Udinese v Hellas Verona result

Full-time · Udinese 1–1 Hellas Verona

Serie A · · Bluenergy Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Udinese 1–1 Hellas Verona — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Udinese 1.05, Hellas Verona 0.82 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Udinese and Hellas Verona drew 1–1 at Bluenergy Stadium in Serie A on Monday 25 August. Hellas Verona are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Udinese: Thomas Kristensen (53’, assisted by Sandi Lovrić); Hellas Verona: S. Serdar (73’, assisted by Giovane).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Serdar’s goal on 73 minutes.

Discipline

Paride Tremolada, Italy showed five yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Udinese: Iker Bravo (33’), Keinan Davis (70’) and Nicolò Bertola (88’); Hellas Verona: Enzo Ebosse (85’) and Rafik Belghali (90+3’).

What it changes

Udinese are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Hellas Verona are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Hellas Verona have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thomas Kristensen (Udinese) 7.9, S. Serdar (Hellas Verona) 6.8 and Giovane (Hellas Verona) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Udinese next host AC Milan on 25 October 2026.

Hellas Verona next host Pisa on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Udinese: Udinese v AC Milan, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Hellas Verona: Hellas Verona v Pisa, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Udinese 1–1 Hellas Verona · Serie A
  • Venue: Bluenergy Stadium · Udine
  • Referee: Paride Tremolada, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Udinese 1 · draws 3 · Hellas Verona 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Udinese 2W 0D 3L · Hellas Verona 1W 3D 1L

Udinese 1–1 Hellas Verona (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3.71
Corners
against 6.38 / 5.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.75 / 2
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUdinese for / againstLineHellas Verona for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.71 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
13.63 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
8.71 for · 9 against n 7
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
15 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
17.14 for · 9.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Paride Tremolada, Italy.

Udinese
Udinese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Lucca n 879.9
2.76/4
2.57/5
—
M. Payero n 848.9
2.56/2
3.77/4
—
S. Lovrić n 851.8
2.46/2
0.94/0
A. Bernede
J. Karlström n 890
28/5
0.95/2
A. Bernede
C. Kabasele n 873.8
26/3
1.47/2
—
Udinese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Pafundi n 812.8
2.63/0
0.91/0
L. Lucca n 879.9
2.58/6
1.16/2
K. Davis n 854.1
2.36/4
1.54/2
Iker Bravo n 837.3
1.83/1
0.91/1
S. Lovrić n 851.8
1.76/1
0.93/1
Udinese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Lucca n 879.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Oier Zarraga n 843.5
0.31/0
00/0
Rui Modesto n 843
00/0
0.31/0
Iker Bravo n 837.3
0.31/0
00/0
C. Kabasele n 873.8
0.21/0
00/0
Udinese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Gianetti n 842.3
3.24/3
O. Solet n 890
2.37/5
Rui Modesto n 843
2.15/2
K. Ehizibue n 884.8
28/4
J. Piotrowski n 869.3
1.86/3
Udinese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Okoye n 890
3.25/4
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Livramento n 819.1
4.14/3
0.61/0
—
A. Bernede n 846.3
3.25/4
13/1
J. Karlström
G. Kastanos n 817.6
3.23/1
3.24/1
—
M. Lambourde n 814.4
3.13/1
0.81/0
—
D. Mosquera n 849.3
2.77/4
0.92/1
—
Hellas Verona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Mosquera n 849.3
3.76/4
0.94/0
M. Lambourde n 814.4
3.13/1
1.62/0
D. Lazovic n 820
2.33/1
0.61/0
G. Kastanos n 817.6
1.32/0
00/0
C. Tengstedt n 830.6
1.13/0
00/0
Hellas Verona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Lambourde n 814.4
0.81/0
00/0
D. Lazovic n 820
0.61/0
00/0
A. Sarr n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
T. Suslov n 866.6
00/0
0.21/0
S. Serdar n 854.8
0.21/0
00/0
Hellas Verona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Lambourde n 814.4
3.94/1
A. Bernede n 846.3
3.25/3
S. Serdar n 854.8
3.16/5
M. Frese n 846.1
2.76/3
D. Ghilardi n 889.4
2.48/6
Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Perilli n 690
5.55/5
L. Montipò n 890
1.84/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
UdineseHellas Verona
63%Possession37%
0.73Expected goals (xG)0.56
14Shots9
4Shots on target3
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box2
5Corners1
2Offsides2
10Fouls14
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves4
478Passes286
87%Pass accuracy73%

