Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction

UEFA Nations League · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 12:19 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sweden · Bosnia & Herzegovina

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina, UEFA Nations League on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.17 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1766 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sweden host Bosnia & Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Sweden or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sweden are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Bosnia & Herzegovina are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Sweden’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sweden’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Sweden have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.29.

Seven of Bosnia & Herzegovina’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 11 of Bosnia & Herzegovina’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Bosnia & Herzegovina have two wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.44.

Sweden (first) and Bosnia & Herzegovina (second) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sweden the stronger side, 168 rating points above Bosnia & Herzegovina (Sweden 1809, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1641, after at least 26 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden.

Team news

Predicted Sweden XI (4-4-2): V. Johansson, V. Lindelöf, G. Gudmundsson, D. Svensson, E. Smith, L. Bergvall, A. Bernhardsson, S. Nanasi, Y. Ayari, V. Gyökeres, A. Isak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Viktor Gyökeres (4.9 per match over nine appearances, six goals and two assists) and Yasin Ayari (4.3 per match over eight appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Sweden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sweden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Viktor Gyökeres averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 1382 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Yasin Ayari averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1806 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bosnia & Herzegovina XI (4-4-2): M. Zlomislić, S. Kolašinac, N. Katić, T. Muharemović, Z. Smajlović, I. Basic, A. Gigović, K. Alajbegović, E. Bajraktarevic, E. Demirović, H. Tabaković — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Martin Zlomislić (4.3 per match over three appearances) and I. Basic (4.2 per match over seven appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Bosnia & Herzegovina’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bosnia & Herzegovina (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Martin Zlomislić averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 480 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last five appearances. I. Basic averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 525 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Sweden 0 · draws 1 · Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Sweden 3W 1D 1L · Bosnia & Herzegovina 2W 2D 1L

Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.63 / 3.38

Corners

against 3.5 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sweden for / against	Line	Bosnia & Herzegovina for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.25 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.88 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Sweden

Sweden Goalkeeper

Sweden — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
V. Johansson	4	90360 min	112.8 /90	30.8 /90
J. Widell Zetterström	2	90180 min	115.5 /90	42 /90
K. Nordfeldt	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	63 /90

Sweden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sweden before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 8	90	2.1 4/3
J. Widell Zetterström n 3	90	4.3 3/1
K. Nordfeldt n 5	91.2	2.2 3/2

Sweden Defensive

Sweden — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
V. Lindelöf	8	90717 min	20.3 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	162 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90
G. Gudmundsson	7	81566 min	71.1 /90	81.3 /90	50.8 /90	254 /90	91.4 /90	10.2 /90
D. Svensson	5	50250 min	62.2 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	145 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
G. Lagerbielke	4	90360 min	133.3 /90	41 /90	30.8 /90	276.8 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
I. Hien	3	72217 min	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	145.8 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90
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Sweden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sweden before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Lindelöf n 8	89.6	0.8 5/1	0.3 1/1	—
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	88.1	0.8 4/2	1.9 7/5	—
G. Gudmundsson n 8	82	1.2 7/2	1.5 5/4	—
L. Bergvall n 8	58.6	2.7 7/4	1.9 7/3	—
Y. Ayari n 8	85.8	1.8 7/5	1.7 7/4	—
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Sweden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sweden before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 8	89.6	0.3 2/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	88.1	0.5 4/0
G. Gudmundsson n 8	82	1.1 5/3
L. Bergvall n 8	58.6	1.3 6/1
Y. Ayari n 8	85.8	1.3 7/2
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Sweden Attacking

Sweden — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Viktor Gyökeres	8	88705 min	50.6 /90	20.3 /90	182.3 /90	111.4 /90	141.8 /90	20.3 /90
A. Isak	5	90448 min	20.4 /90	30.6 /90	81.6 /90	71.4 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90
A. Elanga	3	72215 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	31.3 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	31.3 /90
L. Bergvall	7	64448 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	40.8 /90
Y. Ayari	6	87520 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	91.6 /90	50.9 /90	91.6 /90	30.5 /90
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Sweden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sweden before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 8	89.6	0.6 5/0	0 0/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	88.1	2.3 7/5	1.4 7/3
G. Gudmundsson n 8	82	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Bergvall n 8	58.6	0.6 3/0	0.4 2/0
Y. Ayari n 8	85.8	1.3 5/3	0.8 4/2
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Sweden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sweden before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	88.1	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
G. Gudmundsson n 8	82	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Bergvall n 8	58.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Y. Ayari n 8	85.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
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Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina Goalkeeper

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
N. Vasilj	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	82 /90
M. Zlomislić	3	90270 min	93 /90	00 /90
Salko Hamzić	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bosnia & Herzegovina before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Vasilj n 8	90	1.9 6/2
M. Zlomislić n 3	90	3 3/2

Bosnia & Herzegovina Defensive

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Kolašinac	8	86690 min	121.6 /90	50.7 /90	30.4 /90	293.8 /90	131.7 /90	10.1 /90
N. Katić	8	84675 min	192.5 /90	81.1 /90	70.9 /90	496.5 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
T. Muharemović	7	89620 min	60.9 /90	131.9 /90	40.6 /90	284.1 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90
A. Dedić	3	90270 min	93 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	186 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
S. Radeljić	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	63 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Bosnia & Herzegovina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bosnia & Herzegovina before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Kolašinac n 8	86.3	1.7 7/4	0.9 5/2	—
N. Katić n 8	84.4	0.8 5/1	0.5 3/1	—
E. Demirović n 8	76.9	2 5/4	0.7 5/0	—
A. Memić n 8	67.4	1.2 6/1	1.3 6/2	—
E. Bajraktarevic n 8	62.4	0.5 2/1	1.4 4/2	—
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Bosnia & Herzegovina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bosnia & Herzegovina before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Kolašinac n 8	86.3	1.6 6/5
N. Katić n 8	84.4	2.5 7/6
E. Demirović n 8	76.9	0.9 4/1
A. Memić n 8	67.4	1.3 5/2
E. Bajraktarevic n 8	62.4	0.5 2/1
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Bosnia & Herzegovina Attacking

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Demirović	8	77615 min	00 /90	00 /90	60.9 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	10.1 /90
H. Tabaković	5	57283 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Džeko	4	61242 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
J. Lukić	2	3978 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	44.6 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Samed Baždar	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90
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Bosnia & Herzegovina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bosnia & Herzegovina before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kolašinac n 8	86.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
N. Katić n 8	84.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
E. Demirović n 8	76.9	0.9 5/1	0.6 3/1
A. Memić n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
E. Bajraktarevic n 8	62.4	1.1 4/2	0.5 3/0
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Bosnia & Herzegovina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bosnia & Herzegovina before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Kolašinac n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Katić n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Demirović n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Memić n 8	67.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Bajraktarevic n 8	62.4	0 0/0	0.4 1/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SwedenLWWDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Bosnia & HerzegovinaLDWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Sweden 0 · 1 draw · Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-10-02 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden

League standing · 2026/27

Sweden#1 pos10 pts4 pl+4 GD

Bosnia & Herzegovina#2 pos8 pts4 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Sweden scored1.75

Bosnia & Herzegovina scored1.5

Sweden conceded0.75

Bosnia & Herzegovina conceded0.75

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina is Home or Draw (best price 1.17 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sweden and Bosnia & Herzegovina?: In their last 1 meetings, Sweden won 0, Bosnia & Herzegovina won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sweden and Bosnia & Herzegovina?: Recent form — Sweden 3W 1D 1L; Bosnia & Herzegovina 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 12:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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