Como v Inter result

Full-time · Como 3–4 Inter

Serie A · Sun, 12 Apr 2026 19:45 BST · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Como · Inter

The model’s pre-match pick

Como 3–4 Inter — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Como: 3.36 to 0.51 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 24 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 15th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Inter won 4–3 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Serie A on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

Inter came from behind: Como led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Como: Álex Valle (36’), N. Paz (45’, assisted by Jean Butez) and Lucas Da Cunha (89’ pen); Inter: M. Thuram (45’, assisted by Nicolò Barella; 49’) and Denzel Dumfries (58’, assisted by Hakan Çalhanoğlu; 72’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Denzel Dumfries’s goal on 58 minutes.

Discipline

D. Massa showed 10 yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Como: Álex Valle (24’), Assane Diao (55’) and Jacobo Ramón Naveros (90+1’); Inter: Piotr Zieliński (53’), Hakan Çalhanoğlu (69’), Petar Sučić (77’), F. Acerbi (79’), Carlos Augusto (83’), Ange-Yoan Bonny (87’) and Manuel Akanji (90+1’).

What it changes

Como move down from fourth to fifth (32 league matches played). Como have scored 65 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Como have conceded 29 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Inter stay first after this result (32 league matches played). Inter have scored 89 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Inter have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 32, across 10 matches. Inter are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Thuram (Inter) 10.8, N. Paz (Como) 9.7 and Denzel Dumfries (Inter) 9.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Inter are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Como, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Como or Inter (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Como next travel to Inter on 8 November 2026.

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Como: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Como 3–4 Inter · Serie A
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como
Referee: D. Massa
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Como 0 · draws 1 · Inter 3 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Como 3W 2D 0L · Inter 1W 3D 1L

Como 3–4 Inter (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 0.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 7.13

Corners

against 2.88 / 2.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 5

Shots on target

against 2.13 / 2.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.3 yellows

Referee · D. Massa

27.7 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Como for / against	Line	Inter for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.13 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.88 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.25 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. Massa — 4.3 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 27.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Como

Como Goalkeeper

Como — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jean Butez	35	903150 min	842.4 /90	240.7 /90	10 /90

Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jean Butez n 8	90	1.6 4/3

Como Defensive

Como — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jacobo Ramón Naveros	29	872518 min	521.9 /90	361.3 /90	120.4 /90	1696 /90	291 /90	70.3 /90
M. Kempf	25	801995 min	150.7 /90	70.3 /90	190.9 /90	1165.2 /90	221 /90	20.1 /90
Diego Carlos	23	801829 min	301.5 /90	170.8 /90	150.7 /90	814 /90	351.7 /90	80.4 /90
Álex Valle	23	781798 min	472.4 /90	201 /90	60.3 /90	844.2 /90	331.7 /90	20.1 /90
I. Smolčić	20	701395 min	372.4 /90	201.3 /90	80.5 /90	764.9 /90	251.6 /90	80.5 /90
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Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jean Butez n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
N. Paz n 8	76.4	1 5/2	0.9 5/1	—
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	83.8	1.2 6/3	0.8 4/1	—
M. Perrone n 8	67.9	1.2 4/2	1.3 5/3	F. Dimarco
T. Douvikas n 8	58.1	1.9 6/3	0.8 4/0	—
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Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Paz n 8	76.4	3.1 7/6
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	83.8	2.7 7/6
M. Perrone n 8	67.9	3 7/5
T. Douvikas n 8	58.1	0.2 1/0
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	90	1.4 8/3
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Como Attacking

Como — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Douvikas	32	581849 min	140.7 /90	20.1 /90	462.2 /90	271.3 /90	221.1 /90	80.4 /90
Álvaro Morata	17	49830 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	171.8 /90	60.7 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
N. Paz	33	822713 min	110.4 /90	60.2 /90	822.7 /90	481.6 /90	471.6 /90	612 /90
Lucas Da Cunha	32	792526 min	40.1 /90	30.1 /90	271 /90	140.5 /90	391.4 /90	210.7 /90
M. Perrone	32	742353 min	30.1 /90	40.2 /90	120.5 /90	70.3 /90	301.1 /90	80.3 /90
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Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jean Butez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Paz n 8	76.4	2.4 8/4	1.2 7/1
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	83.8	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
M. Perrone n 8	67.9	0.7 3/1	0.3 2/0
T. Douvikas n 8	58.1	1.9 7/2	1.2 5/1
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Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jean Butez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Paz n 8	76.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	83.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
M. Perrone n 8	67.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
T. Douvikas n 8	58.1	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Sommer	43	903870 min	912.1 /90	411 /90	00 /90
Josep Martínez	5	90450 min	81.6 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90

Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Sommer n 8	90	2.3 5/4
Josep Martínez n 8	90	1.5 3/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Bastoni	38	823122 min	702 /90	331 /90	130.4 /90	1835.3 /90	621.8 /90	100.3 /90
M. Akanji	37	853148 min	551.6 /90	371.1 /90	160.5 /90	1283.7 /90	280.8 /90	40.1 /90
Y. Bisseck	29	802319 min	441.7 /90	251 /90	70.3 /90	1264.9 /90	331.3 /90	30.1 /90
Carlos Augusto	29	691995 min	371.7 /90	221 /90	50.2 /90	1396.3 /90	261.2 /90	60.3 /90
F. Acerbi	22	841842 min	180.9 /90	422.1 /90	160.8 /90	944.6 /90	211 /90	40.2 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Sommer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Dimarco n 8	85.8	1.7 7/5	0.8 5/1	M. Perrone
N. Barella n 8	80	1.1 3/3	0.7 4/1	—
A. Bastoni n 8	74	2.1 7/4	0.6 3/1	—
Lautaro Martínez n 8	67	1.7 5/3	2.4 8/3	—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 8	85.8	1.4 6/2
N. Barella n 8	80	2.3 7/5
A. Bastoni n 8	74	2 5/3
Lautaro Martínez n 8	67	1.5 6/2
M. Akanji n 8	81.3	1.5 5/3
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lautaro Martínez	38	742797 min	220.7 /90	40.1 /90	943 /90	501.6 /90	441.4 /90	260.8 /90
M. Thuram	37	642357 min	110.4 /90	70.3 /90	702.7 /90	311.2 /90	401.5 /90	261 /90
F. Esposito	37	531979 min	100.5 /90	60.3 /90	642.9 /90	301.4 /90	291.3 /90	60.3 /90
A. Bonny	25	441097 min	60.5 /90	60.5 /90	181.5 /90	110.9 /90	242 /90	221.8 /90
F. Dimarco	42	783282 min	70.2 /90	130.4 /90	691.9 /90	300.8 /90	1093 /90	80.2 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Sommer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Dimarco n 8	85.8	2.2 6/5	0.7 3/2
N. Barella n 8	80	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
A. Bastoni n 8	74	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/0
Lautaro Martínez n 8	67	2.2 7/4	1.2 4/2
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Sommer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Dimarco n 8	85.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
N. Barella n 8	80	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Bastoni n 8	74	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Lautaro Martínez n 8	67	0.8 4/1	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Como		Inter
60%	Possession	40%
3.12	Expected goals (xG)	0.88
24	Shots	7
8	Shots on target	5
9	Shots off target	1
7	Blocked shots	1
16	Shots inside the box	5
1	Corners	1
2	Offsides	4
12	Fouls	17
3	Yellow cards	7
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
485	Passes	325
87%	Pass accuracy	80%

Como Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jean Butez	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
M. Kempf	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.2
M. Perrone	90	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.3
N. Paz	90	1	0	6	3	2	2	0	8.9
M. Baturina	90	0	0	3	1	3	0	0	7.2
T. Douvikas	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Álex Valle	80	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	5.9
Assane Diao	79	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
I. Van der Brempt	67	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
Diego Carlos	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Sergi Roberto	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
Lucas Da Cunha sub	45	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	7.5
Jacobo Ramón Naveros sub	45	0	0	2	1	0	0	Y	6
I. Smolčić sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Álvaro Morata sub	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Alberto Moreno sub	10	0	0	2	0	2	2	0	6.6

Inter Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Y. Sommer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
M. Akanji	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
F. Acerbi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
D. Dumfries	90	2	0	2	2	0	0	0	8.5
H. Çalhanoğlu	90	0	1	1	0	1	4	Y	6.9
M. Thuram	90	2	0	2	2	1	1	0	8.9
N. Barella	78	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	7.3
P. Zieliński	56	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.6
F. Dimarco	56	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
F. Esposito	56	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Bastoni	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Carlos Augusto sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
Luis Henrique sub	34	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
A. Bonny sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
P. Sučić sub	34	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.5
H. Mkhitaryan sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Como v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ComoDWWWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

InterDLDDW

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Como 0 · 1 draw · Inter 3 · 2 goals/game

2026-03-03 Como 0–0 Inter
2025-12-06 Inter 4–0 Como
2025-05-23 Como 0–2 Inter
2024-12-23 Inter 2–0 Como

League standing · 2025/26

Como#4 pos71 pts38 pl+36 GD

Inter#1 pos87 pts38 pl+54 GD

Goals per game

Como scored1.71

Inter scored2.34

Como conceded0.76

Inter conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Como 3.36 xG from 24 shots, Inter 0.51 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Como (attacking right)Inter (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Como	24	3	3.36
Inter	7	4	0.51

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Como led on xG, 1.03 to 0.08. At full time, Como led on xG, 3.36 to 0.51, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.85 xG to Como, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Como 3.36 xGInter 0.51 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Como v Inter?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Como v Inter was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Como and Inter?: In their last 4 meetings, Como won 0, Inter won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Como and Inter?: Recent form — Como 3W 2D 0L; Inter 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.