PadovaHellas Verona

Padova v Hellas Verona result

Full-time · Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Euganeo

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.72 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Padova and Hellas Verona drew 1–1 at Stadio Euganeo in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 29 August. Hellas Verona are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Padova led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Hellas Verona: an own goal by A. Edmundsson (25’) and A. Sarr (67’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Hellas Verona out-shot Padova 14 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.62 xG to 0.94 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Fabio Maresca, Italy showed five yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Padova: P. Fusi (18’), C. Pastina (24’), G. Giunti (75’) and A. Capelli (90’); Hellas Verona: T. Slotsager (27’).

What it changes

Padova have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Padova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Hellas Verona have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Hellas Verona have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Sarr (Hellas Verona) 7.9, A. Le Borgne (Hellas Verona) 5.6 and A. Bernede (Hellas Verona) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Padova next host Empoli on 7 November 2026.

Hellas Verona next travel to Mantova on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Padova: Padova v Empoli, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Hellas Verona: Mantova v Hellas Verona, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Euganeo · Padova
  • Referee: Fabio Maresca, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Padova 1 · draws 1 · Hellas Verona 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Padova 3W 0D 2L · Hellas Verona 0W 2D 3L

Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.14
Corners
against 4.88 / 6.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.43
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePadova for / againstLineHellas Verona for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.25our book
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.14 for · 6.57 against n 7
Shots
11.25 for · 16.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.86 for · 14.86 against n 7
Shots on target
3.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.71 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
16 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.57 for · 11.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.43 for · 1.57 against n 7

Referee: Fabio Maresca, Italy.

Padova

Padova Goalkeeper

Padova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Sorrentino290180 min84 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Padova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Sorrentino n 890
3.55/5

Padova Defensive

Padova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alessandro Dellavalle290180 min52.5 /9052.5 /9021 /9094.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
F. Sgarbi279157 min21.1 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
C. Pastina277153 min63.5 /9042.4 /9010.6 /90116.5 /9042.4 /9000 /90
M. Cocchi12828 min13.2 /9026.4 /9000 /90412.9 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Lovato12727 min00 /9013.3 /9013.3 /9000 /9013.3 /9000 /90
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Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Fusi n 869.9
3.27/6
0.82/1
A. Sarr
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
F. Sgarbi n 872.5
1.45/2
0.95/1
—
C. Pastina n 886.6
1.25/3
0.92/1
D. Bradarić
G. Caprari n 848.8
1.85/2
1.65/2
—
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Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Fusi n 869.9
4.28/4
F. Sgarbi n 872.5
0.95/1
C. Pastina n 886.6
3.18/6
G. Caprari n 848.8
1.23/2
K. Lasagna n 870.4
0.84/1
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Padova Attacking

Padova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Caprari270140 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.9 /9000 /90
K. Lasagna24590 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /90
M. Bortolussi24590 min00 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
A. Seghetti12020 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.5 /90
E. Zuelli290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021 /9000 /90
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Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Fusi n 869.9
15/1
0.53/0
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Sgarbi n 872.5
0.52/1
0.32/0
C. Pastina n 886.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
G. Caprari n 848.8
0.93/1
0.72/1
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Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Fusi n 869.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Sorrentino n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Sgarbi n 872.5
0.21/0
00/0
C. Pastina n 886.6
0.11/0
00/0
G. Caprari n 848.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona Goalkeeper

Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Leali19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90

Hellas Verona Defensive

Hellas Verona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Edmundsson19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Bradarić19090 min11 /9022 /9011 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Dawidowicz19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9077 /9000 /90
D. Oyegoke16161 min34.4 /9011.5 /9000 /9034.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Fallou Cham12929 min13.1 /9000 /9000 /90618.6 /9026.2 /9013.1 /90
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Hellas Verona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Dawidowicz n 881.6
2.36/3
0.64/0
—
A. Sarr n 843.1
0.83/0
14/0
P. Fusi
A. Edmundsson n 886.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
—
D. Bradarić n 855.4
0.21/0
14/1
C. Pastina
G. Kastanos n 836.5
2.24/2
3.14/3
—
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Hellas Verona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Dawidowicz n 881.6
2.28/5
A. Edmundsson n 886.3
1.75/4
D. Bradarić n 855.4
1.45/2
A. Sarr n 843.1
1.33/2
G. Kastanos n 836.5
2.54/2
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Hellas Verona Attacking

Hellas Verona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Mulattieri19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
D. Livramento12929 min00 /9000 /9039.3 /9013.1 /9000 /9026.2 /90
A. Sarr19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9033 /90
G. Kastanos18989 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9044 /9011 /90
M. Compagnon18989 min00 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9022 /9011 /90
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Hellas Verona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Sarr n 843.1
1.35/0
0.83/0
D. Bradarić n 855.4
0.41/1
0.21/0
A. Edmundsson n 886.3
0.11/0
00/0
P. Dawidowicz n 881.6
0.11/0
00/0
G. Kastanos n 836.5
1.55/0
0.62/0
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Hellas Verona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Bradarić n 855.4
00/0
0.21/0
A. Edmundsson n 886.3
00/0
00/0
P. Dawidowicz n 881.6
00/0
00/0
A. Sarr n 843.1
00/0
00/0
G. Kastanos n 836.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PadovaHellas Verona
39%Possession61%
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.62
7Shots14
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target7
1Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box7
2Corners6
0Offsides1
12Fouls18
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
316Passes494
76%Pass accuracy85%

Padova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sorrentino9000000007.2
Alessandro Dellavalle9000000206.3
M. Lovato9000000106.6
C. Pastina90001003Y6.6
L. Carissoni9000110106.6
E. Zuelli9000100106.9
M. Pompetti8300110206.3
M. Cocchi7000000206.5
L. Moro7000100206.5
P. Fusi59000033Y7.3
G. Caprari5900001006.9
K. Lasagna sub3100100006.5
G. Giunti sub31000001Y6.3
M. Bortolussi sub2000001006.3
A. Capelli sub20000000Y6.6
F. Di Mariano sub1200000006.5

Hellas Verona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Edmundsson9000000306.3
A. Bernede9000003307.2
D. Bradarić9000211107.2
S. Mulattieri9000000206.5
N. Leali9000000007.2
A. Le Borgne9000100307.2
G. Zappa7800000006.7
M. Compagnon7800100006.9
A. Sarr7810222107
A. Le Borgne7100300306.5
A. Harroui6500203106
T. Slotsager45000000Y6.3
S. Korač sub4500100107
D. Livramento sub2500101006.3
N. Calabrese sub1200000006.6
G. Kastanos sub1200001006.9
S. Cerbone sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Padova v Hellas Verona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PadovaLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Hellas VeronaLDLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Padova 1 · 1 draw · Hellas Verona 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2019-01-20 Padova 3–0 Hellas Verona
  • 2018-08-26 Hellas Verona 1–1 Padova
League standing · 2026/27
Padova#9 pos14 pts10 pl-1 GD
Hellas Verona#7 pos15 pts10 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Padova scored1
Hellas Verona scored1.9
Padova conceded1.1
Hellas Verona conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Padova v Hellas Verona?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Padova v Hellas Verona was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Padova and Hellas Verona?
In their last 2 meetings, Padova won 1, Hellas Verona won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Padova and Hellas Verona?
Recent form — Padova 3W 0D 2L; Hellas Verona 0W 2D 3L.

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