Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart

Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart result

Full-time · Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · VfB Stuttgart · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Goal both halves — Yes.

Free pick
Goal both halves — Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 9 of 14 calls the model rated 70% or more on Goal both halves — Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 5.39 to 1.27 in expected goals, from 28 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 27th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München beat VfB Stuttgart 4–2 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 19 April. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — VfB Stuttgart: Chris Führich (21’, assisted by Bilal El Khannouss) and José María Andrés Baixauli (88’, assisted by Atakan Karazor); Bayern München: Raphaël Guerreiro (31’, assisted by Jamal Musiala), Nicolas Jackson (33’, assisted by L. Díaz), Alphonso Davies (37’, assisted by L. Díaz) and Harry Kane (52’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nicolas Jackson’s goal on 33 minutes.

Discipline

Sören Storks, Germany showed no yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Bayern München stay first after this result (30 league matches played). Bayern München have scored 122 goals, the most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bayern München have conceded 36 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs.

VfB Stuttgart move down from third to fourth (30 league matches played). VfB Stuttgart have scored 71 goals, the second-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 49 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 19 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 30, across nine matches. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Atakan Karazor (VfB Stuttgart) 9.0, Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart) 8.3 and Alphonso Davies (Bayern München) 6.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last four meetings with VfB Stuttgart.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Goal both halves — Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 9 of 14 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

Bayern München next travel to FSV Mainz 05 on 7 November 2026.

VfB Stuttgart next host Werder Bremen on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayern München: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
  • Referee: Sören Storks, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayern München 5 · draws 0 · VfB Stuttgart 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayern München 5W 0D 0L · VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L

Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.63 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.25 / 6
Corners
against 3.5 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
8.63 / 6.75
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.7 yellows
Referee · Sören Storks, Germany
19.1 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBayern München for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
3.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
21.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
8.63 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Sören Storks, Germany — 4.7 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 19.1 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer38883330 min822.2 /90391.1 /9000 /90
J. Urbig14841170 min352.7 /90131 /9000 /90
S. Ulreich19090 min66 /9011 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 878.8
35/3
J. Urbig n 878.8
3.35/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah45813636 min471.2 /90401 /90260.6 /901443.6 /90571.4 /9090.2 /90
D. Upamecano41773140 min922.6 /90401.1 /90100.3 /901694.8 /90401.1 /9090.3 /90
K. Laimer40742974 min812.5 /90270.8 /9080.2 /901404.2 /90481.5 /90130.4 /90
J. Stanišić37782882 min451.4 /90300.9 /9070.2 /901153.6 /90110.3 /9040.1 /90
T. Bischof22651439 min221.4 /90110.7 /9030.2 /90523.3 /90161 /9030.2 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Olise n 878.9
0.94/1
3.17/6
—
H. Kane n 879.6
15/2
1.45/4
—
J. Kimmich n 885
0.11/0
1.36/3
A. Stiller
J. Tah n 877.4
1.55/3
0.11/0
—
L. Díaz n 878
1.77/3
1.24/3
J. Leweling
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Olise n 878.9
0.73/2
H. Kane n 879.6
0.85/1
J. Kimmich n 885
1.96/5
J. Tah n 877.4
1.24/2
L. Díaz n 878
1.25/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane47803748 min531.3 /9070.2 /901413.4 /901032.5 /90621.5 /90501.2 /90
N. Jackson1950942 min80.8 /9030.3 /90363.4 /90232.2 /90191.8 /9080.8 /90
M. Olise48783756 min210.5 /90270.6 /901112.7 /90741.8 /901202.9 /901152.8 /90
J. Kimmich46833800 min20 /90100.2 /90260.6 /90130.3 /90982.3 /90150.4 /90
L. Díaz42823450 min240.6 /90150.4 /90912.4 /90571.5 /90872.3 /90872.3 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 878.9
3.38/7
2.18/4
H. Kane n 879.6
3.88/7
2.58/6
J. Kimmich n 885
0.84/2
0.53/1
J. Tah n 877.4
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 878
1.77/4
0.96/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Olise n 878.9
0.74/1
0.64/0
H. Kane n 879.6
1.67/4
0.11/0
J. Kimmich n 885
00/0
0.11/0
J. Tah n 877.4
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 878
0.75/0
0.43/0
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VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart Goalkeeper

VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Nübel41903696 min1162.8 /90511.2 /9010 /90
F. Bredlow490360 min82 /9041 /9000 /90
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Nübel n 890
3.27/6
F. Bredlow n 890
37/4

VfB Stuttgart Defensive

VfB Stuttgart — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mittelstädt39783061 min962.8 /90531.6 /90130.4 /902046 /90190.6 /9060.2 /90
J. Chabot35852987 min431.3 /90461.4 /90230.7 /902547.7 /90491.5 /9080.2 /90
R. Hendriks34782642 min431.5 /90301 /90150.5 /901304.4 /90210.7 /9030.1 /90
Finn Jeltsch29782257 min291.2 /90271.1 /90210.8 /901004 /90281.1 /9040.2 /90
L. Assignon24781867 min321.5 /90150.7 /9040.2 /90914.4 /90371.8 /9050.2 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Stiller n 888.4
0.53/1
1.44/3
J. Kimmich
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
M. Mittelstädt n 876.9
0.74/1
0.95/1
—
J. Leweling n 864.8
13/1
1.65/4
L. Díaz
C. Führich n 867.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
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VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Stiller n 888.4
27/6
M. Mittelstädt n 876.9
2.67/4
J. Leweling n 864.8
0.72/1
C. Führich n 867.3
15/1
D. Undav n 885.3
0.74/1
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking

