Israel v Austria prediction

UEFA Nations League · Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 12:20 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Israel · Austria · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Israel v Austria, UEFA Nations League on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Israel host Austria in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Austria, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Israel are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Austria are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Israel’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Israel’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Israel have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 2.00.

Nine of Austria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Austria’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Austria have three wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.44.

Israel (fourth) and Austria (first) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Austria the stronger side, 287 rating points above Israel (Austria 1698, Israel 1411, after at least 24 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 September 2026, finished Austria 3–1 Israel.

Team news

Predicted Israel XI (5-4-1): A. Tzur, N. Stoioanov, R. Revivo, I. Nachmias, R. Shlomo, I. Feingold, E. Peretz, O. Gloukh, D. Peretz, A. Khalaili, D. Turgeman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Stoioanov (3.1 per match over five appearances) and Raz Shlomo (3.0 per match over three appearances) have been Israel’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Israel (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Stoioanov averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 429 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances. Raz Shlomo averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 386 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Austria XI (4-2-3-1): A. Schlager, S. Posch, K. Danso, P. Lienhart, P. Mwene, X. Schlager, N. Seiwald, R. Schmid, P. Wimmer, P. Wanner, M. Gregoritsch — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marcel Sabitzer (5.2 per match over seven appearances, four goals and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, two assists) have been Austria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Austria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marcel Sabitzer averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1068 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1586 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Israel 2 · draws 0 · Austria 3 · 5.4 goals/game
Recent form: Israel 1W 2D 2L · Austria 2W 2D 1L

Israel v Austria (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.88

Goals

against 2.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 3.63

Corners

against 4 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Israel for / against	Line	Austria for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.25 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.38 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Israel

Israel Goalkeeper

Israel — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Assaf Tzur	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Daniel Peretz	2	90180 min	63 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Israel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Israel before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 5	90	2.6 4/2

Israel Defensive

Israel — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Stoioanov	4	90360 min	41 /90	41 /90	51.3 /90	143.5 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Idan Nachmias	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	62 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
Roy Revivo	3	88263 min	10.3 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	175.8 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
Raz Shlomo	3	69206 min	52.2 /90	10.4 /90	52.2 /90	114.8 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90
L. Abada	2	71141 min	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	74.5 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
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Israel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Israel before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Stoioanov n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0.8 2/1	—
Eliel Peretz n 8	87.5	1.9 6/3	1.2 6/2	—
O. Gloukh n 8	79.9	0.6 4/0	0.7 3/2	—
M. Solomon n 8	75.6	1.5 6/3	1.6 6/4	—
Dor Peretz n 8	72.4	0.5 3/0	1.2 5/2	—
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Israel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Israel before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Stoioanov n 4	90	1 2/1
Eliel Peretz n 8	87.5	2.3 7/6
O. Gloukh n 8	79.9	0.3 2/0
M. Solomon n 8	75.6	0.4 2/1
Dor Peretz n 8	72.4	1.6 5/4
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Israel Attacking

Israel — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Solomon	4	68271 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	31 /90	62 /90
T. Baribo	1	6969 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Saied Abu Farchi	1	5656 min	11.6 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	11.6 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90
Idan Toklomati Jorno	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90	13.5 /90
Eliel Peretz	4	89355 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Israel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Israel before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Stoioanov n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Eliel Peretz n 8	87.5	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
O. Gloukh n 8	79.9	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
M. Solomon n 8	75.6	1 4/2	0.4 2/1
Dor Peretz n 8	72.4	1.7 6/3	1.6 6/3
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Israel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Israel before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Stoioanov n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Eliel Peretz n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
O. Gloukh n 8	79.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Solomon n 8	75.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Dor Peretz n 8	72.4	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
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Austria

Austria Goalkeeper

Austria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
A. Schlager	6	90540 min	172.8 /90	111.8 /90
Christian Zawieschitzky	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90
F. Wiegele	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90

Austria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Schlager n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Austria Defensive

Austria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Posch	7	86603 min	101.5 /90	142.1 /90	10.1 /90	284.2 /90	91.3 /90	20.3 /90
K. Danso	7	73509 min	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	274.8 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
K. Laimer	6	83495 min	152.7 /90	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	254.5 /90	81.5 /90	10.2 /90
P. Lienhart	4	90360 min	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	123 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
P. Mwene	4	82328 min	82.2 /90	51.4 /90	00 /90	133.6 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Austria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Seiwald n 8	75	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0	—
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	2.1 7/5	1.2 3/3	—
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	2 6/4	1.2 3/2	—
S. Posch n 8	78	1.4 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
K. Danso n 8	74.9	1.1 5/2	0.5 3/0	—
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Austria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Seiwald n 8	75	3 8/6
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	2.3 6/4
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	1.5 5/2
S. Posch n 8	78	1.4 5/2
K. Danso n 8	74.9	1.4 6/2
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Austria Attacking

Austria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Michael Gregoritsch	6	60361 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.7 /90	30.7 /90	41 /90	00 /90
S. Kalajdzic	6	47279 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	92.9 /90	31 /90	82.6 /90	51.6 /90
M. Arnautović	4	36142 min	21.3 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	31.9 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
M. Grüll	2	3773 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90
J. Adamu	1	5858 min	11.6 /90	00 /90	34.7 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Austria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Seiwald n 8	75	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	1 4/2	0.5 2/1
S. Posch n 8	78	1.2 4/3	0.4 2/1
K. Danso n 8	74.9	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Austria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austria before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Seiwald n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
X. Schlager n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
R. Schmid n 8	66.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
S. Posch n 8	78	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Danso n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Israel v Austria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

IsraelWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

AustriaLWWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Israel 2 · 0 draws · Austria 3 · 5.4 goals/game

2026-09-24 Austria 3–1 Israel
2021-11-12 Austria 4–2 Israel
2021-09-04 Israel 5–2 Austria
2019-10-10 Austria 3–1 Israel
2019-03-24 Israel 4–2 Austria

League standing · 2026/27

Israel#4 pos2 pts4 pl-5 GD

Austria#1 pos8 pts4 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Israel scored0.5

Austria scored2.25

Israel conceded1.75

Austria conceded1.25

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Israel v Austria?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Israel v Austria is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Israel and Austria?: In their last 5 meetings, Israel won 2, Austria won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Israel and Austria?: Recent form — Israel 1W 2D 2L; Austria 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 12:20 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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