Real Madrid v Bayern München result

Full-time · Real Madrid 1–2 Bayern München

UEFA Champions League · Tue, 07 Apr 2026 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Bayern München

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Madrid 1–2 Bayern München — Bayern München won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick

Both teams to score: Yes

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bayern München won 2–1 at Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 7 April. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: L. Díaz (41’, assisted by Serge Gnabry) and Harry Kane (46’, assisted by Michael Olise); Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (74’, assisted by Trent Alexander-Arnold).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Díaz’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Real Madrid 2.20, Bayern München 2.92, from 20 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Oliver showed five yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Madrid: Aurélien Tchouaméni (37’); Bayern München: Jonathan Tah (70’), L. Díaz (77’), Manuel Neuer (82’) and Jamal Musiala (86’).

What it changes

Real Madrid have scored 33 goals, the sixth-most of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded 20 goals, the 30th-fewest (shared) of the 82 clubs.

Bayern München have scored 43 goals, the most of the 82 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 20 goals, the 30th-fewest (shared) of the 82 clubs.

Real Madrid have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Olise (Bayern München) 8.1, Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) 6.9 and Harry Kane (Bayern München) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Bayern München, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 2 of 4 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

Real Madrid next travel to Valencia on 7 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Real Madrid 1–2 Bayern München · UEFA Champions League
Referee: M. Oliver
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Real Madrid 2 · draws 2 · Bayern München 0 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Bayern München 4W 1D 0L

Real Madrid 1–2 Bayern München (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 3.5

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 6.38

Corners

against 5 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 8.75

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.75

Cards

against 3.13 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · M. Oliver

20.86 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Real Madrid for / against	Line	Bayern München for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	21.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	8.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.38 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Oliver — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.86 fouls over 7 matches.

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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Thibaut Courtois	47	894185 min	1423.1 /90	461 /90	00 /90
A. Lunin	6	84502 min	183.2 /90	122.2 /90	00 /90

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	2.9 6/5
A. Lunin n 8	85.3	2.6 5/4

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dean Huijsen	37	823025 min	521.5 /90	341 /90	210.6 /90	1554.6 /90	310.9 /90	80.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández	34	893037 min	641.9 /90	471.4 /90	150.4 /90	1674.9 /90	371.1 /90	90.3 /90
Raúl Asencio	32	712270 min	220.9 /90	150.6 /90	170.7 /90	843.3 /90	251 /90	80.3 /90
A. Rüdiger	23	841942 min	140.6 /90	80.4 /90	80.4 /90	482.2 /90	140.6 /90	10 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold	21	741547 min	281.6 /90	201.2 /90	40.2 /90	402.3 /90	80.5 /90	20.1 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 8	78.3	0.3 2/0	2.3 6/5	L. Díaz
A. Güler n 8	67.5	0.7 4/0	1.3 4/2	J. Kimmich
F. Valverde n 8	82.5	1.4 6/2	0.8 3/2	J. Kimmich
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Tchouaméni n 8	85.6	1.4 7/3	1.6 6/3	J. Kimmich
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 8	78.3	0.6 4/0
A. Güler n 8	67.5	3 7/6
F. Valverde n 8	82.5	1.8 5/4
A. Tchouaméni n 8	85.6	2.2 8/6
Kylian Mbappé n 8	73.4	0.2 1/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior	50	783920 min	180.4 /90	100.2 /90	1122.6 /90	621.4 /90	821.9 /90	1152.6 /90
Kylian Mbappé	38	823099 min	391.1 /90	50.1 /90	1323.8 /90	852.5 /90	872.5 /90	842.4 /90
Gonzalo García	26	601565 min	100.6 /90	20.1 /90	281.6 /90	201.2 /90	140.8 /90	50.3 /90
Rodrygo	22	511125 min	30.2 /90	50.4 /90	312.5 /90	191.5 /90	302.4 /90	312.5 /90
Daniel Yañez	1	3232 min	00 /90	12.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	25.6 /90	00 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 8	78.3	3.3 7/6	1.9 6/4
A. Güler n 8	67.5	1.3 6/2	0.7 4/0
F. Valverde n 8	82.5	2 8/4	1.4 5/3
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Tchouaméni n 8	85.6	1.6 7/4	0.7 4/1
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 8	78.3	0.7 3/2	0 0/0
A. Güler n 8	67.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
F. Valverde n 8	82.5	0.8 4/1	0.4 2/1
Thibaut Courtois n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Tchouaméni n 8	85.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Neuer	35	873060 min	682 /90	351 /90
J. Urbig	14	841170 min	352.7 /90	131 /90
S. Ulreich	1	9090 min	66 /90	11 /90