Udinese player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sava9000000007.6
N. Bertola90000020Y7
T. Kristensen9010111108.6
O. Solet9000000107.2
K. Ehizibue9000000207
J. Karlström9000000206.6
A. Atta9000112106.3
J. Zemura7900101106.2
K. Davis74003211Y6.9
S. Lovrić6101101307.5
Iker Bravo61000020Y6.5
Oier Zarraga sub2900000006.2
V. Bayo sub2900000006.5
J. Piotrowski sub1600001006.6
H. Kamara sub1100300106.9

Hellas Verona player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Montipò9000000006.9
Unai Núñez9000000406.3
V. Nelsson9000000006.5
M. Frese9000102306.9
A. Bernede9000101206.9
Giovane9001421107.2
Fallou Cham8200002306.6
S. Serdar8210111207.2
D. Bradarić7200000306.6
C. Niasse6600000006.3
A. Sarr6600000206.7
A. Harroui sub2400000106.7
D. Mosquera sub2400000006.5
R. Belghali sub18000001Y6.6
E. Ebosse sub8000000Y6.9
D. Oyegoke sub800000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Udinese v Hellas Verona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UdineseWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Hellas VeronaLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Udinese 1 · 3 draws · Hellas Verona 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-03-15 Udinese 0–1 Hellas Verona
  • 2025-01-04 Hellas Verona 0–0 Udinese
  • 2024-04-20 Hellas Verona 1–0 Udinese
  • 2023-12-03 Udinese 3–3 Hellas Verona
  • 2023-01-30 Udinese 1–1 Hellas Verona
  • 2022-10-03 Hellas Verona 1–2 Udinese
League standing · 2025/26
Udinese#10 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD
Hellas Verona#19 pos21 pts38 pl-36 GD
Goals per game
Udinese scored1.18
Hellas Verona scored0.66
Udinese conceded1.26
Hellas Verona conceded1.61

Shot map and expected goals

Udinese 1.05 xG from 14 shots, Hellas Verona 0.82 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jordan Zemura 21' · 0.10 xGKeinan Davis 44' · 0.10 xGSandi Lovric 56' · 0.07 xGOumar Solet 87' · 0.05 xGHassane Kamara 82' · 0.04 xGThomas Thiesson Kristensen 43' · 0.04 xGMartin Frese 47' · 0.04 xGHassane Kamara 92' · 0.04 xGGiovane 51' · 0.03 xGAmin Sarr 59' · 0.03 xGGiovane 72' · 0.03 xGGiovane 40' · 0.03 xGKeinan Davis 63' · 0.03 xGKeinan Davis 36' · 0.02 xGDomagoj Bradaric 1' · 0.02 xGAntoine Bernede 38' · 0.02 xGOier Zarraga 62' · 0.02 xGGiovane 49' · 0.02 xGArthur Atta 15' · 0.01 xGOumar Solet 28' · 0.01 xGHassane Kamara 86' · 0.01 xGSuat Serdar 72' · 0.61 xG · goalThomas Thiesson Kristensen 52' · 0.52 xG · goal
Udinese (attacking right)Hellas Verona (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Udinese1411.05
Hellas Verona910.82

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Udinese v Hellas Verona?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Udinese v Hellas Verona was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Hellas Verona?
In their last 6 meetings, Udinese won 1, Hellas Verona won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Udinese and Hellas Verona?
Recent form — Udinese 2W 0D 3L; Hellas Verona 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →