AtalantaCagliari

Atalanta v Cagliari result

Full-time · Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari

Serie A · · New Balance Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atalanta · Cagliari · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari — Cagliari won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.93 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Atalanta: 1.48 to 1.31 in expected goals, 0.76 of Cagliari’s from a penalty, from 22 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 55th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Cagliari won 2–1 at New Balance Arena in Serie A on Saturday 12 September. Atalanta have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Cagliari: P. Mendy (19’, assisted by Michel Adopo) and Daniel Maldini (61’ pen); Atalanta: Gianluca Scamacca (41’, assisted by Charles De Ketelaere).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Maldini’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy showed no yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Atalanta move down from seventh to ninth (four league matches played).

Cagliari move up from ninth to fourth (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Maldini (Cagliari) 8.4, P. Mendy (Cagliari) 6.7 and Franck Kessie (Atalanta) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Cagliari next host Frosinone on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Cagliari: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari · Serie A
  • Venue: New Balance Arena · Bergamo
  • Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 3 · draws 1 · Cagliari 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atalanta 3W 1D 1L · Cagliari 3W 0D 2L

Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtalanta for / againstLineCagliari for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
2.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
16.63 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy.

Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi590450 min265.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
58/7

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Kossounou590450 min51 /9040.8 /9040.8 /9091.8 /9010.2 /9000 /90
G. Scalvini577386 min71.6 /9020.5 /9040.9 /90184.2 /9061.4 /9000 /90
S. Kolašinac460241 min31.1 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9062.2 /9020.7 /9000 /90
R. Bellanova390270 min20.7 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9062 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
D. Zappacosta366197 min20.9 /9000 /9010.5 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Gaetano n 590
1.45/2
1.24/2
—
O. Kossounou n 865.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Obert
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Éderson n 885.9
16/2
2.18/5
A. Romano
G. Scalvini n 873.9
1.46/3
0.84/1
J. Rodríguez
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 590
1.85/2
O. Kossounou n 865.9
1.26/1
Éderson n 885.9
1.66/4
G. Scalvini n 873.9
2.36/5
N. Zalewski n 865.5
1.56/2
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Zalewski556281 min00 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90
Gianluca Scamacca551255 min10.4 /9000 /9041.4 /9041.4 /9031.1 /9000 /90
N. Krstović539195 min10.5 /9000 /9083.7 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90
G. Raspadori472288 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
C. De Ketelaere451205 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9052.2 /9041.8 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 590
0.42/0
0.42/0
O. Kossounou n 865.9
0.32/0
00/0
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 885.9
0.95/2
0.74/1
G. Scalvini n 873.9
0.21/0
00/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 590
00/0
0.21/0
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Kossounou n 865.9
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 885.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Scalvini n 873.9
00/0
00/0
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Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile493370 min133.2 /9010.2 /9000 /90
B. Radunović19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 891.3
3.18/5
B. Radunović n 890
2.45/4

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Rodríguez587436 min61.2 /9071.4 /9051 /90234.7 /9020.4 /9000 /90
A. Obert582412 min81.7 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90153.3 /9030.7 /9000 /90
Zé Pedro487346 min51.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9071.8 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
A. Deiola479317 min51.4 /9061.7 /9030.9 /90102.8 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
R. Kofler448193 min20.9 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9073.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Rodríguez n 882.6
0.42/1
15/1
G. Scalvini
A. Romano n 583
1.34/2
1.14/1
Éderson
A. Obert n 885
0.74/1
0.32/0
O. Kossounou
H. Winks n 580.4
1.13/1
0.73/0
—
M. Adopo n 880.9
1.16/2
00/0
—
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 882.6
1.88/3
A. Romano n 583
2.45/4
A. Obert n 885
26/6
H. Winks n 580.4
0.42/0
M. Adopo n 880.9
0.74/1
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mendy566332 min10.3 /9000 /9071.9 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
A. Fadera349147 min00 /9010.6 /9042.4 /9010.6 /9053.1 /9021.2 /90
M. Felici340120 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9043 /90
G. Borrelli24079 min00 /9000 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9000 /9033.4 /90
A. Sugamele11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9015.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 882.6
0.84/1
0.32/0
A. Romano n 583
1.55/2
0.93/1
A. Obert n 885
0.32/0
0.11/0
H. Winks n 580.4
0.41/1
0.21/0
M. Adopo n 880.9
0.63/1
0.31/1
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 882.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Romano n 583
0.21/0
00/0
A. Obert n 885
00/0
00/0
H. Winks n 580.4
00/0
00/0
M. Adopo n 880.9
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AtalantaCagliari
62%Possession38%
1.74Expected goals (xG)1.32
22Shots5
4Shots on target5
10Shots off target0
8Blocked shots0
13Shots inside the box3
3Corners2
1Offsides2
9Fouls8
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves3
696Passes442
91%Pass accuracy85%

