France v England result

Full-time · France 4–6 England

World Cup · · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: France · England

The model’s pre-match pick

France 4–6 England — England won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

England won 6–4 at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden in the World Cup on Saturday 18 July. England have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

England led 4–0 at half-time. The goals — England: Declan Rice (3’), E. Konsa (18’, assisted by Declan Rice), Bukayo Saka (37’, assisted by Marcus Rashford; 45’, assisted by Eberechi Eze; 87’ pen) and Jude Bellingham (90’); France: Kylian Mbappé (48’, assisted by Michael Olise; 66’, assisted by Michael Olise), Bradley Barcola (54’, assisted by Kylian Mbappé) and O. Dembélé (90’, assisted by Dayotchanculle Upamecano).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s 10 key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Declan Rice’s goal on 3 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: France 2.87, England 2.58, from 19 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela showed no yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bukayo Saka (England) 17.2, Declan Rice (England) 15.1 and Kylian Mbappé (France) 13.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, France or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

France next travel to Italy on 12 November 2026.

England next host Croatia on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for France: Italy v France, Thursday 12 November — the preview. Next for England: England v Croatia, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: France 4–6 England · World Cup
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Garden · Miami
  • Referee: Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): France 2 · draws 0 · England 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: France 4W 0D 1L · England 4W 0D 1L

France 4–6 England (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 0.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.63 / 5.88
Corners
against 2.5 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 1.88 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.13
Cards
against 0.5 / 1.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFrance for / againstLineEngland for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.25our book
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
18.38 for · 6.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 15.88 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela.

France
France — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Rabiot n 881.4
1.96/5
0.84/1
—
M. Akliouche n 859.4
1.75/4
1.13/1
—
M. Koné n 854.4
1.44/3
1.45/2
—
L. Digne n 871.8
1.37/1
0.32/0
—
M. Gusto n 836
1.33/1
1.32/1
—
France — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 887.3
4.58/8
2.46/6
J. Mateta n 831.8
2.85/2
1.84/1
D. Doué n 851.9
2.46/3
26/2
M. Olise n 880.3
2.26/4
1.33/3
B. Barcola n 845.9
2.27/1
13/1
France — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 887.3
15/3
0.42/1
M. Olise n 880.3
0.41/1
0.73/2
O. Dembélé n 876.8
0.73/1
0.32/0
B. Barcola n 845.9
0.52/0
0.21/0
J. Mateta n 831.8
0.72/0
00/0
France — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Tchouaméni n 877.6
3.98/7
T. Hernández n 862.1
2.45/3
M. Gusto n 836
2.25/2
D. Doué n 851.9
26/3
D. Upamecano n 888.3
1.95/3
France — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
1.33/2
England
England — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bukayo Saka n 847.1
1.94/2
2.67/2
—
M. Rogers n 841.4
1.64/2
1.14/0
—
E. Anderson n 886.8
1.36/3
2.36/5
—
J. Bellingham n 886.1
1.36/3
2.16/4
—
M. Rashford n 842.3
1.33/2
1.13/1
—
England — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Watkins n 865.8
2.97/4
2.25/4
M. Rashford n 842.3
2.95/2
0.83/0
H. Kane n 889.6
2.57/6
1.67/4
I. Toney n 876.9
2.35/4
14/1
J. Bellingham n 886.1
25/5
1.45/4
England — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Watkins n 865.8
1.25/2
0.32/0
A. Gordon n 866
0.32/0
0.73/1
H. Kane n 889.6
0.84/2
0.11/0
J. Bellingham n 886.1
0.84/2
0.11/0
I. Toney n 876.9
0.73/1
0.11/0
England — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Spence n 844
3.66/3
E. Anderson n 886.8
2.98/8
Bukayo Saka n 847.1
2.96/4
K. Mainoo n 875.5
2.16/5
J. Bellingham n 886.1
27/4
England — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 892
1.85/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FranceEngland
46%Possession54%
2.87Expected goals (xG)2.58
19Shots19
9Shots on target11
6Shots off target2
4Blocked shots6
12Shots inside the box16
3Corners4
3Offsides3
14Fouls8
4Saves5
445Passes515
91%Pass accuracy91%

France player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006
M. Lacroix9000000107.5
W. Zaïre-Emery9000002006.7
A. Rabiot9000102206.3
M. Olise9002304507
Kylian Mbappé90216420010
M. Gusto8900000305.3
I. Konaté4500000005.3
T. Hernández4500000005.9
R. Cherki4500110006.5
D. Doué4500000105.9
D. Upamecano sub4501111306.5
L. Digne sub4500000006.3
O. Dembélé sub4510222008.2
B. Barcola sub4510111107.9
J. Koundé sub800000006.2

England player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Henderson9000000007
E. Konsa9010110207.3
D. Spence9000000406.9
Declan Rice9011112709.3
Bukayo Saka9030443309.3
M. Rogers9000003106.7
M. Guéhi8900001207.2
J. Quansah8300000106.2
Eberechi Eze7901102007.3
I. Toney7900110206.9
M. Rashford4501223006.9
O. Watkins sub4500102106.2
R. James sub1600000106.7
E. Anderson sub1100000106.3
J. Bellingham sub1110220008.3
T. Chalobah sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind France v England — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FranceWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
EnglandWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
France 2 · 0 draws · England 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2022-12-10 England 1–2 France
  • 2017-06-13 France 3–2 England
League standing · 2026/27
France#1 pos9 pts3 pl+8 GD
England#1 pos7 pts3 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
France scored3.33
England scored2
France conceded0.67
England conceded0.67

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for France v England?
TACTIX’s free model pick for France v England was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between France and England?
In their last 2 meetings, France won 2, England won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of France and England?
Recent form — France 4W 0D 1L; England 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

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