Austria v Rep. Of Ireland prediction

UEFA Nations League · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 12:19 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Austria v Rep. Of Ireland, UEFA Nations League on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 2.40 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Austria host Rep. Of Ireland in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Rep. Of Ireland, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Austria are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Rep. Of Ireland are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Austria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Austria’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Austria have five wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 3.50 and conceding 0.67.

Nine of Rep. Of Ireland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Rep. Of Ireland’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Rep. Of Ireland have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.75.

Austria (first) and Rep. Of Ireland (third) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Austria the stronger side, 122 rating points above Rep. Of Ireland (Austria 1698, Rep. Of Ireland 1576, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Rep. Of Ireland are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Austria, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 1 October 2026, finished Rep. Of Ireland 2–2 Austria.

Team news

Predicted Austria XI (4-2-3-1): A. Schlager, S. Posch, K. Danso, P. Lienhart, P. Mwene, X. Schlager, N. Seiwald, R. Schmid, P. Wimmer, P. Wanner, M. Gregoritsch — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marcel Sabitzer (5.2 per match over seven appearances, four goals and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, two assists) have been Austria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Austria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marcel Sabitzer averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1068 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1586 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rep. Of Ireland XI (3-4-2-1): C. Kelleher, J. O'Brien, D. O'Shea, L. Scales, C. Coventry, R. Manning, J. Molumby, J. Knight, J. Abankwah, F. Azaz, T. Parrott — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Troy Parrott (5.0 per match over seven appearances, four goals) and Jack Moylan (5.0 per match over six appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Rep. Of Ireland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rep. Of Ireland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Troy Parrott averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1224 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jack Moylan averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1718 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Austria 0 · draws 2 · Rep. Of Ireland 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Austria 2W 2D 1L · Rep. Of Ireland 1W 3D 1L

Austria v Rep. Of Ireland (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.63 / 3.29

Corners

against 2.75 / 4 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.25 / 3.57

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 4.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.38 / 2.57

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Austria for / against	Line	Rep. Of Ireland for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.29 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.14 for · 15 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.57 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.38 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.57 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5

Austria

Austria Goalkeeper

Austria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
A. Schlager	6	90540 min	172.8 /90	111.8 /90
Christian Zawieschitzky	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90
F. Wiegele	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90

Austria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Schlager n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Austria Defensive

Austria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Posch	7	86603 min	101.5 /90	142.1 /90	10.1 /90	284.2 /90	91.3 /90	20.3 /90
K. Danso	7	73509 min	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	274.8 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
K. Laimer	6	83495 min	152.7 /90	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	254.5 /90	81.5 /90	10.2 /90
P. Lienhart	4	90360 min	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	123 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
P. Mwene	4	82328 min	82.2 /90	51.4 /90	00 /90	133.6 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Austria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Seiwald n 8	75	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0	—
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	2.1 7/5	1.2 3/3	—
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	2 6/4	1.2 3/2	—
S. Posch n 8	78	1.4 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
K. Danso n 8	74.9	1.1 5/2	0.5 3/0	—
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Austria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Seiwald n 8	75	3 8/6
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	2.3 6/4
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	1.5 5/2
S. Posch n 8	78	1.4 5/2
K. Danso n 8	74.9	1.4 6/2
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Austria Attacking

Austria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Michael Gregoritsch	6	60361 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.7 /90	30.7 /90	41 /90	00 /90
S. Kalajdzic	6	47279 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	92.9 /90	31 /90	82.6 /90	51.6 /90
M. Arnautović	4	36142 min	21.3 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	31.9 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
M. Grüll	2	3773 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90
J. Adamu	1	5858 min	11.6 /90	00 /90	34.7 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Austria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Seiwald n 8	75	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	1 4/2	0.5 2/1
S. Posch n 8	78	1.2 4/3	0.4 2/1
K. Danso n 8	74.9	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Austria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Seiwald n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
S. Posch n 8	78	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Danso n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rep. Of Ireland

Rep. Of Ireland Goalkeeper

Rep. Of Ireland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Kelleher	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90

Rep. Of Ireland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rep. Of Ireland before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 8	90	3.9 6/6

Rep. Of Ireland Defensive

Rep. Of Ireland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. O'Brien	4	71285 min	41.3 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	144.4 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
Dara O'Shea	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	41.3 /90	51.7 /90	186 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
L. Scales	3	80241 min	51.9 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	186.7 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
J. Egan	2	89178 min	42 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90
Liam Kitching	2	59117 min	32.3 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	75.4 /90	32.3 /90	00 /90
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Rep. Of Ireland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rep. Of Ireland before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Kelleher n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
T. Parrott n 8	71.3	0.5 3/0	1.3 4/3	—
J. Molumby n 7	76.4	0.8 4/1	2.4 5/5	—
J. O'Brien n 8	75	0.9 4/1	0 0/0	—
J. Moylan n 4	63	2.5 3/3	2.5 3/2	—
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Rep. Of Ireland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rep. Of Ireland before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Parrott n 8	71.3	0.8 4/1
J. Molumby n 7	76.4	1.5 4/2
J. O'Brien n 8	75	0.9 3/2
J. Moylan n 4	63	0.7 2/0
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	1.5 7/3
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Rep. Of Ireland Attacking

Rep. Of Ireland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Parrott	4	80321 min	41.1 /90	00 /90	82.2 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90	61.7 /90
J. Moylan	4	63252 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	62.1 /90	41.4 /90
A. Idah	3	67201 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	52.2 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90
C. Ogbene	3	3297 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	10.9 /90	32.8 /90	00 /90
Rocco Vata	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	14.3 /90
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Rep. Of Ireland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rep. Of Ireland before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Kelleher n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Parrott n 8	71.3	2.5 7/4	1.9 6/4
J. Molumby n 7	76.4	0.8 4/1	0 0/0
J. O'Brien n 8	75	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
J. Moylan n 4	63	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
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Rep. Of Ireland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rep. Of Ireland before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Kelleher n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Parrott n 8	71.3	1.4 5/3	0 0/0
J. Molumby n 7	76.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. O'Brien n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Moylan n 4	63	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Austria v Rep. Of Ireland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AustriaLWWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Rep. Of IrelandDLWDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Austria 0 · 2 draws · Rep. Of Ireland 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-10-01 Rep. Of Ireland 2–2 Austria
2017-06-11 Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 Austria
2016-11-12 Austria 0–1 Rep. Of Ireland

League standing · 2026/27

Austria#1 pos8 pts4 pl+4 GD

Rep. Of Ireland#3 pos5 pts4 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Austria scored2.25

Rep. Of Ireland scored1.5

Austria conceded1.25

Rep. Of Ireland conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Austria v Rep. Of Ireland?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Austria v Rep. Of Ireland is Draw or Away (best price 2.40 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Austria and Rep. Of Ireland?: In their last 3 meetings, Austria won 0, Rep. Of Ireland won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Austria and Rep. Of Ireland?: Recent form — Austria 2W 2D 1L; Rep. Of Ireland 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 12:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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