PadovaCarrarese

Padova v Carrarese result

Full-time · Padova 0–2 Carrarese

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Euganeo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Padova · Carrarese

The model’s pre-match pick

Padova 0–2 Carrarese — Carrarese won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away saves under 4.5.

Free pick
Away saves under 4.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Carrarese won 2–0 at Stadio Euganeo in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 11 October.

The goals

Carrarese led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Carrarese: T. Rubino (14’, assisted by G. Parlanti) and J. Rouhi (51’, assisted by N. Belloni).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Rouhi’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Padova 0.68, Carrarese 1.61, from 11 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy showed five yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Padova: G. Caprari (51’); Carrarese: F. Oliana (40’), M. Braunöder (62’), N. Belloni (80’) and G. Parlanti (81’).

What it changes

Padova have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Padova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Carrarese have scored nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Carrarese have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alessandro Dellavalle (Padova) 7.2, T. Rubino (Carrarese) 6.7 and N. Belloni (Carrarese) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Carrarese saves under 4.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Padova next host Empoli on 7 November 2026.

Carrarese next host Sampdoria on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Padova: Padova v Empoli, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Carrarese: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Padova 0–2 Carrarese · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Euganeo · Padova
  • Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Padova 1 · draws 1 · Carrarese 0 · 0.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Padova 2W 1D 2L · Carrarese 0W 1D 4L

Padova 0–2 Carrarese (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.75
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.57 yellows
Referee · Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy
24.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePadova for / againstLineCarrarese for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
0.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 17.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 15 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy — 4.57 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 24.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Padova

Padova Goalkeeper

Padova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Sorrentino690540 min233.8 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Padova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Sorrentino n 890
4.17/6

Padova Defensive

Padova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alessandro Dellavalle690540 min132.2 /90122 /9061 /90244 /9040.7 /9020.3 /90
C. Pastina677461 min173.3 /9051 /9030.6 /90316.1 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
M. Lovato577387 min40.9 /9071.6 /9061.4 /90143.3 /9030.7 /9000 /90
F. Sgarbi279157 min21.1 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
E. Zuelli689534 min81.3 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90172.9 /9061 /9010.2 /90
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Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alessandro Dellavalle n 690
0.73/1
15/1
F. Oliana
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
—
E. Zuelli n 689
14/2
0.32/0
J. Rouhi
L. Carissoni n 678.7
1.94/3
0.62/1
—
C. Pastina n 880.1
15/1
0.63/1
—
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 690
2.26/5
E. Zuelli n 689
1.35/2
L. Carissoni n 678.7
1.35/2
C. Pastina n 880.1
3.58/7
P. Fusi n 864.4
4.98/5
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Lasagna639235 min00 /9000 /9062.3 /9000 /9041.5 /9000 /90
G. Caprari557286 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90
L. Moro478311 min00 /9000 /9051.4 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90
M. Bortolussi337110 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
A. Seghetti23773 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /90
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Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alessandro Dellavalle n 690
0.72/1
0.21/0
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Zuelli n 689
0.32/0
00/0
L. Carissoni n 678.7
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Pastina n 880.1
16/1
0.43/0
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
Alessandro Dellavalle n 690
00/0
00/0
E. Zuelli n 689
00/0
00/0
L. Carissoni n 678.7
00/0
0.21/0
C. Pastina n 880.1
0.32/0
00/0
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Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Garofani390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
S. Pizzignacco390270 min51.7 /9031 /9000 /90
Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Garofani n 390
3.33/2
S. Pizzignacco n 390
1.71/1

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Oliana689531 min71.2 /9081.4 /9071.2 /90244.1 /9081.4 /9020.3 /90
F. Ruggeri684506 min152.7 /90122.1 /9071.2 /90264.6 /90112 /9010.2 /90
L. Romani489354 min41 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Tommaso Guercio32884 min22.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9099.6 /9022.1 /9000 /90
J. Rouhi683499 min71.3 /9061.1 /9030.5 /90183.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Oliana n 888.9
1.16/2
0.11/0
Alessandro Dellavalle
F. Ruggeri n 884
1.96/5
0.53/1
—
J. Rouhi n 870.1
0.21/0
0.64/0
E. Zuelli
F. Abiuso n 875
1.27/1
26/4
—
G. Parlanti n 871
2.26/5
2.48/4
—
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
1.16/3
F. Ruggeri n 884
2.37/5
J. Rouhi n 870.1
1.45/4
F. Abiuso n 875
1.36/3
G. Parlanti n 871
2.46/4
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Abiuso679472 min10.2 /9000 /90142.7 /9051 /9030.6 /9030.6 /90
M. Cissé666395 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9020.5 /9051.1 /9040.9 /90
G. Marconi535175 min00 /9000 /9042.1 /9000 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90
N. Cudrig12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Rouhi683499 min00 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9000 /90183.2 /9050.9 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Ruggeri n 884
0.32/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 870.1
0.21/0
00/0
F. Abiuso n 875
2.37/4
0.82/1
G. Parlanti n 871
0.84/1
0.53/0
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
00/0
00/0
F. Ruggeri n 884
00/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 870.1
00/0
0.21/0
F. Abiuso n 875
0.21/0
00/0
G. Parlanti n 871
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PadovaCarrarese
57%Possession43%
0.68Expected goals (xG)1.61
11Shots10
1Shots on target4
5Shots off target5
5Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box7
5Corners1
2Offsides0
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves1
560Passes435
87%Pass accuracy83%

Padova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sorrentino9000000006.3
Alessandro Dellavalle9000001706.9
F. Sgarbi9000210206.6
M. Lovato9000000107.3
A. Capelli9000101106.5
E. Zuelli9000000106.9
L. Moro7900100106.2
P. Fusi6700102106.9
G. Caprari56000020Y7.5
M. Cocchi5600000206.2
M. Bortolussi4500002006.5
G. Artistico sub4500000006.3
M. Pompetti sub3400002006.6
F. Di Mariano sub3400100106.7
N. Galazzi sub2300000006.6
A. Seghetti sub1100000006.3

Carrarese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Pizzignacco9000000007.2
F. Ruggeri9000000207.3
F. Oliana90001001Y7.2
F. Reale9000000206.9
N. Belloni90012112Y7.5
M. Braunöder90000024Y7.9
G. Parlanti89010014Y7
Nicolás Schiavi7200101207.2
J. Rouhi7210110007.9
T. Rubino6010322207.5
F. Abiuso4500000106.3
G. Marconi sub4500101106.5
L. Topalović sub3000000006.6
J. Martini sub1800001006.6
Tommaso Guercio sub1800000006.6
N. Cudrig sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Padova v Carrarese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PadovaWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
CarrareseLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Padova 1 · 1 draw · Carrarese 0 · 0.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-10 Padova 1–0 Carrarese
  • 2025-08-31 Carrarese 0–0 Padova
League standing · 2026/27
Padova#9 pos14 pts10 pl-1 GD
Carrarese#15 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Padova scored1
Carrarese scored0.9
Padova conceded1.1
Carrarese conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Padova v Carrarese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Padova v Carrarese was Away saves under 4.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Padova and Carrarese?
In their last 2 meetings, Padova won 1, Carrarese won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Padova and Carrarese?
Recent form — Padova 2W 1D 2L; Carrarese 0W 1D 4L.

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