Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest result

Full-time · Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest

UEFA Europa League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aston Villa · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest — Aston Villa won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5262 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aston Villa beat Nottingham Forest 4–0 in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 7 May.

The goals

Aston Villa led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Aston Villa: O. Watkins (36’, assisted by E. Buendía), E. Buendía (58’ pen) and John McGinn (77’, assisted by O. Watkins; 80’, assisted by Morgan Rogers).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Watkins’s goal on 36 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Aston Villa 2.74, Nottingham Forest 0.79, from 18 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Glenn Nyberg, Sweden showed two yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Nottingham Forest: Morato (18’) and Jair (45+3’).

What it changes

Aston Villa have scored 28 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Aston Villa have conceded eight goals, the eighth-fewest of the 77 clubs.

Nottingham Forest have scored 24 goals, the 20th-most (shared) of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Nottingham Forest have conceded 16 goals, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 77 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Buendía (Aston Villa) 12.1, O. Watkins (Aston Villa) 9.6 and John McGinn (Aston Villa) 8.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4095 of 5262).

Next up

Aston Villa next host Sunderland on 21 November 2026.

Nottingham Forest next travel to Bournemouth on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aston Villa: Aston Villa v Sunderland, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest · UEFA Europa League
  • Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aston Villa 3 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aston Villa 2W 0D 3L · Nottingham Forest 5W 0D 0L

Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAston Villa for / againstLineNottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
2.38 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez40883511 min1142.9 /90451.2 /9010 /90
M. Bizot1283991 min474.3 /90111 /9000 /90
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 890
3.27/7
M. Bizot n 878.9
46/6

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Konsa43873720 min280.7 /90280.7 /90360.9 /901243 /90180.4 /9010 /90
M. Cash43823535 min812.1 /90300.8 /90150.4 /901694.3 /90481.2 /90100.3 /90
L. Digne37672470 min451.6 /90170.6 /9050.2 /901063.9 /90281 /9060.2 /90
Pau Torres31842593 min281 /90160.6 /90291 /90853 /90160.6 /9010 /90
I. Maatsen29691989 min472.1 /90160.7 /9020.1 /901115 /90160.7 /9030.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rogers n 884.6
28/4
1.68/3
Igor Jesus
O. Watkins n 876
16/1
1.36/3
—
E. Konsa n 890
0.11/0
0.85/1
N. Williams
M. Cash n 889.9
0.85/1
1.16/3
N. Williams
E. Buendía n 867
1.75/3
2.26/4
Igor Jesus
See more players · Pro
Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rogers n 884.6
0.94/2
O. Watkins n 876
0.64/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.43/0
M. Cash n 889.9
2.97/7
E. Buendía n 867
2.47/5
See more players · Pro

Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Watkins49693364 min150.4 /9030.1 /90651.7 /90421.1 /90330.9 /90280.7 /90
D. Malen22461001 min50.4 /9020.2 /90282.5 /90141.3 /9080.7 /90161.4 /90
T. Abraham1040396 min20.5 /9010.2 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9071.6 /9000 /90
Alysson Edward22243 min00 /9000 /9012.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Rogers50844180 min120.3 /9080.2 /90751.6 /90420.9 /90691.5 /90641.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rogers n 884.6
27/6
1.25/2
O. Watkins n 876
2.17/4
1.36/3
E. Konsa n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
M. Cash n 889.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
E. Buendía n 867
1.56/2
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Rogers n 884.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
O. Watkins n 876
0.94/2
0.11/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Cash n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
E. Buendía n 867
0.21/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Sels33892925 min882.7 /90411.3 /9010 /90
John989798 min121.4 /90121.4 /9000 /90
S. Ortega890720 min253.1 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
2.86/5
John n 888.5
1.43/1
S. Ortega n 890
3.17/5

