Bayern MünchenArsenal

Bayern München v Arsenal result

Full-time · Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal

UEFA Champions League · · Allianz Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · Arsenal

The model’s pre-match pick

Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal — this UEFA Champions League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bayern München and Arsenal drew 2–2 at Allianz Arena in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Arsenal: Eberechi Eze (25’, assisted by Martin Ødegaard) and Declan Rice (82’, assisted by Viktor Gyökeres); Bayern München: Alphonso Davies (35’, assisted by Harry Kane) and Harry Kane (61’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Declan Rice’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bayern München, from fewer shots (13 to 14), created the better chances, 2.50 xG to 1.71 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Arsenal: Kai Havertz (13’) and E. Konsa (39’).

What it changes

Bayern München have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded five goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Arsenal have scored eight goals, the 17th-most (shared) of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Arsenal have conceded three goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Bayern München have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Declan Rice (Arsenal) 10.6, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 10.4 and Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bayern München, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Allianz Arena · München
  • Referee: Davide Massa
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Bayern München 1 · draws 1 · Arsenal 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayern München 3W 2D 0L · Arsenal 4W 0D 1L

Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
9.75 / 4.5
Corners
against 2.88 / 3.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
10.25 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBayern München for / againstLineArsenal for / against
Goals scored
3.63 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
9.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
24.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
10.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: Davide Massa.

Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer689531 min111.9 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Urbig490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 885.1
2.25/3
J. Urbig n 882.5
2.35/3

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Upamecano879630 min162.3 /90111.6 /9030.4 /90456.4 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
A. Davies864515 min101.7 /9081.4 /9000 /90437.5 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Stanišić860477 min61.1 /9010.2 /9030.6 /90214 /9040.8 /9000 /90
N. Brown859472 min71.3 /9000 /9010.2 /90183.4 /9051 /9000 /90
J. Tah782576 min81.3 /9081.3 /9020.3 /90243.8 /9060.9 /9000 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kimmich n 880.6
00/0
0.64/0
—
M. Olise n 880.4
0.63/1
3.28/7
—
H. Kane n 878.5
0.43/0
0.43/0
—
L. Díaz n 875.1
1.35/4
0.63/1
—
I. Saibari n 850
1.86/2
0.21/0
Bukayo Saka
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kimmich n 880.6
1.15/2
M. Olise n 880.4
1.56/2
H. Kane n 878.5
0.32/0
L. Díaz n 875.1
0.62/2
I. Saibari n 850
1.35/1
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane1079793 min91 /9060.7 /90364.1 /90182 /90212.4 /9080.9 /90
S. Gnabry22754 min00 /9000 /9023.3 /9011.7 /9023.3 /9000 /90
J. Kimmich1082816 min00 /9040.4 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90182 /9010.1 /90
M. Olise1081814 min91 /9040.4 /90384.2 /90262.9 /90414.5 /90333.6 /90
L. Díaz1077772 min50.6 /9010.1 /90192.2 /90141.6 /90192.2 /90172 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kimmich n 880.6
1.16/1
0.43/0
M. Olise n 880.4
4.28/7
3.18/5
H. Kane n 878.5
4.68/8
2.48/5
L. Díaz n 875.1
2.17/4
1.67/2
I. Saibari n 850
3.26/4
1.64/2
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kimmich n 880.6
00/0
0.32/0
M. Olise n 880.4
14/2
0.43/0
H. Kane n 878.5
1.36/3
0.94/2
L. Díaz n 875.1
0.62/1
0.11/0
I. Saibari n 850
0.52/0
00/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya1090900 min222.2 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.16/3
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
1.85/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães1186945 min101 /90121.1 /9080.8 /90434.1 /90121.1 /9020.2 /90
E. Konsa884675 min101.3 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90395.2 /9091.2 /9000 /90
Riccardo Calafiori881650 min91.2 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90223 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
Ben White877616 min162.3 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90334.8 /9040.6 /9000 /90
J. Timber547234 min51.9 /9020.8 /9000 /90114.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.15/2
0.95/2
—
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.63/2
—
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.85/1
0.31/1
—
Martin Ødegaard n 875
0.52/1
1.14/2
—
Bukayo Saka n 878.5
0.74/1
2.96/5
I. Saibari
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
1.15/2
Declan Rice n 888.3
1.76/5
Martin Ødegaard n 875
0.63/1
Bukayo Saka n 878.5
1.46/2
K. Havertz n 864.9
00/0
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Havertz1068684 min30.4 /9010.1 /90141.8 /9081.1 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90
Viktor Gyökeres744311 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9082.3 /9000 /90
Declan Rice1082819 min00 /9040.4 /9060.7 /9000 /90121.3 /9040.4 /90
Martin Ødegaard1076760 min40.5 /9000 /90101.2 /9070.8 /90222.6 /9091.1 /90
Bukayo Saka1073726 min40.5 /9010.1 /90212.6 /90121.5 /90121.5 /90121.5 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.74/1
0.31/1
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.53/1
00/0
Martin Ødegaard n 875
1.14/2
0.63/1
Bukayo Saka n 878.5
2.67/5
1.67/2
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
00/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 888.3
00/0
0.54/0
Martin Ødegaard n 875
0.32/0
00/0
Bukayo Saka n 878.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayern MünchenArsenal
42%Possession58%
2.50Expected goals (xG)1.71
13Shots14
5Shots on target5
3Shots off target4
5Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box9
3Corners5
2Offsides1
15Fouls6
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
434Passes506

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Bischof9000002206.6
M. Neuer9000000006.2
D. Upamecano9000110606.7
J. Stanišić9000001206.4
A. Pavlović9000001206.7
K. Laimer9000100006.3
H. Kane9011412007.7
A. Davies8510211107.5
I. Saibari6800202106.3
S. Gnabry6800211105.8
J. Tah4500001006.5
Kim Min-Jae4500000006.1
L. Karl2200000005.9
L. Díaz2100110006.6
N. Brown500000006.1
Bara Ndiaye100000000

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Timber9000110206.4
Declan Rice9010112608.2
Noni Madueke9000101206.4
E. Konsa90000000Y6.1
Gabriel Magalhães9000000106.5
Riccardo Calafiori9000400106.9
David Raya9000000005.8
Martin Ødegaard8501103107.6
Eberechi Eze8010220107.9
Bruno Guimarães6900211206.7
K. Havertz68001010Y6.2
Viktor Gyökeres2201001006.6
Myles Lewis-Skelly2100000006.1
Bukayo Saka1000000006.6
Mikel Merino500100006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayern MünchenWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ArsenalWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Bayern München 1 · 1 draw · Arsenal 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-11-26 Arsenal 3–1 Bayern München
  • 2024-04-17 Bayern Munich 1–0 Arsenal
  • 2024-04-09 Arsenal 2–2 Bayern Munich
League standing · 2026/27
Bayern München#13 pos8 pts4 pl+7 GD
Arsenal#3 pos10 pts4 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Bayern München scored3
Arsenal scored2
Bayern München conceded1.25
Arsenal conceded0.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bayern München v Arsenal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern München v Arsenal was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and Arsenal?
In their last 3 meetings, Bayern München won 1, Arsenal won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and Arsenal?
Recent form — Bayern München 3W 2D 0L; Arsenal 4W 0D 1L.

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