Venezia v Napoli result
The model’s pre-match pick
Venezia 1–0 Napoli — Venezia won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.
The result
Venezia beat Napoli 1–0 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Serie A on Saturday 17 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Napoli out-shot Venezia 29 to 9 and created the better chances, 2.46 xG to 0.67 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Venezia: Akor Adams (49’, assisted by Simon Sohm).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Akor Adams’s goal on 49 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Venezia: Toma Bašić (61’) and Kike Pérez (80’).
What it changes
Venezia stay 20th after this result (seven league matches played).
Napoli move down from sixth to ninth (seven league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Filip Stanković (Venezia) 6.9, Akor Adams (Venezia) 6.3 and Scott McTominay (Napoli) 5.5 led the match.
Next up
Venezia next travel to Genoa on 25 October 2026.
Napoli next host Bodo/Glimt on 20 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Venezia: Genoa v Venezia, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Napoli: Napoli v Bodo/Glimt, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Venezia 1–0 Napoli · Serie A
- Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo · Venice
- Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Venezia 0 · draws 1 · Napoli 3 · 1.25 goals/game
- Recent form: Venezia 0W 0D 5L · Napoli 2W 1D 2L
Venezia 1–0 Napoli (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Venezia for / against | Line | Napoli for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.38 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 17.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.38 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Venezia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Þ. Helgason n 8 | 31.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | — |
| Kike Pérez n 8 | 84.1 | 1.9 | 2 | — |
| R. Halhal n 8 | 76.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| Thierry Correia n 8 | 40.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | — |
| Toni Fernández n 4 | 25.8 | 1.7 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Adams n 8 | 68.6 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| J. Yeboah n 8 | 79.5 | 3 | 1.1 |
| L. Lauberbach n 8 | 31.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| A. Rrahmani n 8 | 30.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| R. Sagrado n 8 | 47.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sagrado n 8 | 47.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| A. Hainaut n 8 | 87.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| G. Busio n 8 | 84.3 | 0 | 0.4 |
| J. Yeboah n 8 | 79.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Adams n 8 | 68.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Busio n 8 | 84.3 | 2.3 |
| A. Bella-Kotchap n 8 | 64.3 | 2.1 |
| A. Gomes n 8 | 43.3 | 2.1 |
| Kike Pérez n 8 | 84.1 | 2 |
| Juan Jesus n 8 | 59.8 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Stanković n 8 | 86.4 | 3.9 |
| L. Montipò n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Napoli
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lucca n 8 | 18.4 | 4.3 | 0.6 | — |
| Rafa Marín n 8 | 86.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 81.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| A. Zambo Anguissa n 8 | 57.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lang n 8 | 48.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 81.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| R. Højlund n 8 | 78.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| L. Lucca n 8 | 18.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| S. McTominay n 8 | 71.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 81.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| R. Højlund n 8 | 78.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Billy Gilmour n 8 | 74.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Politano n 8 | 58.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 5.2 |
| C. Favasuli n 8 | 57.4 | 3.9 |
| M. Olivera n 8 | 65.4 | 2.9 |
| Rafa Marín n 8 | 86.6 | 2.2 |
| Amir Rrahmani n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Milinković-Savić n 8 | 84.4 | 3.6 |
| A. Meret n 8 | 83.1 | 2.7 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Venezia | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 29% | Possession | 71% |
| 0.67 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.46 |
| 9 | Shots | 29 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 0 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 22 |
| 0 | Corners | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 9 | Saves | 3 |
| 310 | Passes | 735 |
Venezia player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Jesus | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| F. Stanković | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| R. Halhal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| A. Hainaut | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Kike Pérez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.4 |
| A. Adams | 90 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| S. Sohm | 82 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.1 |
| M. Moreno | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 |
| T. Bašić | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| R. Haps | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Yeboah | 63 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Rrahmani | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| P. Mazzocchi | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Þ. Helgason | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Schingtienne | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Lamine Dabo | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Napoli player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lobotka | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| S. McTominay | 90 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| B. Badiashile | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Amir Rrahmani | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Meret | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Spinazzola | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Beukema | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Billy Gilmour | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| L. Lucca | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Giovane | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. De Bruyne | 36 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Alisson Santos | 36 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Højlund | 36 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Politano | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Olivera | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Venezia v Napoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-16 Venezia 0–0 Napoli
- 2024-12-29 Napoli 1–0 Venezia
- 2022-02-06 Venezia 0–2 Napoli
- 2021-08-22 Napoli 2–0 Venezia
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Venezia vs Napoli?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Venezia v Napoli was Away win (best price 1.72 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Napoli?
- In their last 4 meetings, Venezia won 0, Napoli won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.25 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Venezia and Napoli?
- Recent form — Venezia 0W 0D 5L; Napoli 2W 1D 2L.
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