NapoliBologna

Napoli v Bologna result

Full-time · Napoli 2–3 Bologna

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Napoli · Bologna · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Napoli 2–3 Bologna — Bologna won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Napoli: 1.23 to 1.13 in expected goals, 0.76 of Bologna’s from a penalty, from 14 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Bologna won 3–2 at Napoli in Serie A on Monday 11 May.

The goals

Bologna led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Bologna: Federico Bernardeschi (10’, assisted by Juan Miranda), Riccardo Orsolini (34’ pen) and Jonathan Rowe (90’); Napoli: Giovanni Di Lorenzo (45’) and Alisson Santos (48’, assisted by Rasmus Højlund).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jonathan Rowe’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

M. Piccinini showed five yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Napoli: Matteo Politano (84’); Bologna: João Mário (38’), Federico Bernardeschi (47’), Eivind Helland (58’) and J. Lucumí (69’).

What it changes

Napoli stay second after this result (36 league matches played). Napoli have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Napoli have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bologna stay eighth after this result (36 league matches played). Bologna have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bologna have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) 8.1, Juan Miranda (Bologna) 7.6 and Alisson Santos (Napoli) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Napoli or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Napoli next host Lazio on 8 November 2026.

Bologna next travel to Parma on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Napoli: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bologna: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Napoli 2–3 Bologna · Serie A
  • Referee: M. Piccinini
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Napoli 2 · draws 2 · Bologna 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Napoli 2W 2D 1L · Bologna 1W 1D 3L

Napoli 2–3 Bologna (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 4.38
Corners
against 3.13 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNapoli for / againstLineBologna for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
7.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 9.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 9.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: M. Piccinini.

Napoli

Napoli Goalkeeper

Napoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Milinković-Savić35903150 min862.5 /90330.9 /9040.1 /90
A. Meret1090900 min191.9 /90151.5 /9000 /90
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Milinković-Savić n 890
35/5
A. Meret n 890
24/2

Napoli Defensive

Napoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Buongiorno37802959 min451.4 /90491.5 /90170.5 /901645 /90631.9 /9030.1 /90
Giovanni Di Lorenzo32862751 min491.6 /90120.4 /9080.3 /901254.1 /90411.3 /9020.1 /90
Juan Jesus28762123 min502.1 /90361.5 /90130.6 /90903.8 /90482 /90110.5 /90
S. Beukema26741930 min221 /90160.7 /90160.7 /90673.1 /90180.8 /9020.1 /90
M. Olivera25631573 min502.9 /90191.1 /9050.3 /90955.4 /90171 /9030.2 /90
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Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. McTominay n 878.8
1.15/3
1.45/4
—
R. Højlund n 882.6
0.73/1
16/1
—
M. Politano n 867.9
0.74/0
14/2
—
A. Buongiorno n 890
1.97/6
0.84/1
Juan Miranda
S. Lobotka n 875.6
0.64/0
14/1
—
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Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McTominay n 878.8
0.63/1
R. Højlund n 882.6
00/0
M. Politano n 867.9
0.53/0
A. Buongiorno n 890
1.47/3
S. Lobotka n 875.6
0.74/1
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Napoli Attacking

Napoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Højlund39843259 min140.4 /9030.1 /90561.5 /90310.9 /90330.9 /90180.5 /90
David Neres23581337 min60.4 /9040.3 /90161.1 /90100.7 /90312.1 /90281.9 /90
N. Lang1946876 min10.1 /9010.1 /90101 /9040.4 /90212.2 /90171.7 /90
Alisson Santos1160656 min30.4 /9000 /90192.6 /90131.8 /90111.5 /90283.8 /90
A. Vergara1074739 min20.2 /9020.2 /90121.5 /9060.7 /90141.7 /90121.5 /90
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Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. McTominay n 878.8
2.96/5
1.44/3
R. Højlund n 882.6
1.55/4
0.53/1
M. Politano n 867.9
27/3
14/2
A. Buongiorno n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Lobotka n 875.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. McTominay n 878.8
0.64/0
00/0
R. Højlund n 882.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Politano n 867.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Buongiorno n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Lobotka n 875.6
00/0
00/0
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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ł. Skorupski25892216 min502 /90180.7 /9010 /90
F. Ravaglia23872009 min673 /90411.8 /9010 /90
M. Pessina387262 min41.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.96/2
F. Ravaglia n 882.4
2.36/3

