PalermoCarrarese

Palermo v Carrarese result

Full-time · Palermo 2–1 Carrarese

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Renzo Barbera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Palermo · Carrarese

The model’s pre-match pick

Palermo 2–1 Carrarese — Palermo won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.45 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Palermo beat Carrarese 2–1 at Stadio Renzo Barbera in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 25 October. Palermo are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Palermo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Palermo: D. Johnsen (26’, assisted by Hernani) and D. Vavassori (80’); Carrarese: T. Rubino (74’, assisted by G. Marconi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Vavassori’s goal on 80 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Palermo 1.89, Carrarese 1.32, from 19 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Carrarese: L. Topalović (22’) and F. Oliana (90+3’).

What it changes

Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Carrarese have scored nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Carrarese have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Palermo have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Johnsen (Palermo) 7.8, Hernani (Palermo) 7.3 and D. Vavassori (Palermo) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Palermo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Carrarese.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Palermo to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.

Carrarese next host Sampdoria on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Carrarese: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Palermo 2–1 Carrarese · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera · Palermo
  • Referee: Mattia Drigo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Palermo 2 · draws 1 · Carrarese 1 · 2.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Palermo 4W 1D 0L · Carrarese 2W 0D 3L

Palermo 2–1 Carrarese (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePalermo for / againstLineCarrarese for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
17.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 15 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Mattia Drigo.

Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Fortin689535 min213.5 /9061 /9000 /90
M. Perin390270 min113.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 689.2
3.55/5
M. Perin n 390
3.73/3

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Augello890720 min101.3 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90334.1 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
T. Cassandro865523 min172.9 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90366.2 /9081.4 /9010.2 /90
P. Ceccaroni790630 min60.9 /9050.7 /9040.6 /90213 /9040.6 /9000 /90
M. Bani784585 min101.5 /90121.8 /9050.8 /90335.1 /9081.2 /9030.5 /90
N. Pierozzi467266 min31 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9072.4 /9041.4 /9010.3 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Vavassori n 876.6
0.95/1
2.37/4
F. Abiuso
J. Segre n 873.1
1.77/3
0.94/2
J. Rouhi
J. Pohjanpalo n 874.4
1.25/2
0.53/0
—
D. Johnsen n 870.4
0.52/1
1.35/2
F. Abiuso
T. Augello n 890
0.64/1
0.31/1
F. Oliana
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 876.6
0.32/0
J. Segre n 873.1
27/3
J. Pohjanpalo n 874.4
00/0
D. Johnsen n 870.4
1.14/3
T. Augello n 890
1.35/2
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Pohjanpalo971640 min50.7 /9020.3 /90152.1 /9081.1 /9071 /9020.3 /90
Gabriel Strefezza536179 min21 /9000 /9042 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Le Douaron14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024 /90
D. Vavassori978703 min30.4 /9020.3 /90182.3 /9091.2 /90111.4 /90101.3 /90
J. Segre975675 min10.1 /9010.1 /9050.7 /9030.4 /9081.1 /9070.9 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 876.6
2.57/3
1.25/2
J. Segre n 873.1
0.62/1
0.32/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 874.4
27/3
1.14/3
D. Johnsen n 870.4
3.28/5
1.88/2
T. Augello n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 876.6
0.31/1
0.32/0
J. Segre n 873.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 874.4
0.63/1
0.32/0
D. Johnsen n 870.4
0.85/0
15/1
T. Augello n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Pizzignacco590450 min91.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
G. Garofani390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Pizzignacco n 590
1.82/2
G. Garofani n 390
3.33/2

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Oliana889711 min111.4 /90121.5 /90111.4 /90344.3 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90
F. Ruggeri886686 min172.2 /90121.6 /9081 /90364.7 /90131.7 /9020.3 /90
F. Reale786605 min152.2 /9060.9 /9050.7 /90243.6 /9081.2 /9000 /90
L. Romani489354 min41 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Tommaso Guercio426102 min21.8 /9010.9 /9000 /90108.8 /9043.5 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Oliana n 888.9
1.57/3
0.11/0
T. Augello
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
1.75/5
0.53/1
—
J. Rouhi n 882.6
0.73/1
0.43/0
J. Segre
G. Parlanti n 875.4
1.56/4
2.48/4
—
F. Abiuso n 873.5
1.47/2
2.37/4
D. Johnsen
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
1.46/4
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
2.27/5
J. Rouhi n 882.6
1.25/4
G. Parlanti n 875.4
2.56/5
F. Abiuso n 873.5
1.46/3
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Abiuso874588 min20.3 /9010.2 /90172.6 /9060.9 /9050.8 /9030.5 /90
G. Marconi734239 min00 /9000 /9051.9 /9000 /9020.8 /9031.1 /90
M. Cissé666395 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9020.5 /9051.1 /9040.9 /90
T. Rubino554269 min20.7 /9000 /9072.3 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9051.7 /90
N. Cudrig12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
0.43/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 882.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Parlanti n 875.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Abiuso n 873.5
2.67/5
0.93/1
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Oliana n 888.9
00/0
00/0
F. Ruggeri n 885.8
00/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 882.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Parlanti n 875.4
00/0
0.32/0
F. Abiuso n 873.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PalermoCarrarese
41%Possession59%
1.89Expected goals (xG)1.32
19Shots15
7Shots on target4
7Shots off target4
5Blocked shots7
13Shots inside the box9
5Corners7
2Offsides1
5Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves5
377Passes547
82%Pass accuracy86%

Palermo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Perin9000000007.2
T. Cassandro9000000306.7
P. Ceccaroni9000000107.3
T. Augello9000002207.3
Hernani9001112107.9
D. Johnsen9010433108.3
D. Vavassori8210532008
J. Pohjanpalo8200101006.9
G. Magnani6500000007.5
J. Segre6100100106.7
F. Ranocchia6100202307.3
L. Mazzitelli sub2900000106.7
N. Estévez sub2900000206.5
P. Peda sub2500000006.5
A. Gabrielloni sub800000006.6
M. Bani sub800000006.6

Carrarese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Pizzignacco9000000007.7
F. Oliana90000000Y7
F. Reale9000000407.3
Nicolás Schiavi9000103306.9
J. Rouhi9000003006.6
F. Abiuso9000110006.3
F. Ruggeri8900110207.5
M. Braunöder8900000206.7
G. Parlanti6800100206.7
J. Martini6700001106.7
L. Topalović45000010Y6.6
G. Marconi sub4501311107
T. Rubino sub2310110007.3
Tommaso Guercio sub2200002306.6
M. Cissé sub10000000–
M. Finotto sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Palermo v Carrarese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PalermoWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
CarrareseLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Palermo 2 · 1 draw · Carrarese 1 · 2.25 goals/game
  • 2026-03-08 Carrarese 0–1 Palermo
  • 2025-11-29 Palermo 5–0 Carrarese
  • 2025-05-13 Palermo 1–1 Carrarese
  • 2024-12-07 Carrarese 1–0 Palermo
League standing · 2026/27
Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD
Carrarese#15 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Palermo scored2.4
Carrarese scored0.9
Palermo conceded1.2
Carrarese conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Palermo v Carrarese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Palermo v Carrarese was Home win (best price 1.45 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Carrarese?
In their last 4 meetings, Palermo won 2, Carrarese won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palermo and Carrarese?
Recent form — Palermo 4W 1D 0L; Carrarese 2W 0D 3L.

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