Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe result

Full-time · Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe

UEFA Champions League · Tue, 11 Aug 2026 19:30 BST · Merkur-Arena

Updated 25 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe — Fenerbahçe won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.57 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Fenerbahçe won 1–0 at Merkur-Arena in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 11 August. Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fenerbahçe: Talisca (66’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Talisca’s goal on 66 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sturm Graz 0.00, Fenerbahçe 0.00, from 19 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Hernandez showed four yellow cards — against 1.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sturm Graz: J. Mitchell (84’); Fenerbahçe: Nélson Semedo (40’), Archibald Brown (45’) and K. Aktürkoğlu (89’).

What it changes

Sturm Graz have scored six goals, the 34th-most (shared) of the 81 clubs (the most recent table TACTIX holds, after 4 games, ranked per game). Sturm Graz have conceded three goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Fenerbahçe have scored 14 goals, the 34th-fewest of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Fenerbahçe have conceded 14 goals, the 25th-fewest of the 81 clubs.

Fenerbahçe have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Talisca (Fenerbahçe) 8.9, N'Golo Kanté (Fenerbahçe) 7.2 and Jon Stankovic (Sturm Graz) 6.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sturm Graz, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sturm Graz next host Red Bull Salzburg on 8 November 2026.

Fenerbahçe next travel to Çorum FK on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sturm Graz: Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Fenerbahçe: Çorum FK v Fenerbahçe, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League
Venue: Merkur-Arena · Graz
Referee: A. Hernandez
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Sturm Graz 0 · draws 1 · Fenerbahçe 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Sturm Graz 3W 1D 1L · Fenerbahçe 3W 2D 0L

Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.63

Goals

against 0.75 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6 / 6

Corners

against 4.63 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.75 / 6.57

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 3.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.88 / 3

Cards

against 1.13 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

1.5 yellows

Referee · A. Hernandez

20.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sturm Graz for / against	Line	Fenerbahçe for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17.5 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.43 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.57 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.71 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: A. Hernandez — 1.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz Goalkeeper

Sturm Graz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniil Khudyakov	5	91455 min	193.8 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90

Sturm Graz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniil Khudyakov n 8	90.6	3.8 6/5

Sturm Graz Defensive

Sturm Graz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Albert Vallci	5	91455 min	122.4 /90	40.8 /90	61.2 /90	285.5 /90	71.4 /90	20.4 /90
J. Heil	5	89444 min	142.8 /90	71.4 /90	30.6 /90	306.1 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90
E. Soglo	5	69344 min	174.4 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90	328.4 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
J. Mitchell	4	91365 min	82 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	225.4 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
L. Balbo	2	4386 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90
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Sturm Graz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Albert Vallci n 8	90.6	1 4/2	0.2 1/1	—
Daniil Khudyakov n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Jon Stankovic n 8	85.6	1.2 5/3	1.7 6/3	M. Guendouzi
J. Heil n 5	88.8	1.6 4/3	1.4 5/2	—
Jacob Hödl n 8	81.8	1.7 6/4	1.4 5/3	M. Guendouzi
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Sturm Graz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Albert Vallci n 8	90.6	2.1 8/5
Jon Stankovic n 8	85.6	2.1 8/5
J. Heil n 5	88.8	2.8 5/4
Jacob Hödl n 8	81.8	2.2 7/4
E. Soglo n 6	68.2	4.2 6/5
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Sturm Graz Attacking

Sturm Graz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Seedy Jatta	5	66328 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.4 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
S. Włodarczyk	5	64321 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	41.1 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
Axel Kayombo	4	25100 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	21.8 /90	43.6 /90
N. Weiper	3	2678 min	22.3 /90	00 /90	33.5 /90	22.3 /90	11.2 /90	33.5 /90
Jon Stankovic	5	89446 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	51 /90	20.4 /90
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Sturm Graz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Albert Vallci n 8	90.6	1.1 4/4	0.2 1/1
Daniil Khudyakov n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jon Stankovic n 8	85.6	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
J. Heil n 5	88.8	1 4/1	0.4 2/0
Jacob Hödl n 8	81.8	1.4 5/3	1 4/3
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Sturm Graz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sturm Graz before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Albert Vallci n 8	90.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Daniil Khudyakov n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jon Stankovic n 8	85.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Heil n 5	88.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Jacob Hödl n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe Goalkeeper

Fenerbahçe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Günok	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Fenerbahçe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Günok n 8	81.9	2.5 5/4

