ModenaReggiana

Modena v Reggiana result

Full-time · Modena 2–1 Reggiana

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Alberto Braglia

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Modena · Reggiana · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Modena 2–1 Reggiana — Modena won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Modena beat Reggiana 2–1 at Stadio Alberto Braglia in Serie B – Italy on Friday 1 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Reggiana out-shot Modena 16 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.76 xG to 0.53 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Modena led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Modena: F. Zampano (13’, assisted by L. Zanimacchia) and G. Ambrosino (56’, assisted by Yanis Massolin); Reggiana: F. Vicari (65’, assisted by K. Bozhanaj). G. Ambrosino (69’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Zampano’s goal on 13 minutes.

Discipline

R. Abisso showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Modena: F. Zampano (14’), G. Ambrosino (57’), G. Ambrosino (69’) and S. Santoro (76’); Reggiana: S. Bonetti (35’), L. Belardinelli (56’) and M. Portanova (85’).

What it changes

Modena stay sixth after this result (37 league matches played).

Reggiana move down from 17th to 19th (37 league matches played).

Reggiana are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yanis Massolin (Modena) 7.2, F. Zampano (Modena) 5.3 and F. Vicari (Reggiana) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Modena or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Modena next travel to Virtus Entella on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Modena: Virtus Entella v Modena, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Modena 2–1 Reggiana · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia · Modena
  • Referee: R. Abisso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Modena 2 · draws 0 · Reggiana 3 · 2.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Modena 0W 2D 3L · Reggiana 1W 1D 3L

Modena 2–1 Reggiana (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.38
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.5
Cards
against 2 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.4 yellows
Referee · R. Abisso
34.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameModena for / againstLineReggiana for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
9.88 for · 17.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
14.75 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: R. Abisso — 4.4 yellow cards a game, 0.6 red cards, 34.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Modena

Modena Defensive

Modena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Santoro n 887
2.17/3
1.46/3
—
L. Zanimacchia n 876.1
0.73/2
1.25/3
M. Portanova
D. Tonoli n 879.5
0.73/1
1.15/2
—
F. Zampano n 860.9
1.86/3
0.62/1
M. Portanova
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Modena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Santoro n 887
1.97/4
L. Zanimacchia n 876.1
0.43/0
D. Tonoli n 879.5
2.16/5
F. Zampano n 860.9
0.94/1
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
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Modena Attacking

Modena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Santoro n 887
1.23/2
0.42/1
L. Zanimacchia n 876.1
14/2
0.41/1
D. Tonoli n 879.5
0.74/1
0.32/0
F. Zampano n 860.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
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Modena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Modena before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Santoro n 887
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Zanimacchia n 876.1
00/0
0.11/0
D. Tonoli n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
F. Zampano n 860.9
00/0
00/0
L. Chichizola n 890
00/0
00/0
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Reggiana

Reggiana Defensive

Reggiana — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Portanova n 888.5
1.86/6
28/6
F. Zampano
A. Papetti n 883.5
0.73/1
2.46/5
—
T. Reinhart n 863
1.85/3
0.93/2
—
Charlys n 857.1
1.86/3
0.83/1
—
M. Rover n 868.3
26/4
1.34/3
—
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Reggiana — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Portanova n 888.5
2.36/6
A. Papetti n 883.5
1.16/2
T. Reinhart n 863
0.74/0
Charlys n 857.1
2.85/4
M. Rover n 868.3
1.85/4
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Reggiana Attacking

Reggiana — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Portanova n 888.5
0.85/1
0.32/0
A. Papetti n 883.5
0.11/0
00/0
T. Reinhart n 863
0.52/1
0.21/0
Charlys n 857.1
1.46/1
00/0
M. Rover n 868.3
0.74/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Reggiana — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Portanova n 888.5
0.11/0
00/0
A. Papetti n 883.5
00/0
00/0
T. Reinhart n 863
00/0
00/0
Charlys n 857.1
00/0
00/0
M. Rover n 868.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ModenaReggiana
53%Possession47%
0.53Expected goals (xG)1.76
9Shots16
3Shots on target5
3Shots off target3
3Blocked shots8
3Shots inside the box11
2Corners4
2Offsides4
16Fouls21
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
4Saves0
351Passes298
80%Pass accuracy77%

Modena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Michele Pezzolato9000000008.2
D. Tonoli9000000307.7
S. Nador9000000006.9
Bryant Nieling9000001206.6
L. Zanimacchia9001101106.9
Y. Massolin8301003107.9
F. Zampano83101111Y7.5
N. Pyyhtiä7200000106.6
M. De Luca7200111206.2
G. Ambrosino69102100RY7.3
F. Gerli60000000–
S. Santoro sub84001013Y7.2
A. Sersanti sub1800000006.7
Pedro Mendes sub1800000006.2
M. Cotali sub1400000006.7
S. Wiafe sub1400000106.9

Reggiana Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Micai9000000005.9
F. Vicari9010110007.3
Mateus Lusuardi9000000007.2
M. Portanova90001002Y6.7
M. Lambourde9000111207.3
C. Gondo9000111006.9
M. Bertagnoli8400002206.2
L. Libutti7400001206.7
L. Belardinelli58000000Y6.2
N. Girma5700000105.9
S. Bonetti45000001Y6.3
A. Tripaldelli sub4500002006.2
K. Bozhanaj sub3301001107.3
A. Novaković sub3200211006.9
T. Reinhart sub1600000206.6
Tommaso Fumagalli sub1300210006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Modena v Reggiana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ModenaLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
ReggianaLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Modena 2 · 0 draws · Reggiana 3 · 2.2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-28 Reggiana 1–0 Modena
  • 2025-05-01 Modena 2–3 Reggiana
  • 2024-12-14 Reggiana 0–1 Modena
  • 2024-05-01 Reggiana 1–0 Modena
  • 2023-12-02 Modena 2–1 Reggiana
League standing · 2025/26
Modena#6 pos55 pts38 pl+13 GD
Reggiana#18 pos37 pts38 pl-20 GD
Goals per game
Modena scored1.29
Reggiana scored0.95
Modena conceded0.95
Reggiana conceded1.47

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Modena v Reggiana?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Reggiana was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Reggiana?
In their last 5 meetings, Modena won 2, Reggiana won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Modena and Reggiana?
Recent form — Modena 0W 2D 3L; Reggiana 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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