Atalanta Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Carnesecchi9000000006.3
R. Bellanova9000100306.3
O. Kossounou9000000206.9
G. Scalvini9000000106.6
Éderson9000001007
C. De Ketelaere9001003006.7
J. Rowe9000102307.2
F. Kessie8600312507.7
L. Samardžić7600101207
S. Kolašinac6800100106.2
Gianluca Scamacca6810422007.3
L. Bernasconi sub2200101007
N. Krstović sub2200111006.3
G. Raspadori sub1400102007
M. Pašalić sub1000000006.9

Cagliari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000008.2
A. Deiola9000000307.2
J. Rodríguez9000000307.3
A. Obert9000111506.6
A. Romano9000110006.3
H. Winks9000000207.3
M. Adopo9001002106.9
D. Maldini7910220106.9
P. Mendy7910110307.3
Zé Pedro6800000306.6
J. Fazzini5700000106
A. Fadera sub3300001106.7
Y. Sugawara sub2200000006.9
R. Kofler sub1100000107.3
Kevin Carlos sub1100000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atalanta v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AtalantaDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
CagliariWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atalanta 3 · 1 draw · Cagliari 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-27 Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta
  • 2025-12-13 Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari
  • 2025-02-15 Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari
  • 2024-12-14 Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta
  • 2024-04-07 Cagliari 2–1 Atalanta
  • 2023-09-24 Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari
League standing · 2026/27
Atalanta#13 pos11 pts10 pl-4 GD
Cagliari#12 pos13 pts10 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Atalanta scored1.6
Cagliari scored0.9
Atalanta conceded2
Cagliari conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Atalanta 1.48 xG from 22 shots, Cagliari 1.31 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Franck Kessié 82' · 0.49 xGLazar Samardzic 75' · 0.15 xGLazar Samardzic 55' · 0.10 xGFranck Kessié 84' · 0.07 xGGianluca Scamacca 5' · 0.07 xGAdam Obert 72' · 0.07 xGNikola Krstovic 83' · 0.06 xGLazar Samardzic 47' · 0.06 xGGianluca Scamacca 30' · 0.05 xGGianluca Scamacca 6' · 0.05 xGLorenzo Bernasconi 82' · 0.04 xGGiacomo Raspadori 86' · 0.04 xGLazar Samardzic 10' · 0.03 xGGiacomo Raspadori 90' · 0.03 xGJonathan Rowe 48' · 0.03 xGJonathan Rowe 48' · 0.03 xGFranck Kessié 34' · 0.03 xGSead Kolasinac 36' · 0.02 xGAlessandro Romano 14' · 0.02 xGDaniel Maldini 26' · 0.02 xGGiacomo Raspadori 86' · 0.02 xGJonathan Rowe 63' · 0.02 xGÉderson 32' · 0.02 xGRaoul Bellanova 94' · 0.01 xGDaniel Maldini 60' · 0.76 xG · goalPaul Mendy 18' · 0.44 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca 40' · 0.08 xG · goal
Atalanta (attacking right)Cagliari (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Atalanta2211.48
Cagliari521.31

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Atalanta 0.34, Cagliari 0.48. At full time, xG was level: Atalanta 1.48, Cagliari 1.31, including 0.76 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.75 xG to Cagliari, in the 72nd minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Cagliari 18 minGoal - Atalanta 40 minGoal - Cagliari 60 min
Atalanta 1.48 xGCagliari 1.31 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atalanta v Cagliari?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Cagliari was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.93 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Cagliari?
In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 3, Cagliari won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atalanta and Cagliari?
Recent form — Atalanta 3W 1D 1L; Cagliari 3W 0D 2L.

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