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Juan Miranda39823179 min521.5 /90421.2 /9070.2 /901414 /90361 /9090.3 /90
J. Lucumí38823110 min621.8 /90481.4 /90140.4 /901624.7 /90230.7 /9060.2 /90
N. Zortea34692362 min321.2 /90240.9 /9070.3 /901023.9 /90341.3 /9020.1 /90
T. Heggem32832660 min451.5 /90291 /9090.3 /901163.9 /90411.4 /9020.1 /90
M. Vitík26731889 min472.2 /90241.1 /9090.4 /901195.7 /90401.9 /9050.2 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Castro n 871.5
1.76/3
1.96/3
—
R. Orsolini n 855.4
1.45/1
25/3
—
Juan Miranda n 884.4
0.95/2
0.95/2
A. Buongiorno
J. Lucumí n 880.6
0.84/2
0.63/1
—
N. Moro n 869.5
0.53/0
0.53/0
—
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Castro n 871.5
0.32/0
R. Orsolini n 855.4
0.83/1
Juan Miranda n 884.4
2.47/5
J. Lucumí n 880.6
1.56/3
N. Moro n 869.5
0.84/1
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Castro44672958 min90.3 /9020.1 /90621.9 /90260.8 /90361.1 /90170.5 /90
J. Rowe36592122 min60.3 /9020.1 /90431.8 /90190.8 /90301.3 /90662.8 /90
F. Bernardeschi30561678 min50.3 /9010.1 /90392.1 /90170.9 /90442.4 /90331.8 /90
T. Dallinga25481197 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.2 /90120.9 /90211.6 /9040.3 /90
B. Domínguez1444618 min00 /9020.3 /9081.2 /9020.3 /9081.2 /90152.2 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castro n 871.5
1.65/4
0.52/1
R. Orsolini n 855.4
35/4
1.44/2
Juan Miranda n 884.4
0.42/1
0.31/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
N. Moro n 869.5
1.87/3
0.32/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Castro n 871.5
00/0
00/0
R. Orsolini n 855.4
0.21/0
00/0
Juan Miranda n 884.4
00/0
0.31/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
00/0
0.11/0
N. Moro n 869.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NapoliBologna
52%Possession48%
0.80Expected goals (xG)1.26
14Shots10
5Shots on target4
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box5
7Corners1
4Offsides0
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves3
484Passes458
88%Pass accuracy84%

Napoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Milinković-Savić9000000005.9
Giovanni Di Lorenzo9010210006.9
Amir Rrahmani9000210006
A. Buongiorno9000000005.7
S. McTominay9000301006.9
Alisson Santos9010223108.5
R. Højlund9001001006.6
Miguel Gutiérrez8700001406.7
M. Politano84000020Y6.9
S. Lobotka7600000106.7
Giovane7600111106.7
E. Elmas sub1400000006.5
Billy Gilmour sub1400000006.5
L. Spinazzola sub1200001006.2
P. Mazzocchi sub900001006.3

Bologna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pessina9000000005.9
J. Lucumí90000012Y6.9
Juan Miranda9001213207.2
R. Freuler9000000007.2
R. Orsolini9010111207.2
S. Castro9000102006.3
E. Helland82000000Y6
T. Pobega8200000206.6
L. Ferguson8100100306.9
F. Bernardeschi73102100Y7.6
João Mário64000003Y6.3
N. Zortea sub2600000106.6
J. Rowe sub1710210007.2
S. Sohm sub900000006.3
T. Heggem sub800000106.9
N. Moro sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Napoli v Bologna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NapoliWDLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
BolognaWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Napoli 2 · 2 draws · Bologna 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-12-22 Napoli 2–0 Bologna
  • 2025-11-09 Bologna 2–0 Napoli
  • 2025-04-07 Bologna 1–1 Napoli
  • 2024-08-25 Napoli 3–0 Bologna
  • 2024-05-11 Napoli 0–2 Bologna
  • 2023-09-24 Bologna 0–0 Napoli
League standing · 2025/26
Napoli#2 pos76 pts38 pl+22 GD
Bologna#8 pos56 pts38 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Napoli scored1.53
Bologna scored1.29
Napoli conceded0.95
Bologna conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Napoli 1.23 xG from 14 shots, Bologna 1.13 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Scott McTominay 29' · 0.44 xGAlisson Santos 54' · 0.08 xGJuan Miranda 11' · 0.07 xGAlisson Santos 6' · 0.06 xGGiovane 12' · 0.05 xGScott McTominay 86' · 0.05 xGScott McTominay 22' · 0.05 xGJuan Miranda 90' · 0.04 xGGiovanni Di Lorenzo 45' · 0.04 xGJonathan Rowe 78' · 0.03 xGGiovane 39' · 0.03 xGAlisson Santos 13' · 0.02 xGAmir Rrahmani 71' · 0.02 xGLewis Ferguson 76' · 0.02 xGTommaso Pobega 74' · 0.02 xGFederico Bernardeschi 3' · 0.02 xGAmir Rrahmani 93' · 0.01 xGSantiago Castro 85' · 0.01 xGScott McTominay 41' · 0.01 xGRiccardo Orsolini 33' · 0.76 xG · goalGiovanni Di Lorenzo 46' · 0.31 xG · goalJonathan Rowe 90' · 0.13 xG · goalAlisson Santos 47' · 0.06 xG · goalFederico Bernardeschi 8' · 0.03 xG · goal
Napoli (attacking right)Bologna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Napoli1421.23
Bologna1031.13

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Napoli 0.70, Bologna 0.88, including 0.76 from a penalty. At full time, xG was level: Napoli 1.23, Bologna 1.13, including 0.76 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.51 xG to Napoli, in the 29th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.20.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bologna 8 minGoal - Bologna 33 minGoal - Napoli 46 minGoal - Napoli 47 minGoal - Bologna 90 min
Napoli 1.23 xGBologna 1.13 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Napoli v Bologna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Napoli v Bologna was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Bologna?
In their last 6 meetings, Napoli won 2, Bologna won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Napoli and Bologna?
Recent form — Napoli 2W 2D 1L; Bologna 1W 1D 3L.

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