SC FreiburgAston Villa

SC Freiburg v Aston Villa result

Full-time · SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa

UEFA Europa League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Freiburg · Aston Villa

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa — Aston Villa won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aston Villa won 3–0 at SC Freiburg in the UEFA Europa League on Wednesday 20 May. Aston Villa have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Aston Villa led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Aston Villa: Youri Tielemans (41’, assisted by Morgan Rogers), E. Buendía (45’, assisted by John McGinn) and Morgan Rogers (58’, assisted by E. Buendía).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Youri Tielemans’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: SC Freiburg 0.27, Aston Villa 2.30, from 4 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

François Letexier, France showed four yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — SC Freiburg: Philipp Treu (5’); Aston Villa: E. Buendía (15’), Matthew Cash (21’) and John McGinn (84’).

What it changes

SC Freiburg have scored 25 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). SC Freiburg have conceded 13 goals, the 16th-fewest of the 77 clubs.

Aston Villa have scored 31 goals, the third-most of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Aston Villa have conceded eight goals, the eighth-fewest of the 77 clubs.

Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Buendía (Aston Villa) 9.1, Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa) 8.0 and Youri Tielemans (Aston Villa) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SC Freiburg or Aston Villa (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

SC Freiburg next host Union Berlin on 8 November 2026.

Aston Villa next travel to Manchester United on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg v Union Berlin, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Aston Villa: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa · UEFA Europa League
  • Referee: François Letexier, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L · Aston Villa 2W 1D 2L

SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.29 / 5.38
Corners
against 4.43 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.14 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4.71 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineAston Villa for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.29 for · 4.43 against n 7
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
11.43 for · 14 against n 7
19.5standard
12.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.14 for · 4.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 11.86 against n 7
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: François Letexier, France.

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Goalkeeper

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Atubolu49904410 min1412.9 /90671.4 /9020 /90
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 890
2.66/4

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Ginter49894366 min430.9 /90390.8 /90300.6 /902264.7 /90260.5 /9040.1 /90
P. Treu40803191 min651.8 /90230.6 /90120.3 /901604.5 /90330.9 /9030.1 /90
C. Günter32742382 min281.1 /90110.4 /9080.3 /90532 /90130.5 /9050.2 /90
L. Kübler31722219 min552.2 /90471.9 /90100.4 /901255.1 /90261.1 /9050.2 /90
P. Lienhart29772241 min341.4 /90241 /90150.6 /90994 /90170.7 /9080.3 /90
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SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Eggestein n 890
0.63/1
0.82/2
—
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Ginter n 884.5
0.84/2
1.15/2
E. Konsa
J. Manzambi n 878.6
0.74/1
3.18/7
E. Buendía
V. Grifo n 871.8
0.64/0
0.63/1
M. Rogers
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SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
1.16/3
M. Ginter n 884.5
0.73/1
J. Manzambi n 878.6
2.18/6
V. Grifo n 871.8
0.31/1
J. Beste n 863.5
2.86/4
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SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Scherhant39431671 min60.3 /9010.1 /90361.9 /90221.2 /90291.6 /90372 /90
I. Matanović38602280 min130.5 /9040.2 /90542.1 /90261 /90351.4 /90170.7 /90
L. Höler35662294 min50.2 /9010 /90311.2 /90180.7 /90240.9 /90110.4 /90
J. Adamu1563947 min20.2 /9010.1 /90151.4 /9070.7 /90161.5 /90141.3 /90
Cyriaque Kalou Irié1134376 min00 /9000 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9041 /90122.9 /90
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SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 884.5
0.84/2
0.43/0
J. Manzambi n 878.6
2.77/7
1.15/2
V. Grifo n 871.8
1.14/3
0.32/0
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SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
0.11/0
00/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 884.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Manzambi n 878.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
V. Grifo n 871.8
0.21/0
0.84/1
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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez43883781 min1232.9 /90491.2 /9010 /90
M. Bizot1283991 min474.3 /90111 /9000 /90
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 890
3.58/7
M. Bizot n 878.9
46/6