Fenerbahçe Defensive

Fenerbahçe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Škriniar	3	90270 min	134.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	227.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
Nélson Semedo	3	88263 min	72.4 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	175.8 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
N. Aké	3	75225 min	52 /90	62.4 /90	20.8 /90	104 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
J. Oosterwolde	3	70210 min	62.6 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90	114.7 /90	52.1 /90	10.4 /90
A. Brown	1	6060 min	00 /90	23 /90	00 /90	34.5 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90
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Fenerbahçe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Škriniar n 8	76.4	1.3 6/2	0.6 2/2	—
M. Guendouzi n 8	87	0.9 6/1	2.5 7/7	Jacob Hödl
M. Günok n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Nélson Semedo n 8	77.5	0.9 4/2	1.3 6/2	—
Talisca n 8	82.9	1.2 4/3	1.5 5/5	—
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Fenerbahçe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Škriniar n 8	76.4	2.5 6/4
M. Guendouzi n 8	87	1.6 8/3
Nélson Semedo n 8	77.5	2.8 8/6
Talisca n 8	82.9	0.7 4/1
N. Aké n 3	75	2 3/2
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Fenerbahçe Attacking

Fenerbahçe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Talisca	3	86257 min	31.1 /90	00 /90	165.6 /90	103.5 /90	41.4 /90	10.4 /90
O. Aydın	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	14.3 /90
A. Musaba	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	29 /90
M. Guendouzi	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
K. Aktürkoğlu	3	75224 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	93.6 /90	41.6 /90
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Fenerbahçe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Guendouzi n 8	87	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
M. Škriniar n 8	76.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Günok n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nélson Semedo n 8	77.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Talisca n 8	82.9	5.2 8/8	3.3 7/6
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Fenerbahçe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fenerbahçe before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Guendouzi n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Günok n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Škriniar n 8	76.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nélson Semedo n 8	77.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Talisca n 8	82.9	1.2 6/2	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sturm Graz		Fenerbahçe
50%	Possession	50%
19	Shots	11
2	Shots on target	6
8	Shots off target	3
9	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	8
7	Corners	6
1	Offsides	0
12	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	2
383	Passes	397
81%	Pass accuracy	80%

Sturm Graz Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Daniil Khudyakov	93	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
J. Mitchell	93	0	0	3	1	Y	7.9
E. Soglo	93	2	0	1	4	0	7.3
Simon Seidl	93	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
Luca Weinhandl	93	1	0	2	5	0	6.6
Jacob Hödl	93	0	0	2	3	0	7.3
Petar Petrović	79	1	0	1	2	0	6.2
Jon Stankovic	70	1	1	3	5	0	7.5
A. Malic	61	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Axel Kayombo	61	3	0	0	0	0	6.2
Seedy Jatta	61	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Heil sub	32	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
B. Beganović sub	32	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
N. Weiper sub	32	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Ryan Fosso sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Paul-Friedrich Koller sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Fenerbahçe Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Günok	93	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
M. Škriniar	93	0	0	0	1	5	0	7.7
N. Aké	93	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
A. Brown	93	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.2
M. Guendouzi	93	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
K. Aktürkoğlu	93	0	3	3	2	3	Y	7.3
Talisca	77	1	4	3	1	0	0	7.9
N. Kanté	73	0	1	0	0	9	0	7
M. Greenwood	63	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Marco Asensio	63	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
Nélson Semedo	62	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.9
M. Müldür sub	31	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Fred sub	30	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
O. Aydın sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
İ. Yüksek sub	20	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
V. Muriqi sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Sturm GrazWWDLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

FenerbahçeWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Sturm Graz 0 · 1 draw · Fenerbahçe 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-08-05 Fenerbahçe 2–0 Sturm Graz
2017-08-03 Fenerbahçe 1–1 Sturm Graz
2017-07-27 Sturm Graz 1–2 Fenerbahçe

League standing · 2024/25

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Sturm Graz#30 pos6 pts8 pl-9 GD

Fenerbahçe#19 pos5 pts4 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Sturm Graz scored0.63

Fenerbahçe scored1.5

Sturm Graz conceded1.75

Fenerbahçe conceded2.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Fenerbahçe?: In their last 3 meetings, Sturm Graz won 0, Fenerbahçe won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sturm Graz and Fenerbahçe?: Recent form — Sturm Graz 3W 1D 1L; Fenerbahçe 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 25 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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