AC MilanBenfica

AC Milan v Benfica result

Full-time · AC Milan 0–2 Benfica

UEFA Europa League · · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AC Milan · Benfica

The model’s pre-match pick

AC Milan 0–2 Benfica — Benfica won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.77 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Benfica won 2–0 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in the UEFA Europa League on Wednesday 16 September. Benfica have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Benfica led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Benfica: D. Lukebakio (16’, assisted by Jakub Kamiński) and Jakub Kamiński (53’, assisted by Souffian El Karouani).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Lukebakio’s goal on 16 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: AC Milan 0.96, Benfica 0.64, from 17 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jarred Gillett, Australia showed six yellow cards — against 5.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — AC Milan: Strahinja Pavlović (11’); Benfica: Souffian El Karouani (26’), J. Duran (37’), Daniel Banjaqui (77’), L. Barreiro (84’) and Vangelis Pavlidis (90+2’).

What it changes

AC Milan have scored four goals, the 37th-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). AC Milan have conceded seven goals, the 30th-most (shared) of the 76 clubs.

Benfica have scored 32 goals, the most of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Benfica have conceded nine goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 76 clubs.

AC Milan are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Benfica are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jakub Kamiński (Benfica) 8.3, D. Lukebakio (Benfica) 8.0 and João Palhinha (Benfica) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Benfica, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

AC Milan next travel to Genoa on 8 November 2026.

Benfica next travel to Estrela on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AC Milan: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Benfica: Estrela v Benfica, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AC Milan 0–2 Benfica · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milano
  • Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: AC Milan 2W 2D 1L · Benfica 5W 0D 0L

AC Milan 0–2 Benfica (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 3.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.25 / 7.71
Corners
against 3.38 / 1.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.5 / 8.14
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 1.29
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAC Milan for / againstLineBenfica for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
3.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7.71 for · 1.57 against n 7
Shots
13.13 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
20.14 for · 5.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
8.14 for · 1.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
11.57 for · 15.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 2.43 against n 7

Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia.

AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Maignan490360 min102.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
36/3

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. De Winter490360 min82 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90194.8 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90
S. Pavlović490360 min123 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90297.3 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
Mario Gila485341 min51.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90143.7 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
Y. Musah479315 min30.9 /9030.9 /9000 /90144 /9010.3 /9000 /90
S. Chukwueze475299 min41.2 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90144.2 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Pavlović n 890
1.36/3
15/2
Tomás Araújo
K. De Winter n 886
1.26/2
0.11/0
Tomás Araújo
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Gonçalo Ramos n 488.8
1.84/1
1.33/2
—
Mario Gila n 485.3
1.33/2
0.82/1
—
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 890
2.37/5
K. De Winter n 886
1.88/3
Gonçalo Ramos n 488.8
1.53/2
Mario Gila n 485.3
1.33/1
Y. Musah n 871.1
1.16/1
See more players · Pro

AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos489355 min10.3 /9000 /90112.8 /9041 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
A. Cissè458231 min20.8 /9000 /9062.3 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
R. Loftus-Cheek447189 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9000 /9083.8 /9021 /90
A. Saelemaekers339116 min00 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.3 /9000 /90
Diego Moreira253106 min21.7 /9000 /9032.5 /9021.7 /9000 /9010.8 /90
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
K. De Winter n 886
0.31/1
00/0
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 488.8
2.83/2
12/1
Mario Gila n 485.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
K. De Winter n 886
00/0
00/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 488.8
0.31/0
00/0
Mario Gila n 485.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Benfica

Benfica Goalkeeper

Benfica — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Samuel Soares691547 min61 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Samuel Soares n 885.3
1.53/1