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 8	78.8	1.7 3/2
J. Urbig n 8	78.8	3.3 5/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tah	42	823433 min	471.2 /90	401 /90	250.7 /90	1423.7 /90	551.4 /90	80.2 /90
D. Upamecano	39	762960 min	842.6 /90	341 /90	90.3 /90	1574.8 /90	381.2 /90	90.3 /90
K. Laimer	37	752757 min	782.5 /90	270.9 /90	60.2 /90	1314.3 /90	401.3 /90	120.4 /90
J. Stanišić	34	802715 min	401.3 /90	301 /90	60.2 /90	1083.6 /90	100.3 /90	30.1 /90
T. Bischof	21	641349 min	181.2 /90	100.7 /90	30.2 /90	442.9 /90	151 /90	30.2 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Kane n 8	76.9	1 5/2	1.3 4/3	—
M. Olise n 8	79.3	1.1 5/2	2.6 7/6	—
J. Kimmich n 8	86.9	0.3 2/0	1.2 5/3	A. Tchouaméni
J. Tah n 8	82.4	1.4 5/3	0.3 2/0	—
L. Díaz n 8	85.5	1.4 6/3	1.3 5/4	Vinícius Júnior
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	76.9	0.7 4/1
M. Olise n 8	79.3	1.3 5/4
J. Kimmich n 8	86.9	1.4 5/5
J. Tah n 8	82.4	1.4 5/3
L. Díaz n 8	85.5	0.9 5/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Kane	45	793568 min	511.3 /90	60.2 /90	1363.4 /90	1002.5 /90	581.5 /90	501.3 /90
N. Jackson	18	47852 min	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	323.4 /90	202.1 /90	181.9 /90	70.7 /90
M. Olise	45	783517 min	190.5 /90	260.7 /90	1032.6 /90	691.8 /90	1163 /90	1082.8 /90
J. Kimmich	43	833561 min	20.1 /90	90.2 /90	250.6 /90	120.3 /90	892.2 /90	150.4 /90
L. Díaz	39	833240 min	220.6 /90	150.4 /90	882.4 /90	551.5 /90	842.3 /90	852.4 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	76.9	5 8/7	3.7 8/7
M. Olise n 8	79.3	3.1 8/6	1.7 7/2
J. Kimmich n 8	86.9	1 4/3	0.8 3/2
J. Tah n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Díaz n 8	85.5	2 8/5	1.1 6/1
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	76.9	1.8 7/5	0.1 1/0
M. Olise n 8	79.3	0.4 2/1	0.7 5/0
J. Kimmich n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Tah n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Díaz n 8	85.5	0.4 3/0	0.5 4/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real Madrid		Bayern München
48%	Possession	52%
2.20	Expected goals (xG)	2.92
20	Shots	20
9	Shots on target	8
8	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	6
12	Shots inside the box	13
8	Corners	11
1	Offsides	2
12	Fouls	12
1	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	9
454	Passes	493
85%	Pass accuracy	89%

Real Madrid Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Lunin	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Trent Alexander-Arnold	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	7.3
A. Rüdiger	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Álvaro Fernández	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.2
F. Valverde	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
A. Tchouaméni	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.7
Kylian Mbappé	90	1	0	6	4	2	1	0	7.9
Vinícius Júnior	90	0	0	7	3	2	0	0	7.2
A. Güler	71	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	7.2
Dean Huijsen	62	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Thiago Pitarch	62	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Éder Militão sub	28	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.7
J. Bellingham sub	28	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Brahim Díaz sub	19	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9

Bayern München Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Neuer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	8.9
J. Stanišić	90	0	0	1	1	3	4	0	7
D. Upamecano	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6.2
J. Tah	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
J. Kimmich	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	7.3
M. Olise	90	0	1	3	2	2	0	0	7.2
H. Kane	90	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	7.9
A. Pavlović	89	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.5
L. Díaz	89	1	0	2	1	1	0	Y	6.9
K. Laimer	69	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Gnabry	69	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	6.9
J. Musiala sub	21	0	0	2	1	0	0	Y	6
A. Davies sub	21	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.2
L. Goretzka sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
T. Bischof sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWL

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Bayern MünchenWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Real Madrid 2 · 2 draws · Bayern München 0 · 3.5 goals/game

2024-05-08 Real Madrid 2–1 Bayern Munich
2024-04-30 Bayern Munich 2–2 Real Madrid
2018-05-01 Real Madrid 2–2 Bayern Munich
2018-04-25 Bayern Munich 1–2 Real Madrid

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Real Madrid#9 pos15 pts8 pl+9 GD

Bayern München#2 pos21 pts8 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

Real Madrid scored2.63

Bayern München scored2.75

Real Madrid conceded1.5

Bayern München conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Madrid v Bayern München?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Bayern München was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Bayern München?: In their last 4 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Bayern München won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Bayern München?: Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Bayern München 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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