Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal result

Full-time · Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Arsenal

UEFA Champions League · Sat, 30 May 2026 17:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Arsenal

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Arsenal — this UEFA Champions League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal drew 1–1 in the UEFA Champions League on Saturday 30 May. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Arsenal have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Arsenal led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Arsenal: Kai Havertz (6’, assisted by Leandro Trossard); Paris Saint-Germain: O. Dembélé (65’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Dembélé’s goal on 65 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Paris Saint-Germain out-shot Arsenal 21 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.72 xG to 0.51 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

D. Siebert showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Paris Saint-Germain: João Neves (90+6’) and Nuno Mendes (118’); Arsenal: Cristhian Mosquera (46’), Bukayo Saka (54’), Viktor Gyökeres (98’) and Declan Rice (103’).

What it changes

Paris Saint-Germain have scored 45 goals, the third-most of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded 23 goals, the 26th-fewest of the 82 clubs.

Arsenal have scored 30 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Arsenal have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 82 clubs.

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, João Neves (Paris Saint-Germain) 6.1, O. Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain) 5.5 and Kai Havertz (Arsenal) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Paris Saint-Germain or Arsenal (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Paris Saint-Germain next host Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Arsenal · UEFA Champions League
Referee: D. Siebert
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Paris Saint-Germain 2 · draws 0 · Arsenal 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 2W 2D 1L · Arsenal 5W 0D 0L

Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Arsenal (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

6.5 / 3.88

Corners

against 3.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.38

Cards

against 0.88 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.29 yellows

Referee · D. Siebert

21.43 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Paris Saint-Germain for / against	Line	Arsenal for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.38 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. Siebert — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.43 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Safonov	25	902250 min	732.9 /90	261 /90	10 /90
L. Chevalier	24	902160 min	431.8 /90	241 /90	10 /90

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 8	90	4.5 7/6
L. Chevalier n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Pacho	44	863771 min	811.9 /90	451.1 /90	250.6 /90	1664 /90	180.4 /90	00 /90
Nuno Mendes	42	723012 min	662 /90	351 /90	80.2 /90	2146.4 /90	290.9 /90	50.1 /90
A. Hakimi	36	812911 min	451.4 /90	220.7 /90	30.1 /90	1083.3 /90	250.8 /90	50.2 /90
I. Zabarnyi	34	812754 min	391.3 /90	210.7 /90	160.5 /90	953.1 /90	200.7 /90	70.2 /90
Marquinhos	33	812669 min	301 /90	190.6 /90	150.5 /90	1113.7 /90	220.7 /90	20.1 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	59.8	0.9 4/1	0.4 2/0	—
Vitinha n 8	66.9	0.8 4/1	0.7 2/2	Declan Rice
B. Barcola n 8	49.4	1.1 4/1	0.5 1/1	—
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	64.9	0.3 2/0	1.4 4/2	—
W. Pacho n 8	90	0.4 1/1	0.5 3/1	Gabriel Magalhães
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	59.8	1.7 6/2
Vitinha n 8	66.9	1.2 6/1
B. Barcola n 8	49.4	1.8 5/2
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	64.9	0.9 4/1
W. Pacho n 8	90	1.5 4/2
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Barcola	51	603076 min	130.4 /90	70.2 /90	762.2 /90	461.3 /90	772.3 /90	621.8 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia	49	623037 min	190.6 /90	100.3 /90	932.8 /90	541.6 /90	631.9 /90	892.6 /90
D. Doué	43	622664 min	140.5 /90	80.3 /90	702.4 /90	381.3 /90	672.3 /90	762.6 /90
O. Dembélé	39	532073 min	200.9 /90	110.5 /90	703 /90	371.6 /90	733.2 /90	321.4 /90
Gonçalo Ramos	35	481667 min	100.5 /90	10.1 /90	633.4 /90	361.9 /90	181 /90	201.1 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	59.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Vitinha n 8	66.9	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
B. Barcola n 8	49.4	1.4 5/1	1.1 4/1
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	64.9	2.3 6/5	2.1 6/5
W. Pacho n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	59.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Vitinha n 8	66.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Barcola n 8	49.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	64.9	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
W. Pacho n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
David Raya	50	904500 min	931.9 /90	300.6 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	10	90897 min	232.3 /90	111.1 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90

Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David Raya n 8	90	1.9 5/3
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8	89.6	2.1 6/3

