FC PortoManchester City

FC Porto v Manchester City result

Full-time · FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City

UEFA Champions League · · Estádio do Dragão

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City — Manchester City won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.70 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Manchester City won 2–0 at Estádio do Dragão in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 8 September. Manchester City have won their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Erling Haaland (47’, assisted by Enzo Fernández; 90’, assisted by Rayan Aït-Nouri).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 47 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: FC Porto 0.28, Manchester City 2.32, from 5 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Szymon Marciniak, Poland showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — FC Porto: Pablo Rosario (90+3’); Manchester City: Joško Gvardiol (37’), Gianluigi Donnarumma (49’) and Erling Haaland (90+3’).

What it changes

FC Porto have scored six goals, the 34th-most (shared) of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). FC Porto have conceded seven goals, the 40th-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Manchester City have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Manchester City have conceded seven goals, the 40th-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 8.0, Enzo Fernández (Manchester City) 6.3 and Rayan Aït-Nouri (Manchester City) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FC Porto next travel to Vitória SC on 8 November 2026.

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Porto: Vitória SC v FC Porto, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Estádio do Dragão · Porto
  • Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): FC Porto 0 · draws 1 · Manchester City 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Porto 5W 0D 0L · Manchester City 3W 0D 2L

FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.5 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.88 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.88 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Porto for / againstLineManchester City for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 8.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland.

FC Porto

FC Porto Goalkeeper

FC Porto — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Diogo Costa590450 min91.8 /9010.2 /9000 /90
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 887.8
1.93/2

FC Porto Defensive

FC Porto — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kiwior590450 min61.2 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90224.4 /9051 /9000 /90
J. Bednarek581403 min30.7 /9081.8 /9040.9 /90235.1 /9051.1 /9000 /90
Z. Sanusi472288 min10.3 /9000 /9000 /90113.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Alberto Baio470281 min61.9 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90165.1 /90103.2 /9000 /90
Martim Fernandes357172 min31.6 /9021 /9000 /9073.7 /9021 /9000 /90
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FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kiwior n 883.6
1.64/3
0.32/0
J. Gvardiol
Diogo Costa n 887.8
00/0
00/0
—
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.5
1.15/2
1.27/2
—
Pepê Aquino n 879.3
0.43/0
1.36/2
A. Semenyo
J. Bednarek n 884.1
1.15/2
0.11/0
—
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FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 883.6
26/5
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.5
1.25/3
Pepê Aquino n 879.3
0.31/1
J. Bednarek n 884.1
0.75/0
P. Rosario n 884
1.36/3
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FC Porto Attacking

FC Porto — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pepê Aquino584419 min00 /9030.6 /9061.3 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9010.2 /90
André Silva568339 min20.5 /9000 /9071.9 /9041.1 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
William567335 min20.5 /9020.5 /90102.7 /9071.9 /9071.9 /9041.1 /90
Borja Sainz425101 min10.9 /9000 /9054.5 /9043.6 /9021.8 /9010.9 /90
D. Gül24284 min00 /9000 /9033.2 /9000 /9033.2 /9011.1 /90
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FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 883.6
0.53/1
0.32/0
Diogo Costa n 887.8
00/0
00/0
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.5
0.72/1
0.41/1
Pepê Aquino n 879.3
14/1
0.11/0
J. Bednarek n 884.1
0.75/0
0.32/0
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FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diogo Costa n 887.8
00/0
00/0
J. Kiwior n 883.6
00/0
00/0
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.5
00/0
00/0
Pepê Aquino n 879.3
00/0
0.43/0
J. Bednarek n 884.1
0.32/0
00/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma490360 min92.3 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
2.37/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rúben Dias490360 min20.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90205 /9020.5 /9000 /90
A. Khusanov490359 min133.3 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90246 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
J. Gvardiol486345 min92.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90225.7 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
M. Guéhi477307 min30.9 /9041.2 /9000 /90205.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90
R. Lewis24487 min11 /9022.1 /9000 /9066.2 /9011 /9000 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Semenyo n 881.8
1.47/2
0.83/3
Pepê Aquino
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Khusanov n 889.9
0.64/1
0.43/0
—
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
1.45/3
0.62/1
J. Kiwior
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 881.8
0.64/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.54/0
A. Khusanov n 889.9
2.37/5
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
2.37/5
E. Haaland n 885.4
0.11/0
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland481323 min30.8 /9000 /90154.2 /9092.5 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
Omar Marmoush13737 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
A. Semenyo490360 min00 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9030.8 /9082 /9051.3 /90
E. Anderson474295 min00 /9000 /9041.2 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9030.9 /90
P. Foden464256 min00 /9020.7 /9051.8 /9020.7 /9062.1 /9031.1 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 881.8
1.58/2
17/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Khusanov n 889.9
0.43/0
00/0
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
0.94/1
0.53/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 881.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
00/0
00/0
A. Khusanov n 889.9
00/0
00/0
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
0.21/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC PortoManchester City
36%Possession64%
0.28Expected goals (xG)2.32
5Shots20
0Shots on target10
4Shots off target6
1Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box13
2Corners5
7Offsides1
10Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
8Saves0
353Passes635
81%Pass accuracy93%

FC Porto Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alberto Baio9000000206.3
J. Kiwior9000000107.5
Pepê Aquino9000101006.2
N. Perez9000000206.6
P. Rosario90000011Y6.2
Diogo Costa9000000009.3
Gabri Veiga8300100406.9
André Silva7300000206.9
Martim Fernandes7300000206.3
A. Varela6800101106.6
William6800100206.3
Hwang In-Beom sub2200000006.2
Borja Sainz sub2200001006.7
S. Giménez sub1700001106.9
Francisco Moura sub1700000106.5
S. Fofana sub1300000006.5

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Donnarumma90000000Y6.9
Rúben Dias9000001107.2
E. Fernández9001213107.3
M. Guéhi9000100107.3
E. Haaland90206410Y8.2
Matheus Nunes9000001006.6
A. Bouaddi7500000307
P. Foden7500112106.9
R. Cherki6200111106.9
A. Semenyo6200111306.7
J. Gvardiol48000001Y7.2
A. Khusanov sub4200000106.9
E. Anderson sub2800112207.2
I. Ndiaye sub2800211006.6
R. Aït-Nouri sub1501102206.9
M. Kovačić sub1500000107

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Porto v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC PortoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Manchester CityLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
FC Porto 0 · 1 draw · Manchester City 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2020-12-01 FC Porto 0–0 Manchester City
  • 2020-10-21 Manchester City 3–1 FC Porto
League standing · 2026/27
FC Porto#26 pos3 pts4 pl-1 GD
Manchester City#7 pos9 pts4 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
FC Porto scored1.5
Manchester City scored3
FC Porto conceded1.75
Manchester City conceded1.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Porto v Manchester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Porto v Manchester City was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Porto and Manchester City?
In their last 2 meetings, FC Porto won 0, Manchester City won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Porto and Manchester City?
Recent form — FC Porto 5W 0D 0L; Manchester City 3W 0D 2L.

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