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Konsa46873990 min300.7 /90280.6 /90390.9 /901363.1 /90180.4 /9010 /90
M. Cash46833795 min832 /90320.8 /90160.4 /901764.2 /90511.2 /90110.3 /90
L. Digne40672666 min481.6 /90190.6 /9050.2 /901133.8 /90311 /9060.2 /90
Pau Torres33842772 min301 /90170.6 /90301 /90923 /90160.5 /9010 /90
I. Maatsen30692063 min502.2 /90180.8 /9030.1 /901175.1 /90170.7 /9030.1 /90
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Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rogers n 887.9
1.88/4
1.47/3
V. Grifo
O. Watkins n 876.8
1.27/1
0.74/1
—
E. Konsa n 890
0.11/0
1.57/2
M. Ginter
M. Cash n 888.8
0.65/0
1.16/3
—
E. Buendía n 867.3
1.85/4
3.27/5
J. Manzambi
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Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rogers n 887.9
1.25/3
O. Watkins n 876.8
0.11/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.54/0
M. Cash n 888.8
2.56/6
E. Buendía n 867.3
1.86/3
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Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Watkins52703634 min190.5 /9050.1 /90751.9 /90511.3 /90350.9 /90310.8 /90
D. Malen22461001 min50.4 /9020.2 /90282.5 /90141.3 /9080.7 /90161.4 /90
T. Abraham1040396 min20.5 /9010.2 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9071.6 /9000 /90
Alysson Edward22243 min00 /9000 /9012.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Rogers53844449 min130.3 /90100.2 /90781.6 /90440.9 /90771.6 /90671.4 /90
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Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rogers n 887.9
1.47/3
0.95/1
O. Watkins n 876.8
2.67/4
2.17/3
E. Konsa n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Cash n 888.8
0.11/0
00/0
E. Buendía n 867.3
27/3
0.84/1
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Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Rogers n 887.9
0.43/0
0.43/0
O. Watkins n 876.8
15/2
0.43/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Cash n 888.8
00/0
0.11/0
E. Buendía n 867.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC FreiburgAston Villa
51%Possession49%
0.27Expected goals (xG)2.30
4Shots17
2Shots on target6
2Shots off target6
0Blocked shots5
3Shots inside the box11
1Corners8
5Offsides2
15Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
366Passes356
84%Pass accuracy86%

SC Freiburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Atubolu9000000006.7
M. Ginter9000000206.9
P. Treu90000001Y5.7
M. Eggestein9000000206.6
J. Manzambi9000110106.6
I. Matanović9000101106.9
J. Beste8600000106.3
L. Kübler7300001005.9
V. Grifo7300000006.5
P. Lienhart6100000106.3
N. Höfler6100100306.7
M. Rosenfelder sub2900110107
L. Höler sub2900000006.7
J. Makengo sub1700000106.9
D. Scherhant sub1700000106.5
C. Günter sub40000000–

Aston Villa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez9000000007.3
M. Cash90001021Y6.9
E. Konsa9000100006.9
J. McGinn90011132Y7.7
M. Rogers9011321007.9
O. Watkins9000101206.9
Pau Torres8800000006.9
Y. Tielemans8810112208.5
L. Digne8100000106.7
E. Buendía81113241Y8.2
V. Lindelöf6600001106.5
A. Onana sub2400100006.7
I. Maatsen sub900000006.7
J. Sancho sub900000006.5
T. Mings sub20000000–
Douglas Luiz sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Aston VillaLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
SC Freiburg#7 pos17 pts8 pl+6 GD
Aston Villa#2 pos21 pts8 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored1.25
Aston Villa scored1.75
SC Freiburg conceded0.5
Aston Villa conceded0.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Freiburg v Aston Villa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v Aston Villa was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and Aston Villa?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L; Aston Villa 2W 1D 2L.

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