Benfica Defensive

Benfica — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Clément Lenglet691547 min50.8 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90223.6 /9081.3 /9000 /90
S. Dahl689535 min61 /9081.3 /9000 /90223.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Tomás Araújo686516 min40.7 /9061 /9010.2 /90142.4 /9091.6 /9020.3 /90
A. Bah470279 min41.3 /9072.3 /9000 /90144.5 /9020.6 /9000 /90
Daniel Banjaqui286171 min42.1 /9000 /9000 /90126.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Clément Lenglet n 691.2
1.34/4
0.73/1
—
Samuel Soares n 885.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Dahl n 889.4
0.83/2
0.84/2
—
Tomás Araújo n 887
1.35/3
00/0
K. De Winter
G. Prestianni n 882
0.43/0
2.66/5
—
See more players · Pro
Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Clément Lenglet n 691.2
0.83/1
S. Dahl n 889.4
1.56/4
Tomás Araújo n 887
0.95/2
G. Prestianni n 882
1.65/3
V. Pavlidis n 874.1
0.94/1
See more players · Pro

Benfica Attacking

Benfica — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Pavlidis679474 min81.5 /9020.4 /90183.4 /90122.3 /9091.7 /9030.6 /90
A. Schjelderup647281 min10.3 /9020.6 /9051.6 /9020.6 /90123.8 /9041.3 /90
J. Duran32370 min11.3 /9000 /9022.6 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
D. Lukebakio32163 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9011.4 /9000 /9022.9 /90
G. Prestianni683498 min50.9 /9020.4 /90213.8 /90112 /90162.9 /90193.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Clément Lenglet n 691.2
0.83/1
0.32/0
Samuel Soares n 885.3
00/0
00/0
S. Dahl n 889.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
Tomás Araújo n 887
0.96/1
0.11/0
G. Prestianni n 882
3.68/8
1.88/3
See more players · Pro
Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Clément Lenglet n 691.2
0.21/0
00/0
Samuel Soares n 885.3
00/0
00/0
S. Dahl n 889.4
00/0
00/0
Tomás Araújo n 887
00/0
0.32/0
G. Prestianni n 882
0.75/0
0.43/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AC MilanBenfica
60%Possession40%
0.96Expected goals (xG)0.64
17Shots11
4Shots on target4
10Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box5
10Corners1
0Offsides3
14Fouls12
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
2Saves4
567Passes382
92%Pass accuracy85%

AC Milan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.3
K. De Winter9000100006.7
S. Pavlović90001001Y6.2
S. Chukwueze9000004107.3
Y. Musah9000102006.9
Gonçalo Ramos9000300205.9
A. Jashari7300101006.2
D. Bartesaghi5700003206.9
A. Cissè5700110006.9
F. Terracciano4500110006.5
O. Hutchinson4500100106.5
Mario Gila sub4500000107.2
C. Pulišić sub4500222006.2
Diego Moreira sub3300100006.7
A. Saelemaekers sub3300002007.7
A. Rabiot sub1700100106.7

Benfica Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Trubin9000000008.6
Daniel Banjaqui90000017Y7.3
Tomás Araújo9000000408.3
A. Circati9000000107.2
João Palhinha9000001307.5
D. Lukebakio9010330308.5
S. El Karouani88011012Y7.7
J. Kamiński8011113007.9
J. Duran80000000Y6.2
F. Aursnes7000000206.9
H. Sudakov7000101106.6
L. Barreiro sub20000000Y6.5
G. Prestianni sub2000100006.6
A. Schjelderup sub1000001006.3
V. Pavlidis sub10000010Y6.5
S. Dahl sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Benfica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AC MilanLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BenficaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
AC Milan#28 pos3 pts4 pl-3 GD
Benfica#1 pos12 pts4 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
AC Milan scored1
Benfica scored3.25
AC Milan conceded1.75
Benfica conceded0.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AC Milan v Benfica?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Benfica was Draw or Away (best price 1.77 at Unibet).
What is the recent form of AC Milan and Benfica?
Recent form — AC Milan 2W 2D 1L; Benfica 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 182 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+