Flamengo v Gremio result

Full-time · Flamengo 1–1 Gremio

Serie A – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Flamengo · Gremio · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Flamengo 1–1 Gremio — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Flamengo and Gremio drew 1–1 in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 31 August.

Flamengo are unbeaten in their last eight matches.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Flamengo: G. de Arrascaeta (53’, assisted by Pedro); Gremio: Tiago Volpi (85’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tiago Volpi’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Flamengo out-shot Gremio 21 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.60 xG to 0.93 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil showed three yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Flamengo: Leo Ortiz (45’); Gremio: Walter Kannemann (38’) and Dodi (64’).

What it changes

Flamengo have scored in eight consecutive matches.

Gremio are unbeaten in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) 7.8, Tiago Volpi (Gremio) 6.7 and G. Cuéllar (Gremio) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Flamengo next travel to Bahia on 18 October 2026.

Gremio next host Cruzeiro on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Flamengo: Bahia v Flamengo, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Gremio: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Flamengo 1–1 Gremio · Serie A – Brazil
  • Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Flamengo 4 · draws 0 · Gremio 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Flamengo 5W 0D 0L · Gremio 2W 1D 2L

Flamengo 1–1 Gremio (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.27 yellows
Referee · Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
2.6 home / 2.67 away
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFlamengo for / againstLineGremio for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 10.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.75 for · 17 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil — 5.27 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 29.47 fouls over 15 matches (2.6 to the home side, 2.67 to the away side).

Flamengo
Flamengo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Wallace Yan n 835.1
2.95/2
4.57/4
—
M. Vina n 836.6
2.86/3
0.62/0
—
Bruno Henrique n 866.1
2.67/4
1.47/1
—
S. Niguez n 855.8
2.67/6
0.82/1
Cristian Olivera
Allan n 870.5
2.48/5
1.13/2
—
Flamengo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro n 859.3
2.76/4
1.75/2
Bruno Henrique n 866.1
27/3
15/1
G. de Arrascaeta n 865.3
1.76/3
0.74/0
Luiz Araujo n 853.5
1.55/2
1.14/1
Everton n 830.5
1.53/1
0.72/0
Flamengo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. de Arrascaeta n 865.3
0.53/0
14/2
Pedro n 859.3
1.13/2
0.21/0
Samuel Lino n 869.4
0.31/1
0.62/1
G. Plata n 870.5
0.32/0
0.53/0
Luiz Araujo n 853.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Flamengo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Plata n 870.5
2.96/5
Emerson Royal n 861.9
2.96/2
Matheus Goncalves n 827.4
2.53/1
Jorge Carrascal n 826.5
2.53/3
G. de Arrascaeta n 865.3
2.26/4
Flamengo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Rossi n 892.9
36/5
Gremio
Gremio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Carlos Vinícius n 819.3
2.32/1
5.36/1
—
Cristian Olivera n 864.8
2.14/3
1.75/3
S. Niguez
Camilo n 860.3
1.97/3
00/0
—
Alex Santana n 854.5
1.95/3
2.35/3
—
André Henrique n 830.9
1.83/2
1.54/0
—
Gremio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
André Henrique n 830.9
4.47/3
1.13/0
Carlos Vinícius n 819.3
2.92/1
1.82/1
Martin Braithwaite n 887.4
2.18/5
1.26/2
Cristian Pavón n 847.3
1.75/2
1.24/1
Edenilson n 842.4
1.65/1
1.14/0
Gremio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
André Henrique n 830.9
0.41/0
0.41/0
Cristian Pavón n 847.3
00/0
0.52/0
Martin Braithwaite n 887.4
0.42/1
00/0
A. Aravena n 831.3
0.41/0
00/0
Gustavo Martins n 877.9
0.32/0
00/0
Gremio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Igor n 868.5
3.47/7
Lucas Esteves n 881.8
3.36/5
Cristian Pavón n 847.3
3.14/3
Marlon n 892.1
2.97/5
G. Cuéllar n 849.6
2.96/3
Gremio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tiago Volpi n 892.1
2.36/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FlamengoGremio
68%Possession32%
1.60Expected goals (xG)0.93
21Shots6
6Shots on target1
8Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box4
13Corners0
1Offsides1
18Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves4
609Passes301
90%Pass accuracy79%

Flamengo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Rossi9500000006.7
Leo Ortiz95000012Y7.5
Leo Pereira9500310007.5
Ayrton Lucas9500112207.2
S. Niguez9500002207.2
G. de Arrascaeta9510226008.5
Samuel Lino9500101006.7
G. Varela9000001107.2
N. de la Cruz7700300407.3
Pedro7701221106.3
G. Plata5800201307.2
Luiz Araujo sub3700000006.5
Evertton Araujo sub1800000006.5
Bruno Henrique sub1800000006.5
Emerson Royal sub50000000–

Gremio player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tiago Volpi9510110007.6
Marcos Rocha9500000407
Erick Noriega9500001208.3
Walter Kannemann95000000Y6.3
Marlon9500100407
G. Cuéllar9500000507.5
Dodi78000002Y6.3
Carlos Vinícius7800000006.6
Edenilson6500002006.6
Cristian Olivera6000000206.3
Martin Braithwaite6000000006.2
A. Aravena sub3500100006.7
Franco Cristaldo sub3500001007
Cristian Pavón sub3000100006.3
Wagner Leonardo sub1700000006.3
André Henrique sub1700100006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Flamengo v Gremio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FlamengoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
GremioWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Flamengo 4 · 0 draws · Gremio 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-04-13 Gremio 0–2 Flamengo
  • 2024-09-22 Gremio 3–2 Flamengo
  • 2024-06-13 Flamengo 2–1 Gremio
  • 2023-10-26 Gremio 3–2 Flamengo
  • 2023-08-17 Flamengo 1–0 Gremio
  • 2023-07-27 Gremio 0–2 Flamengo
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Flamengo#1 pos79 pts38 pl+51 GD
Gremio#9 pos49 pts38 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Flamengo scored2.05
Gremio scored1.24
Flamengo conceded0.71
Gremio conceded1.32

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Flamengo vs Gremio?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Flamengo v Gremio was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Gremio?
In their last 6 meetings, Flamengo won 4, Gremio won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Flamengo and Gremio?
Recent form — Flamengo 5W 0D 0L; Gremio 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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