LecceAtalanta

Lecce v Atalanta result

Full-time · Lecce 0–3 Atalanta

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lecce · Atalanta · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lecce 0–3 Atalanta — Atalanta won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,934 of 2,587 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Atalanta: 2.82 to 0.37 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 28th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Atalanta won 3–0 at Lecce in Serie A on Monday 6 April. Atalanta have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Atalanta led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atalanta: Giorgio Scalvini (29’, assisted by Charles De Ketelaere), Nikola Krstović (59’, assisted by Charles De Ketelaere) and Giacomo Raspadori (73’, assisted by Mario Pašalić).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Giorgio Scalvini’s goal on 29 minutes.

Discipline

F. La Penna showed two yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atalanta: B. Djimsiti (47’) and Davide Zappacosta (70’).

What it changes

Lecce stay 18th after this result (31 league matches played). Lecce have scored 28 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Lecce have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Atalanta stay seventh after this result (31 league matches played). Atalanta have scored 51 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Atalanta have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lecce have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta) 8.5, Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta) 8.3 and Nikola Krstović (Atalanta) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Atalanta are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Lecce.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lecce or Atalanta (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Lecce next travel to Torino on 7 November 2026.

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lecce: Torino v Lecce, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lecce 0–3 Atalanta · Serie A
  • Referee: F. La Penna
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 1 · draws 1 · Atalanta 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 1W 0D 4L · Atalanta 1W 2D 2L

Lecce 0–3 Atalanta (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.88 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · F. La Penna
27.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineAtalanta for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 15.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: F. La Penna — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 27.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone31902790 min882.8 /90401.3 /9020.1 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
2.45/4

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Gallo32812601 min541.9 /90140.5 /9060.2 /90973.4 /9070.2 /9020.1 /90
Tiago Gabriel31892759 min602 /90391.3 /90170.6 /902096.8 /90240.8 /9040.1 /90
Danilo Veiga30822474 min833 /90240.9 /90120.4 /901716.2 /90311.1 /9060.2 /90
Kialonda Gaspar23861983 min251.1 /90211 /90221 /901014.6 /90130.6 /9060.3 /90
J. Siebert1283993 min151.4 /9070.6 /90181.6 /90383.4 /90181.6 /9020.2 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Gallo n 888.6
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Tiago Gabriel n 886.1
0.74/1
1.46/2
B. Djimsiti
S. Pierotti n 875.3
2.16/4
13/3
—
Y. Ramadani n 889.4
16/2
1.58/2
M. de Roon
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Gallo n 888.6
0.96/1
Tiago Gabriel n 886.1
2.57/5
S. Pierotti n 875.3
2.87/7
Y. Ramadani n 889.4
2.58/6
Danilo Veiga n 890
2.88/6
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Pierotti31662051 min10 /9000 /90150.7 /9060.3 /90170.7 /90261.1 /90
N. Štulić25601500 min30.2 /9000 /90171 /9070.4 /90171 /9040.2 /90
R. Sottil19551047 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90242.1 /90121 /90
Tete Morente1756950 min00 /9000 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90100.9 /90111 /90
F. Camarda1743728 min10.1 /9010.1 /9081 /9040.5 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gallo n 888.6
0.11/0
00/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Gabriel n 886.1
0.53/1
00/0
S. Pierotti n 875.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
Y. Ramadani n 889.4
1.18/1
0.54/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gallo n 888.6
00/0
0.32/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Gabriel n 886.1
00/0
00/0
S. Pierotti n 875.3
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Ramadani n 889.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi42903780 min1283 /90471.1 /9030.1 /90
M. Sportiello390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
2.66/5

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Djimsiti37772852 min451.4 /90371.2 /90220.7 /901524.8 /90170.5 /9040.1 /90
I. Hien35752628 min572 /90381.3 /90230.8 /901354.6 /90431.5 /9050.2 /90
O. Kossounou24721720 min291.5 /90201 /90130.7 /90573 /90221.2 /9030.2 /90
H. Ahanor22661462 min382.3 /90201.2 /90110.7 /901096.7 /90231.4 /9020.1 /90
G. Scalvini20751507 min392.3 /90311.9 /90120.7 /90905.4 /90281.7 /9020.1 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. de Roon n 872
1.17/0
0.21/0
Y. Ramadani
D. Zappacosta n 874.4
0.95/1
0.32/0
—
N. Krstović n 852.4
2.87/3
1.74/2
—
B. Djimsiti n 868.3
0.52/1
0.32/0
Tiago Gabriel
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. de Roon n 872
2.87/5
D. Zappacosta n 874.4
1.25/2
N. Krstović n 852.4
0.42/0
B. Djimsiti n 868.3
1.85/3
I. Hien n 872.5
1.98/2
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Krstović38501895 min90.4 /9050.2 /90743.5 /90351.7 /90241.1 /90180.9 /90
C. De Ketelaere31752338 min50.2 /9050.2 /90321.2 /90190.7 /90702.7 /90552.1 /90
Gianluca Scamacca31581802 min120.6 /9020.1 /90603 /90281.4 /90211 /90120.6 /90
K. Sulemana25461146 min30.2 /9010.1 /90221.7 /90110.9 /90100.8 /90262 /90
L. Samardžić24521240 min50.4 /9020.1 /90241.7 /90120.9 /90332.4 /90201.5 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
M. de Roon n 872
0.32/0
0.21/0
D. Zappacosta n 874.4
1.14/2
0.32/0
N. Krstović n 852.4
4.57/6
1.76/2
B. Djimsiti n 868.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
M. de Roon n 872
00/0
0.21/0
D. Zappacosta n 874.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
N. Krstović n 852.4
0.21/0
00/0
B. Djimsiti n 868.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LecceAtalanta
42%Possession58%
0.44Expected goals (xG)2.78
11Shots16
0Shots on target6
6Shots off target6
5Blocked shots4
5Shots inside the box13
2Corners5
2Offsides5
10Fouls18
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves0
324Passes456
81%Pass accuracy82%