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães	49	824000 min	551.2 /90	290.7 /90	561.3 /90	2275.1 /90	340.8 /90	50.1 /90
William Saliba	46	863949 min	551.3 /90	260.6 /90	120.3 /90	1864.2 /90	390.9 /90	30.1 /90
J. Timber	41	763129 min	832.4 /90	290.8 /90	60.2 /90	1805.2 /90	451.3 /90	60.2 /90
Piero Hincapié	35	732544 min	672.4 /90	361.3 /90	140.5 /90	1455.1 /90	210.7 /90	30.1 /90
Riccardo Calafiori	33	652159 min	421.8 /90	220.9 /90	60.3 /90	1345.6 /90	331.4 /90	70.3 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Martín Zubimendi n 8	64.5	1.4 7/1	0.7 4/0	—
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	57.3	2 4/4	2 5/3	—
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
Declan Rice n 8	86.8	1 5/3	0.4 3/0	Vitinha
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	84.4	0.9 6/1	1.2 6/2	W. Pacho
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 8	64.5	3 7/3
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	57.3	0.4 2/0
Declan Rice n 8	86.8	2.1 6/4
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	84.4	0.8 6/0
William Saliba n 8	90	1.4 5/4
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Viktor Gyökeres	51	663352 min	210.6 /90	30.1 /90	691.9 /90	371 /90	320.9 /90	110.3 /90
Bukayo Saka	45	693127 min	110.3 /90	70.2 /90	692 /90	451.3 /90	862.5 /90	641.8 /90
Leandro Trossard	43	642747 min	70.2 /90	80.3 /90	531.7 /90	220.7 /90	461.5 /90	361.2 /90
Gabriel Martinelli	36	582070 min	100.4 /90	60.3 /90	431.9 /90	231 /90	321.4 /90	431.9 /90
Noni Madueke	35	582046 min	70.3 /90	30.1 /90	331.5 /90	200.9 /90	401.8 /90	542.4 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 8	64.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	57.3	2 6/2	1 2/1
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	84.4	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 8	64.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	57.3	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	86.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris Saint-Germain		Arsenal
75%	Possession	25%
1.72	Expected goals (xG)	0.51
21	Shots	7
4	Shots on target	1
12	Shots off target	1
5	Blocked shots	5
12	Shots inside the box	5
11	Corners	3
0	Offsides	3
11	Fouls	17
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	3
889	Passes	285
91%	Pass accuracy	69%

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Safonov	120	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Hakimi	120	0	3	1	2	1	0	7.3
W. Pacho	120	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
Nuno Mendes	120	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
João Neves	120	0	1	0	1	3	Y	7.6
D. Doué	120	0	2	1	4	2	0	7.6
Marquinhos	105	0	0	0	2	2	0	7
Vitinha	105	0	2	0	3	0	0	7
Fabián Ruiz	95	0	3	1	1	2	0	7
O. Dembélé	89	1	3	1	1	0	0	7.3
K. Kvaratskhelia	83	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
B. Barcola sub	37	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
Gonçalo Ramos sub	31	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
W. Zaïre-Emery sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Beraldo sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
I. Zabarnyi sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Arsenal Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
David Raya	120	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
William Saliba	120	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Gabriel Magalhães	120	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
Piero Hincapié	120	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.7
Declan Rice	120	0	0	0	0	2	4	Y	8.2
Myles Lewis-Skelly	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
K. Havertz	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.3
Bukayo Saka	83	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
Leandro Trossard	83	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Cristhian Mosquera	66	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.2
Martin Ødegaard	66	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
J. Timber sub	54	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
Viktor Gyökeres sub	54	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Noni Madueke sub	37	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Gabriel Martinelli sub	37	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Martín Zubimendi sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Eberechi Eze sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainDDWWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

ArsenalWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Paris Saint-Germain 2 · 0 draws · Arsenal 1 · 2 goals/game

2025-05-07 Paris Saint-Germain 2–1 Arsenal
2025-04-29 Arsenal 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain
2024-10-01 Arsenal 2–0 Paris Saint-Germain

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Paris Saint-Germain#11 pos14 pts8 pl+10 GD

Arsenal#1 pos24 pts8 pl+19 GD

Goals per game

Paris Saint-Germain scored2.63

Arsenal scored2.88

Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.38

Arsenal conceded0.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal?: In their last 3 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 2, Arsenal won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal?: Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 2W 2D 1L; Arsenal 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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