazio 1–0 AS Roma
  • 2023-11-12 Lazio 0–0 AS Roma
League standing · 2025/26
AS Roma#3 pos73 pts38 pl+28 GD
Lazio#9 pos54 pts38 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
AS Roma scored1.55
Lazio scored1.08
AS Roma conceded0.82
Lazio conceded1.05

Shot Map and Expected Goals

AS Roma 1.32 xG from 16 shots, Lazio 0.77 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mario Gila 32' · 0.51 xGArtem Dovbyk 88' · 0.14 xGStephan El Shaarawy 90' · 0.11 xGMehmet Zeki Çelik 75' · 0.09 xGTijjani Noslin 33' · 0.09 xGDonyell Malen 62' · 0.09 xGJan Ziólkowski 92' · 0.09 xGArtem Dovbyk 88' · 0.08 xGDonyell Malen 27' · 0.08 xGMatteo Cancellieri 31' · 0.07 xGMario Hermoso 43' · 0.06 xGNuno Tavares 46' · 0.05 xGPaulo Dybala 64' · 0.05 xGBryan Cristante 3' · 0.05 xGStephan El Shaarawy 62' · 0.05 xGMatteo Cancellieri 48' · 0.03 xGWesley 9' · 0.02 xGMatteo Cancellieri 22' · 0.02 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 91' · 0.02 xGMario Hermoso 27' · 0.02 xGGianluca Mancini 39' · 0.32 xG · goalGianluca Mancini 65' · 0.07 xG · goal
AS Roma (attacking right)Lazio (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
AS Roma1621.32
Lazio600.77

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: AS Roma 0.55, Lazio 0.69. At full time, AS Roma led on xG, 1.32 to 0.77. The widest gap was 0.55 xG to AS Roma, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AS Roma 39 minGoal - AS Roma 65 min
AS Roma 1.32 xGLazio 0.77 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AS Roma v Lazio?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Lazio was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Lazio?
In their last 6 meetings, AS Roma won 3, Lazio won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AS Roma and Lazio?
Recent form — AS Roma 4W 1D 0L; Lazio 1W 2D 2L.

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