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000006.9
J. Siebert9000100106.2
Tiago Gabriel9000000106.3
C. Ndaba9000001006.2
O. Ngom9000002206.2
S. Pierotti9000100306.6
L. Banda9000102106.9
W. Cheddira7800002006.7
Y. Ramadani6800101207
Danilo Veiga6700000106.7
S. Fofana4500100206.2
O. Gandelman sub4500100006.7
K. N’Dri sub2300000006.5
L. Coulibaly sub2200000006.9
N. Štulić sub1200000006.3

Atalanta Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Carnesecchi9000000006.7
G. Scalvini9010110208.7
S. Kolašinac9000000206.5
Éderson9000211406.6
L. Bernasconi9000001106.9
C. De Ketelaere9002214008
N. Krstović8010521106.2
B. Djimsiti70000002Y7.2
D. Zappacosta70000020Y6.6
M. de Roon6300000106.9
N. Zalewski6300002106.6
M. Pašalić sub2701003007.2
G. Raspadori sub2710212007.3
R. Bellanova sub2000000207.2
O. Kossounou sub2000000006.7
K. Sulemana sub1000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Atalanta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
AtalantaDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 1 · 1 draw · Atalanta 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-09-14 Atalanta 4–1 Lecce
  • 2025-04-27 Atalanta 1–1 Lecce
  • 2024-08-19 Lecce 0–4 Atalanta
  • 2024-05-18 Lecce 0–2 Atalanta
  • 2023-12-30 Atalanta 1–0 Lecce
  • 2023-02-19 Atalanta 1–2 Lecce
League standing · 2025/26
Lecce#17 pos38 pts38 pl-22 GD
Atalanta#7 pos59 pts38 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored0.74
Atalanta scored1.34
Lecce conceded1.32
Atalanta conceded0.95

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lecce 0.37 xG from 11 shots, Atalanta 2.82 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nikola Krstovic 36' · 0.38 xGNikola Krstovic 41' · 0.37 xGÉderson 72' · 0.35 xGÉderson 46' · 0.14 xGNikola Krstovic 74' · 0.13 xGCharles De Ketelaere 48' · 0.11 xGGiacomo Raspadori 90' · 0.09 xGGiacomo Raspadori 66' · 0.08 xGCharles De Ketelaere 18' · 0.07 xGSantiago Pierotti 55' · 0.06 xGOmri Gandelman 66' · 0.06 xGLameck Banda 55' · 0.05 xGNikola Krstovic 45' · 0.05 xGNikola Krstovic 63' · 0.05 xGSadik Fofana 10' · 0.04 xGYlber Ramadani 30' · 0.03 xGÉderson 41' · 0.03 xGLameck Banda 27' · 0.03 xGOumar Ngom 86' · 0.03 xGJamil Siebert 55' · 0.02 xGKamaldeen Sulemana 89' · 0.02 xGSantiago Pierotti 37' · 0.02 xGLameck Banda 73' · 0.02 xGJamil Siebert 91' · 0.01 xGNikola Krstovic 58' · 0.55 xG · goalGiorgio Scalvini 28' · 0.26 xG · goalGiacomo Raspadori 72' · 0.14 xG · goal
Lecce (attacking right)Atalanta (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lecce1100.37
Atalanta1632.82

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Atalanta led on xG, 1.15 to 0.12. At full time, Atalanta led on xG, 2.82 to 0.37. The widest gap was 2.47 xG to Atalanta, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.81.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Atalanta 28 minGoal - Atalanta 58 minGoal - Atalanta 72 min
Lecce 0.37 xGAtalanta 2.82 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lecce v Atalanta?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Atalanta was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Atalanta?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 1, Atalanta won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Atalanta?
Recent form — Lecce 1W 0D 4L; Atalanta 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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