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Milenković48854074 min390.9 /90360.8 /90350.8 /901693.7 /90310.7 /9060.1 /90
N. Williams47823833 min1212.8 /90491.2 /90180.4 /902606.1 /90360.8 /9070.2 /90
Murillo34802736 min451.5 /90431.4 /90270.9 /90983.2 /90341.1 /9060.2 /90
Morato26802071 min462 /90180.8 /90120.5 /901014.4 /90150.7 /9070.3 /90
O. Aina25832065 min411.8 /90361.6 /9040.2 /901114.8 /90160.7 /9030.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Milenković n 870.6
14/1
0.21/0
—
N. Williams n 876.9
1.27/1
0.95/1
M. Cash
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.6
0.96/0
0.74/1
—
E. Anderson n 884
1.57/4
1.77/4
—
Igor Jesus n 865.6
1.77/2
0.94/1
E. Buendía
See more players · Pro
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Milenković n 870.6
1.65/3
N. Williams n 876.9
2.66/5
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.6
0.74/1
E. Anderson n 884
2.47/5
Igor Jesus n 865.6
0.72/1
See more players · Pro

Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Igor Jesus44632791 min140.5 /9050.2 /90581.9 /90341.1 /90180.6 /90100.3 /90
C. Wood1658923 min50.5 /9000 /90232.2 /90101 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
D. Bakwa1548715 min00 /9020.3 /9081 /9030.4 /90141.8 /90101.3 /90
T. Awoniyi936325 min41.1 /9000 /90102.8 /9071.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
A. Kalimuendo846369 min20.5 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Milenković n 870.6
00/0
00/0
N. Williams n 876.9
1.25/2
0.93/2
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.6
1.96/4
15/1
E. Anderson n 884
0.85/1
0.42/1
Igor Jesus n 865.6
2.27/4
1.76/3
See more players · Pro
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Milenković n 870.6
00/0
00/0
N. Williams n 876.9
0.11/0
0.42/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 876.6
0.94/1
0.32/0
E. Anderson n 884
0.11/0
00/0
Igor Jesus n 865.6
0.74/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
51%Possession49%
2.74Expected goals (xG)0.79
18Shots7
10Shots on target2
3Shots off target4
5Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
6Corners3
1Offsides2
13Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves6
381Passes362
83%Pass accuracy83%

Aston Villa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez9000000007.2
E. Konsa9000001107.2
M. Cash9000002007.3
Y. Tielemans9000201206.9
L. Digne9000000106.6
O. Watkins9011331007.2
Pau Torres8900110107.3
J. McGinn8920331008.6
M. Rogers8901113007.3
E. Buendía8611324209.5
V. Lindelöf7400000006.3
L. Bogarde sub1600000006.6
J. Sancho sub900000006.3
T. Mings sub10000000–
Douglas Luiz sub10000000–
L. Bailey sub10000000–

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Ortega9000000006.5
N. Milenković9000000306.2
N. Williams9000001206.2
N. Domínguez9000102206.2
E. Anderson9000000206.9
Igor Jesus9000101106.3
Jair88000001Y5.7
O. Hutchinson8800101106
Morato71000001Y5.7
C. Wood7100110006.6
J. McAtee4500001106.7
R. Yates sub4500110006.5
D. Bakwa sub1900000006.9
L. Lucca sub1900100006.7
Murillo sub20000000–
J. Sinclair sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Aston VillaWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Nottingham ForestWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aston Villa 3 · 1 draw · Nottingham Forest 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-30 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa
  • 2026-04-12 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa
  • 2026-01-03 Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-04-05 Aston Villa 2–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-12-14 Nottingham Forest 2–1 Aston Villa
  • 2024-02-24 Aston Villa 4–2 Nottingham Forest
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Aston Villa#2 pos21 pts8 pl+8 GD
Nottingham Forest#13 pos14 pts8 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Aston Villa scored1.75
Nottingham Forest scored1.88
Aston Villa conceded0.75
Nottingham Forest conceded0.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest?
In their last 6 meetings, Aston Villa won 3, Nottingham Forest won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest?
Recent form — Aston Villa 2W 0D 3L; Nottingham Forest 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+