VfB Stuttgart — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Undav38793012 min230.7 /90140.4 /901143.4 /90601.8 /90712.1 /9090.3 /90
Tiago Tomás27481289 min50.3 /9020.1 /90292 /90120.8 /90120.8 /90231.6 /90
E. Demirović25711787 min80.4 /9030.2 /90361.8 /90170.9 /90201 /9090.5 /90
A. Stiller43823514 min20.1 /9060.2 /90140.4 /9070.2 /90782 /90190.5 /90
J. Leweling39722823 min110.4 /9090.3 /90531.7 /90301 /90501.6 /90411.3 /90
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VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Stiller n 888.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 876.9
1.25/2
0.73/1
J. Leweling n 864.8
1.46/2
0.94/1
C. Führich n 867.3
3.28/6
1.76/3
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VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfB Stuttgart before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Stiller n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
A. Nübel n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mittelstädt n 876.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Leweling n 864.8
0.31/1
0.21/0
C. Führich n 867.3
0.21/0
0.53/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
66%Possession34%
4.61Expected goals (xG)1.35
28Shots11
9Shots on target7
8Shots off target1
11Blocked shots3
22Shots inside the box7
11Corners3
6Offsides1
6Fouls3
5Saves4
672Passes335
91%Pass accuracy81%

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Urbig9000000007.2
Kim Min-Jae9000110006.7
H. Ito9000001006.9
J. Kimmich9000204108.3
L. Goretzka9000220106.5
N. Jackson9010112107.7
J. Stanišić8500100006.3
Raphaël Guerreiro7610214007
A. Davies6210111107.6
J. Musiala4501102007.3
L. Díaz4502103007.9
M. Olise sub4500323007.3
H. Kane sub4510210007.3
K. Laimer sub2800000106.7
Bara Ndiaye sub1400000006.3
D. Ofli sub800000006.2

VfB Stuttgart Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Nübel9000000006.5
J. Vagnoman9000000005.3
J. Chabot9000000407.3
R. Hendriks9000001305.9
A. Karazor9001001507.9
B. El Khannouss9001332207.5
Tiago Tomás8500100106
J. Leweling7600000207
A. Stiller6500000206.9
C. Führich6510221007.5
Finn Jeltsch4500000105.9
L. Jaquez sub4500000006.7
M. Mittelstädt sub2500000007.3
José María Andrés Baixauli sub2510111107.9
E. Demirović sub1400001106.3
B. Bouanani sub800110006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayern MünchenWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayern München 5 · 0 draws · VfB Stuttgart 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2025-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–5 Bayern München
  • 2025-08-16 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Bayern München
  • 2025-02-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Bayern München
  • 2024-10-19 Bayern München 4–0 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-05-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayern Munich
  • 2023-12-17 Bayern Munich 3–0 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2025/26
Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD
VfB Stuttgart#4 pos62 pts34 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Bayern München scored3.59
VfB Stuttgart scored2.09
Bayern München conceded1.06
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bayern München 5.39 xG from 28 shots, VfB Stuttgart 1.27 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Leon Goretzka 51' · 0.46 xGLeon Goretzka 58' · 0.45 xGJamal Musiala 45' · 0.45 xGJosip Stanisic 79' · 0.42 xGBilal El Khannouss 69' · 0.38 xGMichael Olise 89' · 0.22 xGTiago Tomás 38' · 0.13 xGMichael Olise 66' · 0.12 xGRaphael Guerreiro 48' · 0.12 xGRamon Hendriks 87' · 0.11 xGLuis Díaz 22' · 0.11 xGBadredine Bouanani 87' · 0.11 xGJamal Musiala 27' · 0.10 xGJamal Musiala 8' · 0.09 xGLuis Díaz 47' · 0.09 xGLeon Goretzka 16' · 0.08 xGBilal El Khannouss 11' · 0.07 xGLuis Díaz 29' · 0.07 xGMichael Olise 71' · 0.06 xGNicolas Jackson 55' · 0.05 xGBilal El Khannouss 91' · 0.05 xGLuis Díaz 30' · 0.04 xGLuis Díaz 43' · 0.04 xGMichael Olise 72' · 0.04 xGLeon Goretzka 48' · 0.04 xGLeon Goretzka 69' · 0.04 xGKim Min-Jae 9' · 0.04 xGHarry Kane 89' · 0.03 xGJoshua Kimmich 64' · 0.02 xGJamie Leweling 34' · 0.02 xGChris Führich 42' · 0.02 xGJoshua Kimmich 22' · 0.01 xGBadredine Bouanani 92' · 0.01 xGRaphael Guerreiro 30' · 0.90 xG · goalHarry Kane 51' · 0.60 xG · goalNicolas Jackson 32' · 0.56 xG · goalChris Führich 20' · 0.33 xG · goalAlphonso Davies 36' · 0.11 xG · goalChema Andres 87' · 0.04 xG · goal
Bayern München (attacking right)VfB Stuttgart (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bayern München2845.39
VfB Stuttgart1121.27

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 2.61 to 0.57. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 5.39 to 1.27. The widest gap was 4.19 xG to Bayern München, in the 79th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
5.42.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - VfB Stuttgart 20 minGoal - Bayern München 30 minGoal - Bayern München 32 minGoal - Bayern München 36 minGoal - Bayern München 51 minGoal - VfB Stuttgart 87 min
Bayern München 5.39 xGVfB Stuttgart 1.27 xGdots = goals · 39 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart was Goal both halves — Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayern München won 5, VfB Stuttgart won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — Bayern München 5W 0D 0L; VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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