Napoli v Cagliari result

Full-time · Napoli 1–0 Cagliari

Serie A · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Napoli · Cagliari · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Napoli 1–0 Cagliari — Napoli won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.7% of 165 landed (95% range 45.1–60.2%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Napoli: 1.73 to 0.64 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 79th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Napoli beat Cagliari 1–0 in Serie A on Saturday 30 August. Napoli are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Cagliari are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Napoli: André-Frank Zambo Anguissa (90’, assisted by A. Buongiorno).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with André-Frank Zambo Anguissa’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Kevin Bonacina, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Napoli: Kevin De Bruyne (52’) and Juan Jesus (67’); Cagliari: Gabriele Zappa (5’).

What it changes

Napoli stay first after this result (two league matches played).

Cagliari move down from fourth to 15th (two league matches played).

Napoli have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, André-Frank Zambo Anguissa (Napoli) 6.9, Amir Rrahmani (Napoli) 4.1 and Matteo Politano (Napoli) 3.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.7% of the time in the last 90 days (87 of 165).

Next up

Napoli next host AS Roma on 24 October 2026.

Cagliari next host Bologna on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Napoli: Napoli v AS Roma, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Cagliari: Cagliari v Bologna, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Napoli 1–0 Cagliari · Serie A
Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Napoli 4 · draws 2 · Cagliari 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Napoli 3W 2D 0L · Cagliari 1W 2D 2L

Napoli 1–0 Cagliari (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.25 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.75

Corners

against 3.5 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 1.38 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.67 yellows

Referee · Kevin Bonacina, Italy

1.33 home / 1.33 away

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Napoli for / against	Line	Cagliari for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy — 2.67 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 24 fouls over 6 matches (1.33 to the home side, 1.33 to the away side).

Home 1.33Away 1.33

Napoli

Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Billing n 8	16	4.9 3/3	0.7 1/0	—
C. Ngonge n 8	27	2.9 4/1	2.1 4/1	—
L. Lucca n 8	79.9	2.7 6/4	2.5 7/5	M. Folorunsho
A. Zambo Anguissa n 8	79.8	1.8 6/4	1.8 7/3	—
A. Vergara n 6	57.3	1.8 3/3	3.1 5/4	—

Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Raspadori n 8	48.3	2.6 5/4	1.4 4/1
L. Lucca n 8	79.9	2.5 8/6	1.1 6/2
S. McTominay n 8	89.9	2.1 7/5	1.6 7/5
K. De Bruyne n 8	76.5	1.9 7/5	0.7 5/0
N. Lang n 8	70.5	1.9 6/4	1.4 5/2

Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. McTominay n 8	89.9	0.9 5/2	0.3 1/1
N. Lang n 8	70.5	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
R. Lukaku n 8	83.8	0.5 4/0	0.3 1/1
A. Vergara n 6	57.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
G. Raspadori n 8	48.3	0.5 2/0	0 0/0

Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Billing n 8	16	3.5 3/2
Juan Jesus n 8	56.9	2.6 5/4
A. Vergara n 6	57.3	2.4 5/3
P. Mazzocchi n 8	38.8	2.3 4/2
David Neres n 8	51	2 3/2

Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Meret n 8	90	1.3 2/1

Cagliari

Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Pavoletti n 8	20.5	5.5 6/2	2.2 2/1	—
G. Borrelli n 8	69.1	3.3 7/5	3.6 6/5	—
L. Mazzitelli n 8	28.3	3.2 6/2	0.8 1/1	—
M. Folorunsho n 8	54.8	2.1 6/2	1.8 4/2	L. Lucca
A. Obert n 8	49.6	2 4/4	0.2 1/0	—

Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Piccoli n 8	86.4	2.5 7/6	1.4 7/3
L. Pavoletti n 8	20.5	2.2 3/1	1.1 2/0
G. Borrelli n 8	69.1	2 5/4	1 4/2
L. Mazzitelli n 8	28.3	1.6 4/0	0.8 2/0
M. Folorunsho n 8	54.8	1.4 4/2	0.4 2/0

Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 8	21.5	0 0/0	1 2/0
R. Piccoli n 8	86.4	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
L. Pavoletti n 8	20.5	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
N. Zortea n 8	75.5	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Deiola n 8	59.1	0.4 2/0	0 0/0

Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Riyad Idrissi n 5	53.4	2.7 3/3
Y. Mina n 8	85	2.5 7/7
A. Obert n 8	49.6	2.5 5/3
J. L. Palomino n 8	75.5	2.2 6/5
A. Deiola n 8	59.1	1.9 7/2

Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Sherri n 8	88.1	2.7 6/4
E. Caprile n 8	91.1	1.4 4/0

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Napoli		Cagliari
67%	Possession	33%
1.58	Expected goals (xG)	0.53
20	Shots	10
6	Shots on target	1
8	Shots off target	8
6	Blocked shots	1
15	Shots inside the box	3
13	Corners	0
3	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	5
615	Passes	310
90%	Pass accuracy	81%

Napoli player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Meret	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Giovanni Di Lorenzo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Amir Rrahmani	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.7
S. Lobotka	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.5
M. Politano	90	0	0	3	0	4	1	0	7.9
A. Zambo Anguissa	90	1	0	3	2	1	1	0	7.6
S. McTominay	90	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	5.9
L. Spinazzola	81	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	6.9
K. De Bruyne	81	0	0	1	0	3	0	Y	7.2
L. Lucca	75	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
Juan Jesus	68	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	7
A. Buongiorno sub	22	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	7
G. Ambrosino sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Olivera sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Lang sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Cagliari player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Caprile	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Y. Mina	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
S. Luperto	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
M. Adopo	90	0	0	2	3	0	6.6
A. Deiola	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
A. Obert	90	1	0	0	2	0	7.3
M. Palestra	83	0	0	2	0	0	7.3
M. Folorunsho	83	2	0	1	3	0	6.6
S. Esposito	66	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Prati	65	2	0	0	3	0	6.9
G. Zappa	58	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
Zito Luvumbo sub	32	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
G. Gaetano sub	25	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
G. Borrelli sub	24	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Riyad Idrissi sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Di Pardo sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Napoli v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NapoliWDDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

CagliariLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Napoli 4 · 2 draws · Cagliari 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-05-23 Napoli 2–0 Cagliari
2024-09-15 Cagliari 0–4 Napoli
2024-02-25 Cagliari 1–1 Napoli
2023-12-16 Napoli 2–1 Cagliari
2022-02-21 Cagliari 1–1 Napoli
2021-09-26 Napoli 2–0 Cagliari

League standing · 2025/26

Napoli#2 pos76 pts38 pl+22 GD

Cagliari#14 pos43 pts38 pl-13 GD

Goals per game

Napoli scored1.53

Cagliari scored1.05

Napoli conceded0.95

Cagliari conceded1.39

Shot map and expected goals

Napoli 1.73 xG from 20 shots, Cagliari 0.64 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Napoli (attacking right)Cagliari (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Napoli	20	1	1.73
Cagliari	10	0	0.64

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Napoli v Cagliari?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Napoli v Cagliari was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Cagliari?: In their last 6 meetings, Napoli won 4, Cagliari won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Napoli and Cagliari?: Recent form — Napoli 3W 2D 0L; Cagliari 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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