Hellas Verona v Carrarese prediction

Serie B ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Hellas Verona v Carrarese, Serie B on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hellas Verona host Carrarese in Serie B on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Carrarese, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Hellas Verona have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Hellas Verona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Hellas Verona’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Hellas Verona have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Hellas Verona have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hellas Verona have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Carrarese’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Carrarese’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Carrarese have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.50. Carrarese have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Carrarese have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Hellas Verona are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Hellas Verona (ninth) and Carrarese (13th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hellas Verona the stronger side, 32 rating points above Carrarese (Hellas Verona 1528, Carrarese 1496, after at least 45 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Hellas Verona XI (4-2-3-1): S. Perilli, G. Zappa, A. Edmundsson, T. Slotsager, P. Dawidowicz, E. Iannoni, A. Le Borgne, D. Livramento, A. Bernede, A. Sarr, D. Mosquera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Mosquera (7.8 per match over five appearances, six goals) and D. Bradarić (4.7 per match over six appearances, three assists) have been Hellas Verona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hellas Verona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Mosquera averages 4.5 shots per 90 over 299 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances. D. Bradarić averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 447 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last six appearances.

Predicted Carrarese XI (3-5-2): S. Pizzignacco, F. Oliana, F. Ruggeri, F. Reale, J. Rouhi, N. Schiavi, G. Parlanti, M. Braunöder, J. Martini, F. Abiuso, G. Marconi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Rubino (3.8 per match over seven appearances, three goals) and J. Rouhi (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Carrarese’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Carrarese (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Rubino averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 338 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances. J. Rouhi averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 843 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Hellas Verona 2W 2D 1L · Carrarese 3W 0D 2L

Hellas Verona v Carrarese (Serie B): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 5
Corners
against 3.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHellas Verona for / againstLineCarrarese for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 15 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
14.38 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona Goalkeeper

Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Leali590450 min91.8 /9061.2 /9000 /90
S. Perilli590450 min132.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Perilli n 890
2.67/5
N. Leali n 590
1.82/2

Hellas Verona Defensive

Hellas Verona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Edmundsson987787 min171.9 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90414.7 /9091 /9040.5 /90
G. Zappa981730 min70.9 /9060.7 /9030.4 /90202.5 /9050.6 /9000 /90
P. Dawidowicz570350 min41 /9041 /9000 /90123.1 /90133.3 /9000 /90
D. De Battisti561304 min72.1 /9051.5 /9030.9 /90175 /9041.2 /9000 /90
D. Bradarić490360 min51.3 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90205 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Hellas Verona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Sarr n 865.8
2.17/3
0.52/1
—
D. Livramento n 862
1.85/4
0.42/0
—
A. Edmundsson n 887.1
1.24/4
0.32/0
—
G. Zappa n 881.5
0.74/1
0.85/1
—
A. Le Borgne n 875.5
1.36/3
0.43/0
—
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Hellas Verona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Sarr n 865.8
00/0
D. Livramento n 862
0.73/1
A. Edmundsson n 887.1
2.16/5
G. Zappa n 881.5
15/2
A. Le Borgne n 875.5
2.78/5
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Hellas Verona Attacking

Hellas Verona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Mulattieri775522 min30.5 /9010.2 /90111.9 /9061 /9040.7 /9050.9 /90
D. Mosquera560299 min61.8 /9000 /90154.5 /9072.1 /9030.9 /90154.5 /90
M. Compagnon376228 min00 /9000 /9052 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90
K. Sezonienko368204 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
C. Ekuban24793 min00 /9000 /9021.9 /9011 /9032.9 /9011 /90
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Hellas Verona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Sarr n 865.8
2.66/3
1.24/2
D. Livramento n 862
1.65/4
0.42/0
A. Edmundsson n 887.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
G. Zappa n 881.5
1.17/1
0.32/0
A. Le Borgne n 875.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Hellas Verona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Sarr n 865.8
0.21/0
0.74/0
D. Livramento n 862
00/0
0.42/0
A. Edmundsson n 887.1
00/0
00/0
G. Zappa n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
A. Le Borgne n 875.5
00/0
0.11/0
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Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Pizzignacco790630 min152.1 /9060.9 /9000 /90
G. Garofani390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Pizzignacco n 790
2.13/3
G. Garofani n 390
3.33/2

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Oliana1089891 min121.2 /90161.6 /90141.4 /90383.8 /90141.4 /9040.4 /90
F. Ruggeri1087865 min202.1 /90131.4 /9090.9 /90444.6 /90171.8 /9020.2 /90
F. Reale987785 min192.2 /9080.9 /9070.8 /90313.6 /90111.3 /9010.1 /90
Tommaso Guercio525124 min53.6 /9010.7 /9000 /901410.2 /9042.9 /9000 /90
L. Romani489354 min41 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Oliana n 890
1.16/2
0.11/0
—
F. Ruggeri n 885.6
1.45/5
0.32/0
—
J. Rouhi n 888
13/2
0.32/0
—
F. Abiuso n 881.5
1.88/3
2.58/5
—
G. Parlanti n 874.4
2.37/5
1.77/3
—
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Oliana n 890
15/2
F. Ruggeri n 885.6
1.67/4
J. Rouhi n 888
15/3
F. Abiuso n 881.5
15/2
G. Parlanti n 874.4
2.37/5
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Abiuso1078775 min20.2 /9010.1 /90202.3 /9070.8 /9050.6 /9060.7 /90
G. Marconi936328 min00 /9010.3 /90102.7 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9051.4 /90
T. Rubino748338 min30.8 /9000 /90112.9 /9061.6 /9041.1 /9061.6 /90
M. Cissé666395 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9020.5 /9051.1 /9040.9 /90
N. Cudrig12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Oliana n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Ruggeri n 885.6
0.54/0
0.11/0
J. Rouhi n 888
0.63/1
0.11/0
F. Abiuso n 881.5
2.37/5
14/1
G. Parlanti n 874.4
0.63/1
0.52/1
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Oliana n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Ruggeri n 885.6
00/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 888
0.11/0
0.32/0
F. Abiuso n 881.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Parlanti n 874.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hellas Verona v Carrarese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hellas VeronaWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
CarrareseLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Hellas Verona#9 pos12 pts9 pl+3 GD
Carrarese#13 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Hellas Verona scored1.78
Carrarese scored1
Hellas Verona conceded1.44
Carrarese conceded1.11

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hellas Verona v Carrarese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hellas Verona v Carrarese is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Hellas Verona and Carrarese?
Recent form — Hellas Verona 2W 2D 1L; Carrarese 3W 0D 2L.

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