Real MadridInter

Real Madrid v Inter result

Full-time · Real Madrid 2–1 Inter

UEFA Champions League · · Bernabéu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Inter

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Madrid 2–1 Inter — Real Madrid won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.21 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Real Madrid beat Inter 2–1 at Bernabéu in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 8 September. Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Madrid led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (14’, assisted by Brahim Díaz) and F. Valverde (23’); Inter: Carlos Augusto (77’, assisted by Lautaro Martínez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kylian Mbappé’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Real Madrid 2.91, Inter 1.83, from 16 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Michael Oliver, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Real Madrid: Dean Huijsen (79’); Inter: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (39’), Lautaro Martínez (79’) and Yann Bisseck (90+4’).

What it changes

Real Madrid have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded seven goals, the 40th-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Inter have scored eight goals, the 17th-most (shared) of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Inter have conceded six goals, the 27th-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Valverde (Real Madrid) 6.7, Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid) 6.5 and Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Inter, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Real Madrid or Inter (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Real Madrid next travel to Valencia on 7 November 2026.

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Madrid: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Real Madrid 2–1 Inter · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Bernabéu · Madrid
  • Referee: Michael Oliver, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Real Madrid 4 · draws 0 · Inter 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Inter 3W 2D 0L

Real Madrid 2–1 Inter (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.63
Corners
against 4.13 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameReal Madrid for / againstLineInter for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.25our book
2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.5 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Michael Oliver, England.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois490360 min92.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 890
2.65/3

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen490360 min51.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90153.8 /9041 /9000 /90
Marc Cucurella462249 min62.2 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90114 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Konaté390270 min62 /9010.3 /9031 /90124 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
D. Dumfries378234 min51.9 /9020.8 /9000 /9062.3 /9020.8 /9000 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold258116 min10.8 /9043.1 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
0.94/2
0.43/0
A. Bastoni
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
0.42/1
1.15/3
Lautaro Martínez
Thibaut Courtois n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
1.67/3
3.67/6
Lautaro Martínez
F. Valverde n 887.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
N. Barella
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
14/2
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
0.11/0
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
0.32/0
F. Valverde n 887.4
1.25/3
J. Bellingham n 876.5
1.96/4
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kylian Mbappé490360 min41 /9000 /90246 /90184.5 /9041 /90164 /90
Y. Diomande32677 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.3 /9033.5 /90
Vinícius Júnior489354 min10.3 /9020.5 /9071.8 /9030.8 /90102.5 /90102.5 /90
F. Valverde485339 min00 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
J. Bellingham484335 min20.5 /9020.5 /90102.7 /9051.3 /90102.7 /9092.4 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
5.28/8
2.96/5
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
0.94/2
0.32/0
Thibaut Courtois n 890
00/0
00/0
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
1.77/4
0.95/2
F. Valverde n 887.4
0.96/1
0.64/1
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 880.3
0.73/1
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 890
00/0
00/0
Dean Huijsen n 879.1
00/0
00/0
Vinícius Júnior n 886.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
F. Valverde n 887.4
00/0
0.32/0
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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Josep Martínez390270 min82.7 /9031 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
2.85/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bastoni386259 min82.8 /9000 /9010.3 /90124.2 /9020.7 /9000 /90
M. Akanji378233 min51.9 /9041.5 /9020.8 /90176.6 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
Y. Bisseck290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /9084 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Stones21937 min24.9 /9000 /9000 /90921.9 /9012.4 /9000 /90
B. Pavard19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Barella n 879.8
16/1
0.42/1
F. Valverde
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Bastoni n 871.1
1.46/2
0.32/0
Dean Huijsen
F. Dimarco n 872.8
0.53/0
0.84/1
—
Lautaro Martínez n 865.8
2.18/4
1.45/3
Vinícius Júnior
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.8
1.67/4
A. Bastoni n 871.1
2.46/3
F. Dimarco n 872.8
0.63/1
Lautaro Martínez n 865.8
1.45/3
M. Akanji n 885.4
1.46/3
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Lautaro Martínez378234 min20.8 /9000 /90114.2 /9041.5 /9041.5 /9020.8 /90
F. Esposito367200 min10.5 /9010.5 /9083.6 /9041.8 /9041.8 /9000 /90
M. Thuram23570 min11.3 /9000 /9067.7 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
N. Barella390270 min00 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9031 /9062 /9072.3 /90
F. Dimarco381242 min00 /9010.4 /9072.6 /9020.7 /90124.5 /9010.4 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.8
1.46/4
0.42/1
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Bastoni n 871.1
0.52/1
0.21/0
F. Dimarco n 872.8
1.55/3
0.84/1
Lautaro Martínez n 865.8
3.16/4
1.56/2
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.8
00/0
0.11/0
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Bastoni n 871.1
00/0
00/0
F. Dimarco n 872.8
0.21/0
0.52/1
Lautaro Martínez n 865.8
0.73/1
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real MadridInter
36%Possession64%
2.91Expected goals (xG)1.83
16Shots21
8Shots on target7
5Shots off target9
3Blocked shots5
14Shots inside the box15
4Corners11
2Offsides4
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
7Saves6
352Passes621
87%Pass accuracy94%

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thibaut Courtois9000000006.9
D. Dumfries9000101106.5
I. Konaté9000100107
Dean Huijsen90000002Y6.9
Marc Cucurella9000000107
F. Valverde9010110308.2
J. Bellingham9000220307.2
Kylian Mbappé8910441007.6
Vinícius Júnior8700100207.3
Trent Alexander-Arnold7900002006.3
Brahim Díaz7901204108.5
Y. Diomande sub1100110006.7
A. Tchouaméni sub1100000006.7
Álvaro Fernández sub30000000–
Carlos Espí sub10000000–

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Josep Martínez9000000007.5
Lautaro Martínez90013121Y7.2
C. Jones9000210106.5
Andy Diouf9000102107
Y. Bisseck90000013Y7
A. Bastoni9000212206.9
Carlos Augusto8310113007.5
M. Thuram6000310006.5
H. Çalhanoğlu60002111Y7.2
N. Barella6000102006.9
B. Pavard4500000106.6
J. Stones sub4500000007
P. Zieliński sub3000001006.9
A. Bonny sub3000000106.7
P. Sučić sub3000003006.9
H. Mkhitaryan sub1100110006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real MadridWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
InterDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Real Madrid 4 · 0 draws · Inter 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2021-12-07 Real Madrid 2–0 Inter
  • 2021-09-15 Inter 0–1 Real Madrid
  • 2020-11-25 Inter 0–2 Real Madrid
  • 2020-11-03 Real Madrid 3–2 Inter
League standing · 2026/27
Real Madrid#2 pos12 pts4 pl+6 GD
Inter#15 pos6 pts4 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Real Madrid scored3.25
Inter scored2
Real Madrid conceded1.75
Inter conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Madrid v Inter?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Inter was Home or Away (best price 1.21 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Inter?
In their last 4 meetings, Real Madrid won 4, Inter won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Inter?
Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Inter 3W 2D 0L.

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